SAIA SAIA INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 22h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive funds (Fidelity, Invesco, Morgan Stanley) significantly increased SAIA positions in Q3 2025, adding $481M net. Two sellers include Norges Bank exiting a $103.6M stake and T. Rowe Price trimming. The buying is dominated by passive index rebalancing, limiting directional conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$618.7M
Sell Value
$104.4M
Net Flow
$377.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $377.2M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Fidelity ADD +83.6% $143.3M $71.9M
Invesco DOUBLED +1300.4% $210.0M $196.3M
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +363% $265.4M $213.0M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
T. Rowe Price TRIM -39.4% $794.0K -$268.4K
Norges Bank EXIT -100% $103.6M -$103.6M

Actionable Insight

The passive buying suggests SAIA may have been added or rebalanced in indices, but the selling by a sovereign fund and active manager trim warrants caution. Monitor next 13F for continuation or reversal.

Key Facts

  • Fidelity added 83.6%, Invesco DOUBLED (+1300%), Morgan Stanley DOUBLED (+363%) during Q3 2025.
  • Norges Bank fully exited its $103.6M position; T. Rowe Price trimmed 39.4% of its stake.
  • Net institutional buying of $481.1M vs selling of $103.9M, resulting in net accumulation of $377.2M.

Financial Impact

3 buyers accumulated $618.8M in current holdings (net change +$481.1M); 2 sellers reduced holdings by $103.9M.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound.
  • Passive rebalancing may reverse next quarter; Norges exit signals potential concern.
  • Historical calibration shows low probability of up-move for similar institutional clusters at this score.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Trucking (No Local)
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (26 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-SAIA-2025-Q3
7 reports for SAIA
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +15.16%Mar 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SAIA — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$463.60 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 2, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$471.15 $464.49▼ −1.41%▼ −0.69%
Jun 2, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$471.15 $464.49▲ +1.41%▲ +0.69%
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$448.94 $449.80▲ +0.19%▼ −0.64%
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$448.82 $441.26▼ −1.68%▼ −1.90%
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$351.28 $354.88▲ +1.02%▲ +0.28%
Mar 3, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$414.06 $414.43▼ −0.09%▲ +0.67%
Showing 7 of 7

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