GEO
GEO GROUP INC
$28.44
-0.63%
$3.8B
No data for this timeframe.
Vol
Market Cap$3.8B
Cap SizeMid Cap
Analyst ConsensusStrong Buy (88%)
Inst. Holders50 funds
Inst. Value$1.3B
Inst. Activity13 buys / 14 sells
Insider Activity0B / 1S
Insider Net $-$101.1K
Reddit Sentiment44° Neutral
SEC Reports4
Exchange NYSE·Sector General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs·Inc. FL·CIK 0000923796·Prev Close $28.62
Recent Activity
Jun 2, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 64.5% short (0.5M / 0.7M)
Short: 468,301 | Exempt: 690 | TRF Vol: 726,120 | Short Ratio: 64.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark poo
May 6, 2026
SEC
GEO Group reported Q1 2026 revenue of $705.2M (+17% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.29, a 107% YoY increase. The company raised
8-K — Impact 8/10
Apr 21, 2026
SEC
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that GEO Group cannot immediately appeal a lower court's denial of its defense under the Ye
COURT-RULING — Impact 7/10
Apr 1, 2026
Insider
March Shayn P. was granted 6,088 shares
See Remarks
Mar 31, 2026
Insider
Suchinski Mark disposed of 139,667 shares
Mar 19, 2026
SEC
The filing is a definitive proxy statement for The GEO Group, Inc.'s 2026 Annual Meeting. It outlines proposals for the
DEFA14A — Impact 2/10
Mar 6, 2026
Insider
Mannarino Nicole was granted 657 shares
Chief Compliance Officer
Inst.
Pentwater Capital Management LP — ADD
9,565,000 shares ($160.8M)
Price Targets
$29.50
+3.7% upside
Hold
Current $28.44
Low $27.00
Median $29.00
High $33.00
4 analysts
$27.00
$33.00
Analyst Ratings
1Strong Buy
6Buy
1Hold
0Sell
0Strong Sell
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jones Trading | MAINTAIN | Buy → Buy |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jones Trading | MAINTAIN | Buy → Buy |
Earnings Estimates
| Period | EPS Est. | Range | Growth | # |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Q | $0.29 ▲ +4.5% | $0.27 — $0.32 | 31% YoY | 4 |
| Next Q | $0.30 ▼ -10.3% | $0.29 — $0.31 | 22% YoY | 4 |
| Current FY | $1.22 | $1.18 — $1.27 | 42% YoY | 4 |
| Next FY | $1.66 ▼ -6.6% | $1.46 — $2.04 | 36% YoY | 3 |
Latest Reports
BULLISH
8-K
8/10
GEO Group reported Q1 2026 revenue of $705.2M (+17% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.29, a 107% YoY increase. The company raised
May 6, 2026
BEARISH
COURT-RULING
7/10
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that GEO Group cannot immediately appeal a lower court's denial of its defense under the Ye
Apr 21, 2026
Top Institutional Holders
| Fund | Value | Move |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $346.1M | — |
| Pentwater Capital Management LP | $160.8M | ADD |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $125.3M | — |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $96.9M | — |
| STATE STREET CORP | $82.4M | — |
Recent Insider Trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | March Shayn | A | $0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Suchinski Mark | D | $0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Mannarino Nicole | A | $0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | March Shayn | A | $0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Albence Matthew | A | $0.00 |
Reddit Sentiment
44°
Neutral
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
50 institutional holders with $1.3B total value (79,672,251 shares) as of 2026-Q1. Top holders: BlackRock,, Pentwater, VANGUARD. Net selling activity: 14 institutions trimmed/exited vs 13 added.
