SNPS SYNOPSYS INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 1/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-SNPS-bofasecu-20251211
16 firms acted on SNPS: Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, B of A Securities, Rosenblatt, B of A Securities, Citigroup, Exane BNP Paribas, B of A Securities, Baird, Rosenblatt, Goldman Sachs, Redburn Atlantic, Wells Fargo, Loop Capital, Mizuho, Berenberg
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SNPS ▼ -9.04% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -9.04% · α vs SPY -7.19% · entry $475.61 → $432.60
Last close $473.48 (close Jun 8) · -0.45% from $475.61 entry
Entry anchored
Dec 11, 06:54 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-4.93%
call -4.93% · α -3.86%
$452.17
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-3.99%
call -3.99% · α -2.15%
$456.64
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+11.87%
call +11.87% · α +10.99%
$532.07
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-9.04%
call -9.04% · α -7.19%
$432.60
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

B of A Securities upgraded Synopsys (SNPS) from Neutral to Buy on Dec 11, 2025, raising its price target to $560 from $500, implying 16% upside from the current $482.60. The move was part of a 16-firm analyst cluster, but B. of A.’s track record is weak (20% accuracy on 5 calls, avg return 4.4%). Consensus remains heavily bullish: 24 of 31 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy (70%), with a mean target of $534.65 and median of $540. However, recent actions show headwinds: Morgan Stanley downgraded to Equal-Weight (PT $480) on Feb 27, 2026, and Piper Sandler downgraded to Neutral (PT $520) on Jan 13, 2026. EPS revisions are mixed — near-term (-1Q) saw 2 up and 13 down revisions in 30 days, but full-year +0Y saw 22 up, 0 down, suggesting long-term confidence. Institutional buying is robust: FMR LLC added 29.1% and 47.5% in two filings, and Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+139.5%). Short interest sits at 58.2% of float, a bearish bet against the stock. The upgrade from a low-accuracy firm aligned with consensus offers limited surprise, but the cluster and institutional flows provide underlying support.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
-1
Final Score
1/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
24 (77%)
Hold
6
Sell / Strong Sell
1
Total Analysts
26
Mean PT
$534.65
Median PT
$540.00
High PT
$650.00
Low PT
$403.85
Current Price
$482.60
Implied Upside
+10.8%

Of 31 analysts covering SNPS, 8 rate Strong Buy, 16 Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell — a 70% bullish consensus (24 Buy/Strong Buy). The direction is firmly bullish, with only one sell rating. This upgrade aligns with the prevailing view, reducing its contrarian impact.

Mean price target is $534.65, median $540, with a high of $650 and low of $403.85. At $482.60, the implied upside to the mean is 10.8%. B of A’s new PT of $560 is above the mean and median, placing it in the top quartile of targets but still 14% below the high of $650 (from JP Morgan).

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-02-27 Morgan Stanley downgrade Equal-Weight $480.00
2026-02-26 Wells Fargo maintain Equal-Weight $450.00
2026-02-26 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $530.00
2026-02-26 Piper Sandler maintain Neutral $430.00
2026-02-20 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $560.00
2026-01-13 Piper Sandler downgrade Neutral $520.00
2025-12-12 Morgan Stanley maintain Overweight $550.00
2025-12-11 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $650.00
2025-12-11 Wells Fargo maintain Equal-Weight $500.00
2025-12-11 Keybanc maintain Overweight $600.00

The 30-day analyst activity shows 0 net upgrades and 0 downgrades, but recent individual actions include a Morgan Stanley downgrade (Feb 27, Equal-Weight, PT $480) and a Piper Sandler downgrade (Jan 13, Neutral, PT $520). EPS revisions are mixed: next quarter (-1Q) had 13 down revisions vs 2 up in 30 days, while full current year (+0Y) had 22 up and 0 down, indicating near-term caution but longer-term optimism.

Firm Track Record — B of A Securities

B of A Securities accuracy: 54% on 3282 calls | avg return: 5.1%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 12 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Mizuho 100% 3/3 17% top tier
Stifel 100% 2/2 28.1% top tier
Needham 56% 5/9 2.9% above average
Piper Sandler 55% 6/11 1.9% above average
JP Morgan 50% 2/4 2.1% below average
Goldman Sachs 50% 1/2 0.1% below average
Morgan Stanley 50% 2/4 -7.1% below average
Wells Fargo 43% 3/7 -3.4% below average
Keybanc 38% 3/8 -0.3% below average
Rosenblatt 27% 3/11 -1.8% below average

B of A Securities has a 20% accuracy rate (1 correct out of 5 calls) with an average return of 4.4% — well below the top-tier firms covering SNPS. The best performers are Mizuho (100% on 3 calls, avg return 17%) and Stifel (100% on 2 calls, avg return 28.1%). The worst is Baird (20% on 5 calls, avg return -2.8%). B of A’s call carries less weight given its poor track record.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 26, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q $3.63 $3.40 — $3.84 $2.4B ↑2 ↓0
0y $14.45 $14.31 — $14.85 $9.6B ↑22 ↓0
+1y $17.05 $16.01 — $18.60 $10.7B ↑15 ↓0
0q $3.15 $3.13 — $3.30 $2.2B ↑12 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Institutional
FMR LLC — add (29.1%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — new
Short Interest
Short: 323,461 | Exempt: 279 | TRF Vol: 555,712 | Short Ratio: 58.2% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trades and congressional activity are absent. Institutional data is strongly bullish: FMR LLC increased holdings by 29.1% and 47.5% in two separate filings, and Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+139.5%). Norges Bank and Two Sigma initiated new positions. Short interest is elevated at 58.2% of float, signaling bearish bets that could fuel a squeeze if the stock rallies. The divergence between institutional buying and high short interest creates a volatile backdrop.

Actionable Insight

The B of A upgrade alone is weak due to low accuracy, but the cluster of 16 firms and heavy institutional buying support upside. Traders should watch for a breakout above $490 if near-term headwinds ease; the high short interest adds squeeze potential, but recent downgrades warrant caution below $470.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

8 reports for SNPS
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +25.94%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SNPS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 31, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$475.61 $456.64▼ −3.99%▼ −2.15%$473.48 (−0.45%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$480.64 $493.02▲ +2.58%▲ +2.26%$473.48 (−1.49%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$480.64 $493.02▲ +2.58%▲ +2.26%$473.48 (−1.49%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$475.61 $456.64▼ −3.99%▼ −2.15%$473.48 (−0.45%)
Apr 20, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$467.30 $483.61▲ +3.49%▲ +2.41%$473.48 (+1.32%)
Feb 28, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$424.47 $437.06▲ +2.97%▲ +4.17%$473.48 (+11.55%)
Feb 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$422.98 $442.12▲ +4.53%▲ +5.65%$473.48 (+11.94%)
Jan 20, 2026
20w ago
Court Ruling
MIXED ★ 5/10
$509.60 $501.85▼ −1.52%▼ −4.20%$473.48 (−7.09%)
Showing 8 of 8

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