UMAC Unusual Machines, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 5/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 2, 2026 Processed 4d 2h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $3.4M total
Latest settled — T+1d
UMAC ▲ +11.92% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -11.92% · α vs SPY -11.51% · entry $28.86 → $32.30
Next anchor: T+5d in 3d
Currently $26.70 · +7.48% from $28.86 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Jun 2, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+11.92%
call -11.92% · α -11.51%
$32.30
settled 3d ago
T+5d
call — · α —
in 3d
T+20d
call — · α —
in 25d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two UMAC insiders (CFO and a Director) sold a combined $3.38M in open-market sales within a week, representing ~0.24% of the $1.4B market cap. The CFO's $2.66M sale at $17.71 and the Director's $725K sale at $28.98 are notable for their size and proximity, though the cluster is not amplified by the academic literature for sells. Historical calibration on this ticker shows poor prior call performance (avg -11.54% T+20), and the score-6/7 calibration cells show net negative expected alpha, biasing the impact score downward.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$3.4M
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The CFO's $2.66M sale at $17.71 is the most concerning element, as it is not a routine 10b5-1 pattern (single large block). Monitor for any upcoming 8-K filings (earnings, material agreements, or offering announcements) that could explain the selling. The stock's poor historical reaction to prior reports (avg -11.54% T+20) suggests the market may already be pricing in negative news.

Key Facts

  • CFO Hoff Brian Joseph sold 150,000 shares at $17.71 for $2.66M on 2026-05-27.
  • Director Rich Sanford sold 25,000 shares at $28.98 for $725K on 2026-06-01.
  • Total cluster value: $3.38M, representing ~0.24% of $1.4B market cap.
  • CEO Evans Allan Thomas had a non-cash transaction (500,000 shares at $0) on 2026-05-28, likely a grant or exercise.
  • Prior 30-day insider activity: 5 sells totaling $3.7M, indicating sustained selling pressure.
  • Historical calibration: score-6 and score-7 cells show net negative expected alpha at T+20 (μ_l > μ_w in magnitude).

Financial Impact

Insider sales of $3.38M represent 0.24% of market cap — modest but notable given the CFO's participation and the cluster's proximity to prior selling.

insider sellingdilution risk

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling may signal upcoming negative corporate event (earnings miss, dilutive offering, or operational setback).
  • Sustained insider selling pattern (5 sells in 30 days for $3.7M) erodes confidence in management's alignment with shareholders.
  • CFO selling a large block near the stock's recent price could indicate concerns about valuation or liquidity.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-UMAC-1780430794492
16 reports for UMAC
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 2 of 8 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +77.48%May 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UMAC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$26.38 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$26.70 (−1.21%)
Jun 5, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.28 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$26.70 (−5.59%)
Jun 2, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$28.86 $32.30▼ −11.92%▼ −11.51%$26.70 (+7.48%)
Jun 1, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.88 $33.42▲ +15.72%▲ +15.58%$26.70 (−7.55%)
May 29, 2026
8d ago
144 / CLUSTER
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$28.88 $33.42▼ −15.72%▼ −15.57%$26.70 (+7.55%)
May 29, 2026
8d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.78 $28.88▲ +9.13%▲ +9.40%$26.70 (+15.98%)
May 27, 2026
10d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$18.83 $29.60▼ −57.20%▼ −56.64%$26.70 (−41.80%)
May 26, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.83 $29.60▲ +57.20%▲ +56.65%$26.70 (+41.80%)
May 21, 2026
16d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.80 $16.78▼ −13.38%▼ −12.93%$26.70 (−80.41%)
May 21, 2026
16d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.80 $16.78▲ +13.38%▲ +12.93%$26.70 (+80.41%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (14h 51m)

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