TGEN TECOGEN INC.

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 12, 2026 Processed 28d 6h ago SEC 0001537435-26-000036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
TGEN ▲ +5.72% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.72% · α vs SPY -6.88% · entry $5.07 → $5.36
Next anchor: T+20d in 8h
Currently $5.67 · -11.83% from $5.07 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 12, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.00%
$5.07
settled 28d ago
T+5d
+5.72%
call -5.72% · α -6.88%
$5.36
settled 22d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 8h
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tecogen reported Q1 2026 revenue of $6.34M (down 12.9% YoY) and a net loss of $2.12M (loss of $0.07 per share), significantly worse than the prior year's loss of $0.66M. While the company highlighted an imminent purchase order from Vertiv for a 1MW chiller deployment and a non-data center pipeline of >$8M in orders, the core financials deteriorated sharply with product revenue down 53.6%, gross margin contracting, and cash burn accelerating to $3.1M in operating cash flow. The stock's prior massive rallies (+84% avg T+20) suggest the market is pricing the data center optionality, but the widening losses and cash burn rate of $3.1M/quarter against a $9.3M cash balance create a fundamental overhang.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
-$3.2M
Gross Margin
40.9%

Actionable Insight

The widening losses and cash burn rate of $3.1M/quarter against a $9.3M cash balance (falling to $8.5M in May) give the company less than 3 quarters of runway without additional financing or a material revenue inflection. The Vertiv PO and >$8M pipeline are critical catalysts but remain unbooked — watch for 8-K filings confirming the Vertiv order and any equity or debt offering to extend runway. The stock's extreme historical volatility (+84% avg T+20 on prior reports) suggests binary outcomes: either the data center deals materialize quickly or dilution risk becomes acute.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $6.34M, down 12.9% YoY from $7.28M
  • Net loss widened to $2.12M from $0.66M YoY; EPS loss of $0.07 vs $0.03 loss
  • Product revenue collapsed 53.6% to $1.18M from $2.53M
  • Operating cash burn accelerated to -$3.11M from -$1.17M YoY
  • Cash balance fell to $9.33M from $12.43M at year-end 2025; $8.5M in May 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA worsened to -$1.68M from -$0.38M YoY
  • CEO cited imminent purchase order from Vertiv for 1MW chiller deployment
  • Non-data center pipeline >$8M in orders, $2.3M with PO and deposit
  • Gross margin improved to 40.9% from 36.8% in Q4 2025 but down from 44.3% YoY
  • Operating expenses rose 23.9% to $4.73M due to data center investments

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$1.3M vs consensus $5.0M; net loss $2.12M vs $0.66M loss YoY; cash burn $3.1M/quarter

revenueepscashFlowgrossMarginoperatingExpenses

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway of ~3 quarters at current burn rate without revenue inflection
  • Product revenue decline of 53.6% signals lumpy order flow and execution risk
  • Vertiv PO is 'imminent' but not yet booked — delay or cancellation would be negative
  • Operating expenses rising 23.9% while revenue declines creates negative operating leverage
  • Potential need for dilutive financing if cash burn continues

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001537435-26-000036
Document: tgen-20260512.htm0001537435-26-000036
Document: earningspresentationq120.htm0001537435-26-000036
Document: 0001537435-26-000036-index-headers.html0001537435-26-000036
Document: 0001537435-26-000036-index.html0001537435-26-000036
Document: 0001537435-26-000036.txt0001537435-26-000036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001537435-26-000036
6 reports for TGEN
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +118.39%Mar 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TGEN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 12, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.07 $5.36▼ −5.72%▼ −6.88%$5.67 (−11.83%)
Apr 8, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.09 $3.87▲ +25.24%▲ +22.06%$5.67 (+83.50%)
Mar 20, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$2.23 $2.57▲ +15.25%▲ +17.40%$5.67 (+154.26%)
Mar 20, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.23 $2.57▲ +15.25%▲ +17.40%$5.67 (+154.26%)
Mar 20, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$2.23 $2.57▲ +15.25%▲ +17.40%$5.67 (+154.26%)
Mar 18, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.00 $2.89▼ −44.50%▼ −45.21%$5.67 (−183.50%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (9h 49m)

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