Top Institutional Holders — 2026-Q1
| # | Fund | Shares | Value | % of Tracked | Last Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BlackRock, Inc. | 20,589,057 | $346.1M | 25.8% | — |
| 2 | Pentwater Capital Management LP | 9,565,000 | $160.8M | 12.0% | ADD +63.6% |
| 3 | VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 7,452,438 | $125.3M | 9.3% | — |
| 4 | VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 5,763,274 | $96.9M | 7.2% | — |
| 5 | STATE STREET CORP | 4,903,712 | $82.4M | 6.1% | — |
| 6 | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 4,169,349 | $70.1M | 5.2% | — |
| 7 | Rubric Capital Management LP | 3,743,180 | $62.9M | 4.7% | — |
| 8 | MORGAN STANLEY | 3,169,044 | $53.3M | 4.0% | ADD +44.0% |
| 9 | CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2,224,863 | $37.4M | 2.8% | — |
| 10 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1,777,760 | $29.9M | 2.2% | — |
| 11 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1,689,500 | $28.4M | 2.1% | — |
| 12 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | 1,070,100 | $20.4M | 1.5% | DOUBLED +150.0% |
| 13 | FMR LLC | 1,042,736 | $17.5M | 1.3% | — |
| 14 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 1,036,433 | $17.4M | 1.3% | — |
| 15 | Invesco Ltd. | 1,029,661 | $17.3M | 1.3% | TRIM -45.0% |
| 16 | CAPITOLIS LIQUID GLOBAL MARKETS LLC | 1,000,000 | $16.8M | 1.3% | NEW |
| 17 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 957,200 | $16.1M | 1.2% | — |
| 18 | VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 943,946 | $15.9M | 1.2% | — |
| 19 | TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 779,838 | $13.1M | 1.0% | — |
| 20 | Allianz Asset Management GmbH | 737,411 | $12.4M | 0.9% | — |
Recent Position Changes
| Fund | Action | Prev Shares | Curr Shares | Change % | Value | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pentwater Capital Management LP | ADD | 5,847,700 | 9,565,000 | +63.6% | $160.8M | 2026-Q1 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | ADD | 2,200,681 | 3,169,044 | +44.0% | $53.3M | 2026-Q1 |
| Invesco Ltd. | TRIM | 1,872,184 | 1,029,661 | -45.0% | $17.3M | 2026-Q1 |
| CAPITOLIS LIQUID GLOBAL MARKETS LLC | NEW | — | 1,000,000 | — | $16.8M | 2026-Q1 |
| Hudson Bay Capital Management LP | DOUBLED | 100,000 | 483,641 | +383.6% | $8.1M | 2026-Q1 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | DOUBLED | 165,639 | 346,779 | +109.4% | $5.8M | 2026-Q1 |
| SEI INVESTMENTS CO | DOUBLED | 93,027 | 320,412 | +244.4% | $5.4M | 2026-Q1 |
| Verition Fund Management LLC | TRIM | 253,637 | 169,325 | -33.2% | $2.8M | 2026-Q1 |
| GROUP ONE TRADING LLC | TRIM | 518,124 | 142,555 | -72.5% | $2.4M | 2026-Q1 |
| Holocene Advisors, LP | DOUBLED | 37,044 | 135,220 | +265.0% | $2.3M | 2026-Q1 |
| WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | ADD | 72,963 | 130,246 | +78.5% | $2.2M | 2026-Q1 |
| DEUTSCHE BANK AG\ | NEAR_EXIT | 658,120 | 123,958 | -81.2% | $2.1M | 2026-Q1 |
| TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | NEAR_EXIT | 843,828 | 69,478 | -91.8% | $1.2M | 2026-Q1 |
| STATE OF WISCONSIN INVESTMENT BOARD | TRIM | 128,755 | 37,674 | -70.7% | $633.3K | 2026-Q1 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | TRIM | 79,416 | 37,652 | -52.6% | $632.9K | 2026-Q1 |
| GLENMEDE TRUST CO NA | DOUBLED | 11,892 | 25,351 | +113.2% | $426.1K | 2026-Q1 |
| Russell Investments Group, Ltd. | TRIM | 33,564 | 24,661 | -26.5% | $410.8K | 2026-Q1 |
| NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT CO LTD | DOUBLED | 1,280 | 3,100 | +142.2% | $52.1K | 2026-Q1 |
| FEDERATED HERMES, INC. | NEAR_EXIT | 312,959 | 2,112 | -99.3% | $35.5K | 2026-Q1 |
| LOS ANGELES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | NEAR_EXIT | 21,721 | 632 | -97.1% | $10.6K | 2026-Q1 |
| ASSETMARK, INC | DOUBLED | 4 | 170 | +4150.0% | $2.9K | 2026-Q1 |
| Rockefeller Capital Management L.P. | ADD | 116 | 156 | +34.5% | $2.6K | 2026-Q1 |
| BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC | NEAR_EXIT | 3,982,082 | 107 | -100.0% | $1.8K | 2026-Q1 |
| HRT FINANCIAL LP | TRIM | 91,771 | 61,489 | -33.0% | $1.0K | 2026-Q1 |
| NATIXIS | DOUBLED | 28 | 59 | +110.7% | $992.00 | 2026-Q1 |
19 unique insiders with 45 transactions. Net insider value: -$101.1K ($0.00 bought, $101.1K sold).
