REAX Real Brokerage Inc

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 425
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 4, 2026 Processed 8d 11h ago SEC 0001104659-26-070595
Rule 425 M&A communications

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Executive Summary

Real Brokerage CEO Tamir Poleg presented at the William Blair 46th Annual Growth Conference, reiterating the strategic rationale and financial projections for the pending $880M acquisition of RE/MAX Holdings. The presentation included updated financial data (Q1 2026 revenue of $465.6M, net loss of $3.5M) and emphasized cost synergies of ~$30M, pro forma 2025 revenue of ~$2.3B, and Adjusted EBITDA of ~$157M. No changes to deal terms or timeline were disclosed; expected close remains 2H 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$880.0M

Actionable Insight

This is a routine deal-progress update with no new material information. Monitor for regulatory approval announcements and shareholder vote timing. The stock has been volatile (historical T+20 alpha -24.96% on prior calls), suggesting the market is pricing in execution risk. Watch for any opposition from RE/MAX franchisees or antitrust hurdles.

Key Facts

  • Real Brokerage reported Q1 2026 revenue of $465.6M, up from $353.98M in Q1 2025, and a net loss of $3.46M vs. $5.12M in Q1 2025.
  • The $880M RE/MAX acquisition is valued at ~7x fully synergized 2025 Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Pro forma 2025 revenue is estimated at ~$2.3B with Adjusted EBITDA of ~$157M.
  • Identified ~$30M in annual run-rate cost synergies, majority expected by end of 2027.
  • Expected close remains 2H 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.
  • Real had 33,510 agents as of Q1 2026, up from 26,870 in Q1 2025.
  • LTM Adjusted EBITDA as of Q1 2026 was ~$70M on ~$2.1B LTM revenue.

Financial Impact

No new material financial disclosures beyond previously announced deal terms and Q1 2026 results. Revenue grew 31.5% YoY; net loss improved 32.4% YoY.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAagent count

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk: combining two different business models (owned brokerage vs. franchise) is complex and untested at this scale.
  • Leverage: Real will take on ~$550M in pro forma debt (2.7x net debt/EBITDA), a new risk for a previously debt-free company.
  • Housing market headwinds: CEO noted affordability issues persist and a recovery timeline is uncertain.
  • RE/MAX franchisee adoption of Real's tech platform is not guaranteed and may take longer than expected.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-070595
Document: 0001104659-26-070595-index-headers.html0001104659-26-070595
Document: 0001104659-26-070595-index.html0001104659-26-070595
Document: 0001104659-26-070595.txt0001104659-26-070595
14 reports for REAX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +9.90%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REAX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.63 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$1.62 (−0.61%)
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.62 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$1.62 (+0.00%)
May 29, 2026
14d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.82 $1.68▼ −7.69%▼ −4.94%$1.62 (−10.99%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.90 $1.76▼ −7.37%▼ −7.28%$1.62 (−14.74%)
May 7, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.04 $1.71▼ −16.18%▼ −17.64%$1.62 (−20.59%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.09 $1.86▼ −11.00%▼ −12.14%$1.62 (−22.49%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.15 $2.09▼ −2.79%▼ −5.90%$1.62 (−24.65%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.22 $2.07▼ −6.76%▼ −8.45%$1.62 (−27.03%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.22 $2.07▼ −6.76%▼ −8.45%$1.62 (−27.03%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$2.02 $2.07▲ +2.48%▲ +2.08%$1.62 (−19.80%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (52h 16m)

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