USAR USA Rare Earth, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 7d 12h ago
Institutional cluster: 7 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
USAR ▲ +4.39% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.39% · α vs SPY +3.95% · entry $22.56 → $23.55
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 03:32 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.53%
call -2.53% · α -3.07%
$21.99
settled 7d ago
T+5d
+4.39%
call +4.39% · α +3.95%
$23.55
settled 20h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

7 institutional investors added a net $100.2M in USAR during Q3 2025, with zero sellers. The cluster is dominated by mega-passive index funds (State Street, UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA) doubling their positions, alongside active quant shops Citadel and RenTech initiating or expanding. This signals broad institutional interest in the rare earth miner, but the passive-heavy composition tempers conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$107.2M
Net Flow
$100.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $100.2M

▲ Buyers (7)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State Street DOUBLED +1101.9% $48.5M $45.9M
Wells Fargo DOUBLED +432.4% $588.0K $518.0K
Citadel DOUBLED +2955.8% $9.4M $9.2M
UBS DOUBLED +1361.9% $19.9M $19.0M
RenTech NEW +0% $16.4M $16.4M
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +510.9% $6.6M $5.9M
BofA ADD +43% $6.0M $3.3M

Actionable Insight

The lack of sellers and heavy accumulation by multiple mega-passive funds alongside quants suggests a favorable backdrop for USAR, possibly tied to rare earth policy tailwinds or index reconstitution. However, the 45-day 13F reporting lag means these positions may have already been established or reversed. Monitor upcoming earnings and critical minerals legislation for catalysts that could sustain institutional interest.

Key Facts

  • 7 buyers with aggregate current holdings of $107.2M, net increase of $100.2M
  • State Street more than doubled its position to $48.5M (largest buyer)
  • RenTech initiated a new $16.4M position
  • Citadel expanded by 2,955.8% to $9.4M
  • Zero institutional sellers reported
  • Passive rebalancing likely contributes to the magnitude of the cluster

Financial Impact

Net institutional accumulation of $100.2M, representing approximately 2.2% of USAR's $4.6B market cap, with $107.2M in total holdings reported by the 7 buyers.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive funds dominate the cluster, reducing the conviction signal from active managers
  • 13F data is stale (Q3 2025 quarter-end); positions may have been trimmed or exited
  • Historical model reports on USAR have underperformed at T+20, warranting caution

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-USAR-2025-Q3
29 reports for USAR
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 10 of 16 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +71.05%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for USAR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 15, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$23.02 $21.74▼ −5.56%▼ −4.96%
Jun 15, 2026
3d ago
8-K / DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$23.02 $21.74▼ −5.56%▼ −4.96%
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$22.56 $21.99▼ −2.53%▼ −3.07%
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.56 $21.99▼ −2.53%▼ −3.07%
Jun 8, 2026
10d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$22.21 $20.90▼ −5.90%▼ −5.60%
Jun 8, 2026
11d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$22.21 $20.90▲ +5.90%▲ +5.60%
Jun 5, 2026
13d ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$22.47 $22.21▲ +1.16%▲ +1.38%
Jun 5, 2026
13d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$22.47 $22.21▼ −1.16%▼ −1.38%
Jun 5, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$22.47 $22.21▼ −1.16%▼ −1.38%
Jun 3, 2026
15d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$27.98 $27.10▼ −3.15%▼ −3.54%
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (77h 17m)

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