UE Urban Edge Properties

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-UE-ubs-20251024
3 firms acted on UE: UBS, Ladenburg Thalmann, BTIG
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
UE ▼ -4.99% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.99% · α vs SPY -6.73% · entry $20.08 → $19.07
Last close $23.92 (close Jun 12) · +19.15% from $20.08 entry
Entry anchored
Oct 24, 05:04 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.15%
call +0.15% · α -1.05%
$20.11
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-6.10%
call -6.10% · α -6.81%
$18.85
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-7.03%
call -7.03% · α -4.35%
$18.66
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-4.99%
call -4.99% · α -6.73%
$19.07
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

UBS initiated coverage on UE at Neutral with a $21 price target, part of a three-firm cluster including Ladenburg Thalmann (Neutral, $23) and BTIG (Buy, $23). The stock trades at $21.66, slightly above UBS's target, implying ~3% downside. Consensus is bullish: 10 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell across 15 analysts, with a mean target of $22.57 (+4.2% upside). UBS has a 55% accuracy rate on 5,083 calls with a 4.6% average return, slightly above the peer average. The 30-day analyst activity shows no upgrades or downgrades, but EPS estimates for the current year have been revised up 1 in the last 7 days and 1 in the last 30 days, with 0 down revisions. Insider and congressional trades are absent, but institutional activity is mixed: Wells Fargo added 39.4%, Renaissance Technologies doubled its position, while Bank of America trimmed 39.4% and Norges Bank exited. Short interest is elevated at 71.9% of TRF volume, signaling bearish positioning. The cluster of initiations with a neutral-to-buy tilt, combined with rising EPS estimates and mixed institutional flows, suggests a cautiously bullish setup but with limited near-term upside.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
10 (67%)
Hold
5
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
7
Mean PT
$22.57
Median PT
$23.00
High PT
$24.00
Low PT
$20.00
Current Price
$21.66
Implied Upside
+4.2%

Consensus is bullish: 6 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell across 15 analysts. The direction is clearly positive, with 10 Buy-equivalent ratings versus 5 Hold, and no Sell ratings. This is a strong consensus relative to the broader market.

Mean target $22.57, median $23, high $24, low $20. Current price $21.66 implies +4.2% upside to mean and +6.2% to median. UBS's $21 target is below the mean and median, sitting at the lower end of the range, indicating a below-consensus view.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-30 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line
2026-01-08 UBS maintain Neutral $20.00
2026-01-06 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $22.00
2025-10-24 UBS initiate Neutral $21.00
2025-09-24 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $21.00
2025-09-15 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line $22.00
2025-09-09 Ladenburg Thalmann initiate Neutral $23.00
2025-08-11 BTIG initiate Buy $23.00
2024-12-24 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line $22.00
2024-09-16 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line $22.00

30-day analyst activity: 0 upgrades, 0 downgrades. EPS revision trend is positive: current-year EPS estimates revised up 1 in the last 7 days and 1 in the last 30 days, with 0 down revisions. Next-quarter estimates also saw 1 upward revision in 30 days. Estimates are being revised higher, supporting a bullish fundamental backdrop.

Firm Track Record — UBS

UBS accuracy: 55% on 5083 calls | avg return: 4.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 1 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Evercore ISI Group 50% 2/4 1.2% below average

UBS has a 55% accuracy rate on 5,083 calls with a 4.6% average return, which is slightly above the peer average. The only other firm with available data is Evercore ISI Group (50% on 4 calls, 1.2% avg return, below average). UBS's track record is solid but not exceptional, making this a moderate-confidence signal.

Earnings Estimates

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1y $0.55 $0.46 — $0.63 $457.2M ↑0 ↓0
0q $0.11 $0.10 — $0.12 $106.9M ↑0 ↓0
+1q $0.13 $0.10 — $0.15 $108.3M ↑0 ↓0
0y $0.49 $0.38 — $0.57 $494.2M ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Institutional
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN — add (39.4%)
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — doubled (1422.5%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (268.8%)
Short Interest
Short: 448,388 | Exempt: 0 | TRF Vol: 623,877 | Short Ratio: 71.9% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider and congressional trades are absent. Institutional activity is mixed: Wells Fargo added 39.4%, Renaissance Technologies doubled (+1,422.5%), and Two Sigma doubled (+268.8%), while Bank of America trimmed 39.4% and Norges Bank exited. Short interest is high at 71.9% of TRF volume, indicating bearish positioning that diverges from the bullish consensus. The convergence of rising EPS estimates and institutional buying from top quant funds suggests underlying strength, but the high short interest and UBS's below-consensus target create a neutral-to-cautious signal.

Actionable Insight

The cluster of initiations with a neutral-to-buy tilt, combined with rising EPS estimates and strong institutional buying from Renaissance and Two Sigma, supports a cautiously bullish stance. However, UBS's below-consensus target and elevated short interest suggest limited near-term upside — traders should wait for a pullback toward $20-21 before adding long positions.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

4 reports for UE
Performance horizon
Filters
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Reports for UE — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 4, 2026
10d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.08 $18.66▼ −7.03%▼ −4.35%$23.92 (+19.15%)
May 8, 2026
5w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.61 $22.89▲ +5.92%▲ +5.90%$23.92 (+10.69%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.08 $18.66▼ −7.03%▼ −4.35%$23.92 (+19.15%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.18 $21.59▲ +6.99%▼ −0.87%$23.92 (+18.53%)
Showing 4 of 4

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