SHEL Shell plc

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon immediate Filed May 7, 2026 Processed 13d 17h ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
SHEL ▲ +0.82% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.82% · α vs SPY +0.69% · entry $84.24 → $84.93
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Currently $86.72 · -2.94% from $84.24 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.32%
call +0.32% · α +1.15%
$83.97
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+0.82%
call -0.82% · α +0.69%
$84.93
settled 6d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 16d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Shell reported Q1 2026 EPS of $1.01, a 54% miss versus consensus of $2.21, and revenue of $69.7B, 13% below estimates. The weak quarter was driven by large working capital outflows, fair value accounting losses on derivatives, and a non-cash lease liability increase from the Middle East conflict. Net debt rose to $52.6B and gearing increased to 23.2%, though a $3.0B buyback was announced.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
$2.9B

Actionable Insight

The severe earnings miss and deteriorating balance sheet suggest downside risk. Monitor for potential guidance cuts and the impact of the ARC acquisition on leverage. The $3B buyback may provide a floor, but fundamentals are weak near-term.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS $1.01 (GAAP basic) vs consensus $2.21, miss of 54%
  • Revenue $69.7B vs consensus $80.4B, miss of 13%
  • Net debt increased to $52.6B from $45.7B, gearing rose to 23.2%
  • Identified items net loss of $2.4B, including $2.4B from commodity derivative fair value adjustments
  • Lease liabilities increased $3.2B non-cash due to Middle East conflict impact on shipping indexes
  • Cash flow from operations $6.1B, but free cash flow only $2.9B after investing outflows
  • Share buyback of $3.0B announced; $3.2B completed in Q1
  • ARC Resources acquisition for $13.6B expected to close H2 2026

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $1.20 per share vs consensus, revenue shortfall of $10.6B; net debt up $6.9B sequentially

epsrevenuenet debtcash flow

Risk Factors

  • Continued Middle East disruption further impacting LNG and refining margins
  • Integration and financing risk from the ARC acquisition
  • High gearing limits financial flexibility; potential credit rating action
  • Large derivative losses may recur under volatile commodity prices

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (26 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3289609
19 reports for SHEL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.71%Mar 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SHEL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 19, 2026
1d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.10 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$86.72 (−1.57%)
May 14, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$84.83 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$86.72 (+2.23%)
May 14, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 11, 2026
9d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.36 $88.59▲ +3.78%▲ +3.87%$86.72 (+1.59%)
May 7, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.24 $84.93▲ +0.82%▼ −0.69%$86.72 (+2.94%)
May 7, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$84.24 $84.93▲ +0.82%▼ −0.69%$86.72 (+2.94%)
May 7, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$84.24 $84.93▲ +0.82%▼ −0.69%$86.72 (+2.94%)
May 7, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$84.24 $84.93▼ −0.82%▲ +0.69%$86.72 (−2.94%)
Apr 27, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$86.91 $89.26▲ +2.70%▲ +2.30%$86.72 (−0.22%)
Apr 13, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$92.60 $88.00▼ −4.97%▼ −8.26%$86.72 (−6.35%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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