TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 18, 2026 Processed 27d 21h ago SEC 0001811074-26-000040
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Latest settled — T+5d
TPL ▲ +3.49% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.49% · α vs SPY +1.87% · entry $386.61 → $400.09
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Last close $378.91 (close Jun 12) · -1.99% from $386.61 entry
Entry anchored
May 15, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+2.06%
call +2.06% · α +2.71%
$394.57
settled 27d ago
T+5d
+3.49%
call +3.49% · α +1.87%
$400.09
settled 20d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
tomorrow
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

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Executive Summary

Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) held an Investor Day on May 18, 2026, presenting an overview of its water business, desalination pilot progress, and data center initiatives via Bolt Data & Energy. The presentation highlighted FY 2025 Water segment revenue of $386M (48% of consolidated revenue), produced water royalty volumes of 4.3M bbl/d generating $124M in revenue with zero direct operating expense, and Phase 2 freeze desalination construction completed with operations commencing in May 2026. No new financial guidance or material changes to operations were disclosed — the filing is a routine investor relations update.

Actionable Insight

Monitor for Phase 2 desalination results and Final Investment Decision on Phase 3 commercial-scale facility, which could unlock a new revenue stream. Track Bolt Data & Energy's progress on data center site diligence and GW-scale project announcements. No immediate catalyst from this investor day filing.

Key Facts

  • FY 2025 Water segment revenue of $386M, representing 48% of TPL consolidated revenue
  • FY 2025 produced water royalty volumes of 4.3M bbl/d generating $124M in revenue with zero direct operating expense or capex
  • Phase 2 freeze desalination facility (10,000 bbl/d capacity) construction completed, operations commencing May 2026; Phase 1 pilot completed in 2024
  • Bolt Data & Energy, in which TPL invested $50M in December 2025, is progressing LOIs and RFPs for multi-GW data center projects
  • Water sales volumes grew from 44 mbbl/d in 2017 to 763 mbbl/d in 2025; produced water royalty volumes grew from 433 mbbl/d in 2018 to 4,292 mbbl/d in 2025
  • Consolidated TPL FY 2025 net income margin of 60%; Water Services & Operations net income margin of 52%

Financial Impact

No new financial guidance or material changes to existing operations disclosed; FY 2025 Water segment revenue of $386M and produced water royalties of $124M reaffirmed

revenuenet income margin

Risk Factors

  • Desalination commercialization remains unproven at scale; Phase 2 results and Phase 3 FID are pending
  • Bolt Data & Energy projects are early-stage with no binding agreements disclosed
  • Water sales and produced water volumes are tied to Permian Basin drilling activity, which is sensitive to oil prices

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Oil Royalty Traders
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001811074-26-000040
Document: tpl-20260518.htm0001811074-26-000040
Document: 0001811074-26-000040-index-headers.html0001811074-26-000040
Document: 0001811074-26-000040-index.html0001811074-26-000040
Document: 0001811074-26-000040.txt0001811074-26-000040
14 reports for TPL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +25.74%Feb 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TPL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$386.92 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$378.91 (−2.07%)
Jun 10, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$382.09 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$378.91 (−0.83%)
Jun 9, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$382.19 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$378.91 (−0.86%)
May 18, 2026
27d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$386.61 $400.09▲ +3.49%▲ +1.87%$378.91 (−1.99%)
May 7, 2026
5w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$399.08 $386.51▼ −3.15%▼ −4.65%$378.91 (−5.05%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$399.08 $386.51▼ −3.15%▼ −4.65%$378.91 (−5.05%)
Feb 25, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$509.72 $536.11▲ +5.18%▲ +6.28%$378.91 (−25.66%)
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$531.34 $523.64▼ −1.45%▼ −0.42%$378.91 (−28.69%)
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$531.34 $523.64▼ −1.45%▼ −0.42%$378.91 (−28.69%)
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$531.34 $523.64▼ −1.45%▼ −0.42%$378.91 (−28.69%)
Showing 10 of 14

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