TWOD TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 DEFA14A
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 8, 2026 Processed 1d 20h ago SEC 0001104659-26-071174
Proxy solicitation materials

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Executive Summary

Two Harbors Investment Corp. management filed additional definitive proxy soliciting materials urging stockholders to vote FOR the all-cash merger with CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) at $12.00/share, directly rebutting a competing all-stock/partial-cash proposal from UWM Corporation (UWMC). The filing provides a quantitative comparison highlighting UWMC stock's decline to a $2.59 all-time low (making its default stock consideration worth ~$6.04/share) and UWMC's deteriorating credit profile, while emphasizing CCM's secured regulatory approvals (46 of 53) and fully-financed, election-free cash offer. The special meeting is postponed to June 23, 2026, with CCM agreeing to a waiver of non-solicitation through June 12 to allow engagement with UWMC on an all-cash proposal.

Actionable Insight

TWO stock likely trades near CCM's $12.00 offer price minus deal-risk discount. The June 12 deadline for UWMC to submit an all-cash binding proposal is the key near-term catalyst — monitor for any UWMC counteroffer or statement. If no all-cash UWMC proposal emerges by June 12, the CCM deal probability increases sharply and the stock should converge toward $12.00. A failure to secure stockholder approval on June 23 would likely send TWO shares below the CCM offer as no other deal is in place.

Key Facts

  • CCM offers $12.00 per share all-cash to all TWO stockholders plus a pro-rated stub dividend; no election required; fully financed.
  • CCM has secured 85% of required regulatory approvals (46 of 53) and obtained early termination of HSR waiting period.
  • Special meeting postponed to June 23, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • UWMC's stock closed at $2.59 all-time low on June 5, 2026; default stock consideration for non-electing holders worth ~$6.04/share.
  • UWMC has no signed agreement with TWO; its proposal has a stock default structure estimated to catch 25-30% of stockholders.
  • UWMC leverage increased from 2.45x (Q3 2025) to 3.18x (Q1 2026); Fitch downgraded credit outlook twice in four months.
  • Bloomberg Corporate Default Risk Model shows UWMC 1-year default probability of 5.75%, up from 1.2% in December 2025.
  • Board unanimously recommends FOR the CCM transaction on the WHITE proxy card.
  • CCM agreed to waive non-solicitation provisions through June 12, 2026 to permit engagement with UWMC on an all-cash proposal.

Financial Impact

CCM offers $12.00 per share cash; UWMC competing proposal headlines $12.50 but default stock consideration value ~$6.04/share based on UWMC closing price of $2.59 on June 5, 2026; UWMC stock declined approximately 50% from $5.12 in December 2025.

stock pricemerger consideration valuedeal certaintycredit risk

Risk Factors

  • Stockholders might reject the CCM deal on June 23, leaving TWO without an actionable transaction (CCM has said $12.00 is final and may walk away).
  • UWMC could theoretically still surface a fully-financed, all-cash binding offer before June 12, creating a higher bid scenario.
  • Regulatory approvals: 7 of 53 still outstanding; any denial could jeopardize closure timeline.
  • Shareholder litigation related to the CCM transaction could delay or derail approval.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (16 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-071174
Document: 0001104659-26-071174-index-headers.html0001104659-26-071174
Document: 0001104659-26-071174-index.html0001104659-26-071174
Document: 0001104659-26-071174.txt0001104659-26-071174
25 reports for TWOD
Performance horizon
82% Hit rate 9 of 11 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +2.09%Mar 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TWOD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$25.42 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$25.34 (−0.30%)
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.42 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$25.34 (−0.30%)
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.42 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$25.34 (−0.30%)
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.39 $25.42▲ +0.12%▼ −0.28%$25.34 (−0.20%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$25.24 $25.27▲ +0.12%▼ −0.08%$25.34 (+0.40%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.24 $25.27▲ +0.12%▼ −0.08%$25.34 (+0.40%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
DEFA14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$25.30 $25.35▼ −0.20%▼ −0.26%$25.34 (−0.16%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$25.30 $25.35▼ −0.20%▼ −0.26%$25.34 (−0.16%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.30 $25.35▲ +0.20%▲ +0.26%$25.34 (+0.16%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.26 $25.30▲ +0.16%▲ +1.39%$25.34 (+0.32%)
Showing 10 of 25

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