Insider Transactions
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | March Shayn P. | See Remarks | AWARD | 6,088 | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Suchinski Mark | D | 139,667 | — | — | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Mannarino Nicole | Chief Compliance Officer | AWARD | 657 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | March Shayn P. | See Remarks | AWARD | 19,566 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Albence Matthew | Senior VP, Client Relations | AWARD | 25,019 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Albence Matthew | Senior VP, Client Relations | TAX W/H | 22,602 | $14.35 | $324.3K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Houston Donald E. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 812 | $14.35 | $11.7K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Ryan Christopher D. | See Remarks | AWARD | 18,461 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Ryan Christopher D. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 15,449 | $14.35 | $221.7K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Ragsdale Daniel H. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 812 | $14.35 | $11.7K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | KERNAN SCOTT MICHAEL | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Wood Julie Myers | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Brewer Jack | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Arduin Donna | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bartzokis Thomas C. | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Koren Lindsay L. | Director | AWARD | 10,246 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Long Richard Kent | See Remarks | AWARD | 22,518 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Brack Ronald A. | See Remarks | AWARD | 14,515 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Long Richard Kent | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 19,428 | $14.35 | $278.8K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Laird Paul M. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 1,015 | $14.35 | $14.6K |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Suchinski Mark | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 3,113 | $14.35 | $44.7K |
| Mar 5, 2026 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 78,700 | $14.92 | $1.2M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | See Remarks | AWARD | 200,000 | — | — |
| Mar 4, 2026 | KERNAN SCOTT MICHAEL | Director | SELL | 6,633 | $15.24 | $101.1K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Brack Ronald A. | See remarks | TAX W/H | 465 | $15.06 | $7.0K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | March Shayn P. | See remarks | TAX W/H | 646 | $15.06 | $9.7K |
| Mar 3, 2026 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 19,675 | $15.06 | $296.3K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | March Shayn P. | See remarks | TAX W/H | 2,192 | $15.29 | $33.5K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Brack Ronald A. | See remarks | TAX W/H | 3,123 | $15.29 | $47.8K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Mannarino Nicole | Chief Compliance Officer | TAX W/H | 202 | $15.29 | $3.1K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ragsdale Daniel H. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 2,461 | $15.29 | $37.6K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Schipma Scott A. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 3,740 | $15.29 | $57.2K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ryan Christopher D. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 914 | $15.29 | $14.0K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Laird Paul M. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 2,895 | $15.29 | $44.3K |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Meehan David O. | See Remarks | TAX W/H | 2,276 | $15.29 | $34.8K |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Albence Matthew | Senior VP, Client Relations | AWARD | 15,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Long Richard Kent | Senior VP, Proj Development | AWARD | 15,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ryan Christopher D. | Senior VP, Human Resources | AWARD | 13,500 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Houston Donald E. | SVP, Health Services | AWARD | 13,500 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Laird Paul M. | Senior VP, Secure Services | AWARD | 15,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ragsdale Daniel H. | See Remarks | AWARD | 13,500 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Suchinski Mark | CFO | AWARD | 24,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Schipma Scott A. | See Remarks | AWARD | 15,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Meehan David O. | See Remarks | AWARD | 15,000 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2026 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | Executive Chairman | AWARD | 250,000 | — | — |
4 SEC filing reports analyzed. Sentiment: 1 bullish, 1 bearish, 0 mixed, 2 neutral. Avg impact: 5.0/10.
BULLISH
8-K
8/10
GEO Group reported Q1 2026 revenue of $705.2M (+17% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.29, a 107% YoY increase.
May 6, 2026
BEARISH
COURT-RULING
7/10
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that GEO Group cannot immediately appeal a lower court's denial of its
Apr 21, 2026
NEUTRAL
DEFA14A
2/10
The filing is a definitive proxy statement for The GEO Group, Inc.'s 2026 Annual Meeting. It outline
Mar 19, 2026
NEUTRAL
8-K
3/10
GEO Group announced the departure of CFO Mark Suchinski and the appointment of Shayn March as new CF
Mar 5, 2026
No press releases analyzed yet. Press releases are collected from GlobeNewsWire and analyzed by the LLM pipeline.
Current analyst consensus: Strong Buy (88% buy). Based on 8 analysts: 1 strong buy, 6 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell.
