UE Urban Edge Properties

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 6d 4h ago SEC analyst-UE-ubs-20251024
3 firms acted on UE: UBS, Ladenburg Thalmann, BTIG
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
UE ▼ -4.99% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.99% · α vs SPY -6.73% · entry $20.08 → $19.07
Currently $23.76 · +18.35% from $20.08 entry
Entry anchored
Oct 24, 05:04 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.15%
call +0.15% · α -1.05%
$20.11
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-6.10%
call -6.10% · α -6.81%
$18.85
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-7.03%
call -7.03% · α -4.35%
$18.66
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-4.99%
call -4.99% · α -6.73%
$19.07
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

UBS initiated coverage on Urban Edge Properties (UE) with a Neutral rating and a $21 price target, implying 5.9% downside from the current $22.31. The call is part of a three-firm cluster including Ladenburg Thalmann (Neutral, $23) and BTIG (Buy, $23). UBS has a 55% accuracy rate on 5,084 calls with a 4.6% average return, slightly above the consensus mean target of $23.43. Consensus is heavily bullish: 10 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell across 15 analysts. The mean target implies 5.0% upside, but UBS's $21 sits at the low end of the $22–$26 range. EPS revisions are mixed: 2 upward revisions for the current fiscal year but 2 downward for next year. Insider selling is notable: CFO Jeffrey Olson sold $3.92M worth in early May 2026, a bearish contra-signal to the bullish consensus. Short interest is elevated at 61.0% of float, suggesting heavy bearish positioning. The cluster of initiates with mixed ratings and a low-end PT from a moderate-accuracy firm makes this a neutral-to-slightly-bearish signal for traders.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
10 (67%)
Hold
5
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
7
Mean PT
$23.43
Median PT
$23.00
High PT
$26.00
Low PT
$22.00
Current Price
$22.31
Implied Upside
+5%

Consensus is 66.7% Buy (6 strong buy, 4 buy), 33.3% Hold (5 hold), 0% Sell across 15 analysts. The direction is strongly bullish, though the cluster of recent initiates is split 2 Neutral to 1 Buy.

Mean PT $23.43, median $23.00, high $26.00, low $22.00. Current price $22.31 implies 5.0% upside to the mean. UBS's $21 is 10.3% below the mean and the only target below $22, making it the most bearish on the street.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-18 UBS maintain Neutral $22.00
2026-04-30 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line
2026-01-08 UBS maintain Neutral $20.00
2026-01-06 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $22.00
2025-10-24 UBS initiate Neutral $21.00
2025-09-24 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $21.00
2025-09-15 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line $22.00
2025-09-09 Ladenburg Thalmann initiate Neutral $23.00
2025-08-11 BTIG initiate Buy $23.00
2024-12-24 Evercore ISI Group maintain In-Line $22.00

No upgrades or downgrades in the past 30 days. EPS revisions are mixed: 2 upward revisions for the current fiscal year (0y) and 1 for the next quarter (+1q), but 2 downward revisions for next year (+1y). The 7-day revision trend is positive for 0y (+2) and 0q (+1), suggesting near-term optimism but longer-term caution.

Firm Track Record — UBS

UBS accuracy: 55% on 5084 calls | avg return: 4.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 1 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Evercore ISI Group 50% 2/4 1.2% below average

UBS has a 55% accuracy rate on 5,084 calls with a 4.6% average return, slightly above average. Only one other firm (Evercore ISI Group) has accuracy data: 50% on 4 calls with 1.2% return (below average). UBS's track record is moderate, not a standout.

Earnings Estimates

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q $0.13 $0.10 — $0.15 $99.9M ↑1 ↓0
0q $0.11 $0.10 — $0.12 $98.9M ↑1 ↓0
0y $0.49 $0.38 — $0.57 $443.2M ↑2 ↓0
+1y $0.51 $0.46 — $0.56 $456.4M ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 2 sells
Institutional
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN — add (39.4%)
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — doubled (1422.5%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (268.8%)
Short Interest
Short: 368,241 | Exempt: 0 | TRF Vol: 603,711 | Short Ratio: 61.0% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider selling is a bearish signal: CFO Jeffrey S. Olson sold $3.92M on May 8 and $411K on May 11, 2026 — a cluster of large C-suite sales. Institutional activity is mixed: Wells Fargo added 39.4%, Renaissance Technologies doubled (+1,422%), and Two Sigma doubled (+269%), while Bank of America trimmed 39.4% and Norges Bank exited. Short interest is extremely high at 61.0% of float, indicating heavy bearish bets. The insider selling and high short interest diverge from the bullish consensus, creating a risk-off signal.

Actionable Insight

The UBS Neutral initiate at $21 is a cautious call that aligns with insider selling and elevated short interest. Traders should watch for a potential squeeze if earnings beat, but the low-end PT and C-suite sales argue for waiting on the sidelines until the stock proves it can hold above $22.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

4 reports for UE
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for UE — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 4, 2026
6d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.08 $18.66▼ −7.03%▼ −4.35%$23.76 (+18.35%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.61 $22.89▲ +5.92%▲ +5.90%$23.76 (+9.95%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.08 $18.66▼ −7.03%▼ −4.35%$23.76 (+18.35%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.18 $21.59▲ +6.99%▼ −0.87%$23.76 (+17.74%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (17h 13m)

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