TRU TransUnion

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon days Filed Apr 28, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001552033-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TRU ▲ +1.42% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.42% · α vs SPY -4.04% · entry $69.82 → $70.81
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Currently $69.92 · +0.15% from $69.82 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 28, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.60%
call +0.60% · α +0.61%
$70.24
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.29%
call -2.29% · α -3.98%
$68.22
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+1.42%
call +1.42% · α -4.04%
$70.81
settled 14d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TransUnion reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.246B (+14% YoY) and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $1.18 (+12% YoY), exceeding guidance on both revenue and Adjusted EBITDA. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $5.100B-$5.135B (from $4.946B-$4.981B) primarily to reflect the acquisition of a majority stake in Trans Union de Mexico, while maintaining organic constant currency growth assumptions of 8%-9%. U.S. Financial Services revenue grew 24% YoY, driven by a 50% surge in mortgage (+24% ex-FICO royalties), though Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 100bps to 35.2% due to FICO royalty costs and acquisition dilution.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$5.100B-$5.135B
raised
Free Cash Flow
$19.0M

Actionable Insight

The Q1 beat and raised guidance are positive, but margin compression from FICO royalties and acquisition dilution is a headwind. Watch for organic constant currency revenue ex-FICO royalty (5%-6% growth) as the cleanest read on underlying demand. The Mexico acquisition adds ~3.5pts to reported revenue growth but is margin-dilutive in 2026. Leverage at 2.8x is manageable but limits near-term buyback acceleration. The stock should react positively to the beat and guidance raise, but the magnitude may be tempered by margin concerns and macro uncertainty flagged by management.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue of $1.246B (+14% YoY, +11% organic constant currency) exceeded guidance
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS of $1.18 (+12% YoY) beat guidance and consensus of $0.97
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance raised to $5.100B-$5.135B (+11%-12% reported, +8%-9% organic constant currency)
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance raised to $4.68-$4.75 (+9%-11% YoY)
  • U.S. Financial Services revenue grew 24% YoY; Mortgage revenue up 50% (+24% ex-FICO royalty)
  • Completed acquisition of ~68% equity interest in Trans Union de Mexico on March 2, 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 100bps YoY to 35.2% due to FICO royalty costs and acquisition dilution
  • Leverage ratio increased to 2.8x from 2.6x at year-end 2025 due to Mexico acquisition financing
  • Repurchased $25M in shares year-to-date through mid-April; $325M total since 2025
  • International revenue flat on organic constant currency basis; India declined 5% and Asia Pacific declined 18%

Financial Impact

Revenue guidance raised by $154M at high-end to $5.135B; Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised by $39M to $1.816B; Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance raised by $0.04 to $4.75

revenueadjustedEpsadjustedEbitdaleverage

Risk Factors

  • FICO mortgage royalty program continues to compress margins (~90bps impact in FY 2026)
  • International organic constant currency revenue was flat; India and Asia Pacific declining
  • Leverage increased to 2.8x from 2.6x; higher interest expense ($245M vs $203M in 2025) from Mexico financing
  • Geopolitical uncertainty and tariffs could impact consumer credit markets
  • Integration risk from Trans Union de Mexico acquisition

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (25 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001552033-26-000025
Exhibit: exhibit9923312026.htm0001552033-26-000025
Document: ck0001552033-20260428.htm0001552033-26-000025
Document: 0001552033-26-000025-index-headers.html0001552033-26-000025
Document: 0001552033-26-000025-index.html0001552033-26-000025
Document: 0001552033-26-000025.txt0001552033-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001552033-26-000025
19 reports for TRU
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +1.42%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TRU — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$70.41 $70.41· 0.00%▲ +2.60%$69.92 (−0.69%)
May 13, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$66.35 $65.90▼ −0.68%▼ −1.46%$69.92 (+5.38%)
May 13, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$66.35 $65.90▼ −0.68%▼ −1.46%$69.92 (+5.38%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$71.96 $69.62▼ −3.25%▼ −3.48%$69.92 (−2.83%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$71.96 $69.62▼ −3.25%▼ −3.48%$69.92 (−2.83%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$70.19 $68.99▼ −1.71%▼ −1.37%$69.92 (−0.38%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$69.82 $70.24▲ +0.60%▲ +0.61%$69.92 (+0.15%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$69.82 $70.24▲ +0.60%▲ +0.61%$69.92 (+0.15%)
Apr 1, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$69.08 $68.77▼ −0.45%▼ −0.92%$69.92 (+1.22%)
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$66.22 $68.96▲ +4.14%▲ +1.25%$69.92 (+5.59%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (9h 47m)

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