UMAC Unusual Machines, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 26, 2026 Processed 11d 4h ago SEC 0001683168-26-004300
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
UMAC ▲ +77.48% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +77.48% · α vs SPY +76.28% · entry $18.83 → $33.42
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Last close $26.70 (close Jun 5) · +41.80% from $18.83 entry
Entry anchored
May 26, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+57.20%
call +57.20% · α +56.65%
$29.60
settled 11d ago
T+5d
+77.48%
call +77.48% · α +76.28%
$33.42
settled 5d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 17d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Unusual Machines filed an 8-K furnishing an investor presentation that highlights strong growth momentum, a $312M+ cash and short-term investment position, and a definitive agreement to acquire Upgrade Energy for domestic battery capabilities. The presentation also emphasizes a $3-$5B market opportunity from U.S. defense and enterprise drone programs, with recent Pentagon initiatives (Gauntlet 1 & 2) driving demand for NDAA-compliant supply chains. However, the filing contains no new financial results or guidance, and historical model calls on UMAC have underperformed significantly.

Actionable Insight

The presentation signals accelerating top-line growth and a strong balance sheet, but the declining gross margin and lack of hard guidance warrant caution. Monitor for the Upgrade Energy acquisition closing and any updates on Gauntlet contract wins, which could be catalysts. The stock's high valuation ($802M market cap on $32M annualized revenue) leaves little room for execution missteps.

Key Facts

  • Company uploaded an investor presentation on May 26, 2026, furnished as Exhibit 99.1
  • Reports $220M+ cash on hand, $26M in inventory, $60M in short-term investments, and no debt
  • Definitive agreement signed to acquire Upgrade Energy to strengthen domestic battery capabilities
  • Headcount accelerated to over 200 as of May 2026, up from 141 in Q4 2025
  • Q1 2026 annualized revenue of $32M, up from $20M annualized in Q4 2025
  • Gross margin declined from 39.4% in Q4 2025 to 32.8% in Q1 2026
  • Pentagon's Drone Dominance initiative projects 250k drones ordered across Gauntlets 3 & 4 by FY2027
  • Total common shares outstanding: 47,793,923 as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 annualized revenue of $32M (up from $20M in Q4 2025); gross margin declined to 32.8% from 39.4%; $312M+ in cash, short-term investments, and inventory; no debt

revenuegross margincashinventorydebt

Risk Factors

  • Gross margin declining from 39.4% to 32.8% QoQ despite revenue growth
  • Aggressive inventory strategy may lead to write-downs if demand slows
  • High valuation at ~25x annualized revenue with no reported net income
  • Historical model calls on UMAC have averaged -11.54% at T+20, suggesting poor timing or over-optimism

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001683168-26-004300
Document: umac_9901.htm0001683168-26-004300
Document: 0001683168-26-004300-index-headers.html0001683168-26-004300
Document: 0001683168-26-004300-index.html0001683168-26-004300
Document: 0001683168-26-004300.txt0001683168-26-004300
16 reports for UMAC
Performance horizon
13% Hit rate 1 of 8 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +9.19%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UMAC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$26.38 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$26.70 (−1.21%)
Jun 5, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.28 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$26.70 (−5.59%)
Jun 2, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$28.86 $32.30▼ −11.92%▼ −11.51%$26.70 (+7.48%)
Jun 1, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.88 $33.42▲ +15.72%▲ +15.58%$26.70 (−7.55%)
May 29, 2026
8d ago
144 / CLUSTER
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$28.88 $33.42▼ −15.72%▼ −15.57%$26.70 (+7.55%)
May 29, 2026
8d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.78 $28.88▲ +9.13%▲ +9.40%$26.70 (+15.98%)
May 27, 2026
10d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$18.83 $29.60▼ −57.20%▼ −56.64%$26.70 (−41.80%)
May 26, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.83 $29.60▲ +57.20%▲ +56.65%$26.70 (+41.80%)
May 21, 2026
16d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.80 $16.78▼ −13.38%▼ −12.93%$26.70 (−80.41%)
May 21, 2026
16d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.80 $16.78▲ +13.38%▲ +12.93%$26.70 (+80.41%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (12h 26m)

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