REAX Real Brokerage Inc

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 2d 3h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)

Executive Summary

A cluster of 5 major institutional investors, including Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, UBS, BofA, and RenTech, all increased their positions in Real Brokerage Inc during Q3 2025, with zero sellers. Aggregate buying totaled $13.9M in net new value, bringing combined holdings to $28.6M. The buying is dominated by mega-passive managers and one quant fund, suggesting a broad-based rebalancing or passive index-driven accumulation rather than a concentrated activist or fundamental value thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$28.6M
Net Flow
$13.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $13.9M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Fidelity DOUBLED +388.3% $656.0K $511.0K
Morgan Stanley ADD +84.6% $10.5M $4.4M
UBS DOUBLED +894.6% $5.4M $4.8M
BofA ADD +64.4% $3.8M $1.3M
RenTech ADD +66% $8.3M $2.9M

Actionable Insight

The cluster is dominated by passive/index rebalancing and a quant fund, not active fundamental conviction. The 0% historical win rate on REAX reports at T+20 (-16.5% avg) and the score calibration showing only 31-34% observed up-moves for scores 6-8 suggest this cluster signal has limited predictive power. Monitor for any active manager entry or fundamental catalyst before treating this as a bullish signal.

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2025
  • Aggregate net buying of $13.9M, total holdings $28.6M
  • Fidelity doubled its position (+388% shares, +$511K)
  • UBS nearly 10x'd its position (+895% shares, +$4.8M)
  • Morgan Stanley added 84.6% (+$4.4M), RenTech added 66% (+$2.9M)
  • All buyers are mega-passive or quant — no active fundamental managers
  • Historical performance on REAX reports shows 0% win rate at T+20 with avg -16.5% return

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated $13.9M in net new positions, bringing total institutional holdings in the cluster to $28.6M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 45-day 13F reporting lag — positions may have already been unwound
  • All buyers are passive/quant — no fundamental conviction signal
  • Historical REAX reports show consistent negative returns at T+20 regardless of signal direction
  • Score calibration shows only ~30% probability of positive T+20 move for this score range

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-REAX-2025-Q3
14 reports for REAX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +9.90%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REAX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.63 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.62 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
May 29, 2026
14d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.82 $1.68▼ −7.69%▼ −4.94%
May 11, 2026
4w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.90 $1.76▼ −7.37%▼ −7.28%
May 7, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.04 $1.71▼ −16.18%▼ −17.64%
May 5, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.09 $1.86▼ −11.00%▼ −12.14%
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.15 $2.09▼ −2.79%▼ −5.90%
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.22 $2.07▼ −6.76%▼ −8.45%
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.22 $2.07▼ −6.76%▼ −8.45%
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$2.02 $2.07▲ +2.48%▲ +2.08%
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (45h 28m)

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