TBNRL Tamboran Resources Corp

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 424B5
Horizon weeks Filed Apr 9, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001193125-26-148892
Notable filing: 424B5
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TBNRL ▼ -2.78% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.78% · α vs SPY +10.35% · entry $0.1800 → $0.1750
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Currently $0.1800 · -0.00% from $0.1800 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Apr 9, 2026
via day open
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.06%
$0.1800
settled 6w ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +3.19%
$0.1800
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-2.78%
call +2.78% · α +10.35%
$0.1750
settled 13d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources Corp is raising $97.8 million through a public offering of 2.96 million shares at $35.00 per share, concurrent with a $79.3 million institutional entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund drilling and development in the Beetaloo Basin, but the company continues to face substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

Actionable Insight

The 18.5% discount to market price suggests weak investor demand. Traders should monitor the concurrent institutional entitlement offer completion and Falcon Acquisition regulatory approvals as near-term catalysts. The substantial going concern doubt remains a major overhang despite the capital raise.

Key Facts

  • Raising $97.8 million through public offering of 2,956,602 shares at $35.00 per share
  • Concurrent institutional entitlement offer for up to $79.3 million (2,266,729 shares)
  • Proceeds to fund drilling in Pilot Area, Orion Acreage, Beetaloo Central Development Area, and EP 161 acreage
  • Company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern
  • Falcon Acquisition remains pending with regulatory approvals needed
  • Stock offered at $35.00 per share vs. $42.94 closing price, representing a 18.5% discount

Financial Impact

Raises $97.8 million in gross proceeds, increasing cash position by 117% from $83.4 million at December 2025

cashdilutionequity

Risk Factors

  • Substantial doubt about going concern status
  • Falcon Acquisition not yet completed
  • Significant dilution from capital raise
  • 18.5% discount to market price indicates weak investor demand

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-148892
Document: d110593dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892-index-headers.html0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892-index.html0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892.txt0001193125-26-148892
7 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 1 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +2.78%Apr 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 13, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
awaiting T+20
Apr 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1800 (+0.00%)
Apr 14, 2026
5w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1800 (−0.00%)
Apr 9, 2026
5w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1800 (−0.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
6w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1800 (−2.86%)
Apr 7, 2026
6w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1800 (−2.86%)
Apr 7, 2026
6w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1800 (−2.86%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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