UBER Uber Technologies, Inc

BULLISH Impact: 1/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-UBER-citizens-20260205
14 firms acted on UBER: Citizens, Arete Research, Guggenheim, Mizuho, Canaccord Genuity, Stifel, KGI Securities, JMP Securities, Gordon Haskett, Benchmark, Daiwa Capital, Cantor Fitzgerald, Melius Research, Wolfe Research
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
UBER ▼ -1.70% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.70% · α vs SPY -7.66% · entry $75.21 → $73.93
Last close $70.06 (close Jun 8) · -6.84% from $75.21 entry
Entry anchored
Feb 5, 09:05 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.65%
call -0.65% · α -2.59%
$74.72
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-5.57%
call -5.57% · α -6.12%
$71.02
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-0.19%
call -0.19% · α +0.56%
$75.07
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-1.70%
call -1.70% · α -7.66%
$73.93
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

On February 5, 2026, Citizens upgraded Uber Technologies (UBER) from Market Perform to Market Outperform, setting a price target of $100. The move came as part of a 14-firm cluster of analyst actions on the same day, though most other firms reiterated existing ratings. Citizens' track record is poor at 38% accuracy on 137 calls with an average return of -6.6%, making this upgrade less credible. The consensus is overwhelmingly bullish: 51 of 61 analysts (83.6%) rate UBER a Buy, with a mean price target of $103.46 implying 38.7% upside from the current $74.61. Recent EPS revisions are mixed, with slight downward pressure over the past 30 days (4 up vs 4 down for the fiscal year). Insider activity shows a notable sell by a key executive in March, while institutional moves are split — FMR trimmed 48% but Norges Bank initiated a $2.5B position and Renaissance Technologies doubled its stake. Next earnings are due May 5, 2026, adding a near-term catalyst. Overall, the bullish consensus and mean target support the positive view, but the upgrade from a low-accuracy firm and mixed cross-platform signals temper conviction.

Impact Score

Base Score
1/7
LLM Adjustment
-1
Final Score
1/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
51 (84%)
Hold
9
Sell / Strong Sell
1
Total Analysts
52
Mean PT
$103.46
Median PT
$105.00
High PT
$150.00
Low PT
$70.00
Current Price
$74.61
Implied Upside
+38.7%

Of 61 analysts covering UBER, 16 rate it Strong Buy, 35 Buy, 9 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell. This translates to 83.6% Buy-side (Strong Buy + Buy), 14.8% Hold, and 1.6% Sell. The consensus is strongly bullish.

Current price: $74.61. Mean target: $103.46 (implied upside 38.7%). Median target: $105. High: $150. Low: $70. Citizens' $100 target is 3.3% below the mean, placing it slightly below consensus but above the low.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-28 Citizens reiterate Market Outperform $100.00
2026-04-27 Guggenheim reiterate Buy $125.00
2026-03-30 Wells Fargo maintain Overweight $95.00
2026-03-17 BTIG reiterate Buy $100.00
2026-03-04 BTIG reiterate Buy $100.00
2026-02-23 DA Davidson maintain Buy $105.00
2026-02-18 Guggenheim maintain Buy $125.00
2026-02-06 Citigroup maintain Buy $110.00
2026-02-05 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $105.00
2026-02-05 RBC Capital reiterate Outperform $105.00

Over the past 30 days, there have been 0 net upgrades and 0 net downgrades, though numerous reiterations. EPS revision trends: 30-day revisions for the current quarter show 1 up and 3 down; next quarter 0 up and 5 down; full fiscal year 4 up and 4 down. Estimates are slightly trending lower near term.

Firm Track Record — Citizens

Citizens accuracy: 38% on 137 calls | avg return: -6.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Piper Sandler 100% 5/5 12.4% top tier
Wolfe Research 100% 2/2 9.2% top tier
Goldman Sachs 100% 3/3 12.8% top tier
Roth MKM 100% 2/2 6.9% top tier
JP Morgan 80% 4/5 16.2% top tier
Needham 80% 12/15 11% top tier
Citigroup 80% 4/5 7.4% top tier
Keybanc 75% 3/4 6.3% top tier
TD Cowen 75% 3/4 12.5% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 75% 3/4 7.4% top tier

Citizens has a 38% accuracy rate on 137 rated calls, with an average return of -6.6%. This ranks poorly among covering firms. Top performers include Piper Sandler (100% on 5, +12.4% avg return), Goldman Sachs (100% on 3, +12.8%), and JPMorgan (80% on 5, +16.2%). Citizens' poor record reduces the signal value of this upgrade.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 5, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $0.72 $0.49 — $0.99 $13.3B ↑0 ↓0
+1q $0.81 $0.64 — $1.11 $14.2B ↑0 ↓0
0y $3.37 $2.74 — $4.70 $58.3B ↑2 ↓0
+1y $4.34 $2.92 — $5.78 $66.7B ↑2 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
1 buys / 1 sells
Congressional
Angus King (other) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Michael McCaul () — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Michael McCaul () — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
FMR LLC — trim (-48.2%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
Olstein Capital Management, L.P. — add (64.3%)

Insider activity is mixed: a $2.23M sell by Krishnamurthy Nikki on March 16 outweighs a $3.78K buy by Balaji. Congressional trades show two small sells and one small buy. Institutional flows are divergent: FMR trimmed 48.2% ($2.58B position), while Norges Bank initiated a $2.5B stake, Mawer added 231%, and Renaissance Technologies added 368%. Short interest data is unavailable. The analyst upgrade aligns with net institutional buying by some large funds but contrasts with insider selling.

Actionable Insight

The upgrade from a low-accuracy firm adds limited conviction, but the overwhelmingly bullish consensus and mean target of $103.46 (38.7% upside) support a positive bias. With earnings due May 5, traders should watch for revenue and guidance confirmation; the cluster of analyst actions in early February may have been early, but recent reiterations keep the bullish narrative intact.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

7 reports for UBER
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +7.47%Mar 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UBER — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 31, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 1/10
$75.21 $71.02▼ −5.57%▼ −6.12%$70.06 (−6.84%)
May 12, 2026
29d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$76.36 $75.08▼ −1.67%▼ −1.75%$70.06 (−8.25%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.11 $75.07▼ −1.37%▼ −1.28%$70.06 (−7.94%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 1/10
$75.21 $71.02▼ −5.57%▼ −6.12%$70.06 (−6.84%)
Apr 20, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$77.23 $74.10▼ −4.05%▼ −5.14%$70.06 (−9.28%)
Mar 23, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$72.31 $71.93▼ −0.52%▼ −0.10%$70.06 (−3.11%)
Mar 4, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$76.65 $74.80▲ +2.41%▲ +1.08%$70.06 (+8.59%)
Showing 7 of 7

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