Analyst Price Targets
$29.50 mean target
+3.7% upside
Hold (1.00)
$27.00 Low
$33.00 High
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $28.44 |
| Target Low | $27.00 |
| Target Mean | $29.50 |
| Target Median | $29.00 |
| Target High | $33.00 |
| # Analysts | 4 |
| Recommendation | Hold (1.00) |
Earnings Estimates & Revisions
| Period | EPS Avg | EPS Low | EPS High | EPS Growth | 30d Rev. | Up/Down | Rev. Avg | Rev. Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Q 2026-06-30 |
$0.29 | $0.27 | $0.32 | 30.7% | +4.5% | 2↑ 1↓ | $0.7B | 13.4% | 4 |
| Next Q 2026-09-30 |
$0.30 | $0.29 | $0.31 | 22.0% | -10.3% | 0↑ 2↓ | $0.8B | 12.0% | 4 |
| Current FY 2026-12-31 |
$1.22 | $1.18 | $1.27 | 41.9% | +0.0% | 2↑ 1↓ | $3.0B | 13.4% | 4 |
| Next FY 2027-12-31 |
$1.66 | $1.46 | $2.04 | 36.3% | -6.6% | 0↑ 1↓ | $3.2B | 8.6% | 3 |
Current Quarter EPS Revision History
| Timepoint | EPS Estimate | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Current | $0.287 | |
| 7d ago | $0.275 | +0.012 |
| 30d ago | $0.275 | +0.012 |
| 60d ago | $0.275 | +0.012 |
| 90d ago | $0.303 | -0.016 |
1 analyst firms have rated this stock: 0 upgrades, 0 downgrades, 0 initiations.
Individual Analyst Actions
| Date | Analyst Firm | Action | Previous Rating | New Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jones Trading | MAINTAIN | Buy | Buy |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jones Trading | MAINTAIN | Buy | Buy |
Monthly Consensus History
| Period | Strong Buy | Buy | Hold | Sell | Strong Sell | Buy % | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% | |
| May 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88% |
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
No congressional trading data available for this ticker. Data is sourced from Senate and House financial disclosure filings.
44°
Neutral
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
5 mentions
1 bullish
2 bearish
5 time periods
Reddit Sentiment History
| Date | Mentions | Sentiment | Bullish | Bearish | Threads |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | 1 | 40° Cool | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | 1 | 40° Cool | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 1 | 60° Warm | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 50° Neutral | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 50° Neutral | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Jun 2, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 64.5% short (0.5M / 0.7M)
Short: 468,301 | Exempt: 690 | TRF Vol: 726,120 | Short Ratio: 64.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
May 6, 2026
earnings_calendar
GEO Q1 2026 Earnings Scheduled — 2026-05-06
Apr 23, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 65.9% short (0.4M / 0.5M)
Short: 357,684 | Exempt: 6,664 | TRF Vol: 542,936 | Short Ratio: 65.9% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Apr 21, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 62.6% short (0.7M / 1.1M)
Short: 657,228 | Exempt: 270 | TRF Vol: 1,050,110 | Short Ratio: 62.6% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Apr 17, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 57.1% short (0.6M / 1.1M)
Short: 608,942 | Exempt: 1,182 | TRF Vol: 1,066,962 | Short Ratio: 57.1% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Apr 16, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 73.4% short (0.4M / 0.6M)
Short: 438,896 | Exempt: 0 | TRF Vol: 598,351 | Short Ratio: 73.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Apr 8, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 69.2% short (0.4M / 0.5M)
Short: 364,734 | Exempt: 0 | TRF Vol: 527,014 | Short Ratio: 69.2% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Mar 31, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 70.3% short (0.4M / 0.6M)
Short: 414,733 | Exempt: 6 | TRF Vol: 589,906 | Short Ratio: 70.3% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Mar 28, 2026
government_contract
$39M govt contract: THE GEO GROUP, INC.
Agency: Department of Homeland Security. TASK ORDER FOR DETENTION AND TRANSPORTATION SERVICES AT A NORTHWEST ICE DETENTION CENTER, TACOMA, WA IN SUPPO
Mar 27, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 57.3% short (0.3M / 0.6M)
Short: 330,642 | Exempt: 11,250 | TRF Vol: 577,199 | Short Ratio: 57.3% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Mar 25, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: GEO — 56.0% short (0.4M / 0.6M)
Short: 351,646 | Exempt: 2,805 | TRF Vol: 627,788 | Short Ratio: 56.0% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Feb 25, 2026
Enforcement
Geo Group, Inc. v. Menocal
Court ruling from Supreme Court of the United States. Docket: 24-758
Feb 25, 2026
Enforcement
Geo Group, Inc. v. Menocal
Court ruling from Supreme Court of the United States. Docket: 24-758