RDW Redwire Corp

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 22h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)

Executive Summary

Redwire's 2025-Q3 13F cluster shows five mega-passive fund families (BlackRock, State Street, BofA, T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley) all adding shares, while Fidelity nearly fully exited its position. The institutional flow is directionally positive but entirely from index/quant passive managers, not active discretionary funds, and the net dollar change is slightly negative due to Q3's share-price decline in the value-weighting. The divergence between Fidelity's exit and the others' adds may reflect fund-specific index-reconstitution timing rather than a shared active thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$81.5M
Sell Value
$19.9M
Net Flow
-$21.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$21.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRock ADD +43.7% $36.1M -$9.4M
State Street ADD +76.3% $26.3M -$746.9K
BofA DOUBLED +233.6% $1.1M $627.0K
T. Rowe Price ADD +58% $239.00 -$35.00
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +233.6% $18.0M $8.2M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity NEAR_EXIT -99.1% -$19.8M

Actionable Insight

The cluster signals no active discretionary conviction — index-rebalancing and automatic weighting are more likely drivers. Fidelity's near-exit is the outlier worth watching; if additional 13F filings show follow-through selling from other actives, rotation risk increases. Otherwise, the filing is noise for RDW at Q3-end snapshot.

Key Facts

  • 5 passive fund families added a combined $81.5M in current holdings; 1 passive seller, Fidelity, exited all but 10.7K shares ($19.9M sold down to $96K).
  • Total net dollar change across all tracked funds is -$21.2M, driven by Fidelity's near-complete exit and Q3 price depreciation of shares held by buyers.
  • Morgan Stanley doubled its stake with a $8.2M value increase; BlackRock added 43.7% more shares but its dollar holding fell $9.4M due to price decline.
  • T. Rowe Price's position is a tiny odd lot ($239 current value) — not a material signal.
  • Fidelity's -99.1% share count reduction is an outlier among passive managers; the cluster shows no active or activist manager involvement.
  • Amplifier verdict from cross-filing context (inst-earnings + inst-offering) pushes impact to lower end of raised range, but passive-dominant composition caps conviction.

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated current holdings worth $81.5M (gross buying $8.8M net of price decline) while Fidelity sold $19.8M, producing net outflow of ~$11M from tracked passive funds.

institutional ownership shift

Risk Factors

  • 13F 45-day lag means positions may have been unwound or changed since September 30; current management actions are unknown.
  • All moves are from mega-passive index managers; active managers could have been net sellers off-screen (not fully captured).
  • Fidelity's exit may reflect an index-change or risk-limit event specific to its funds, not a negative fundamental view on RDW.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-RDW-2025-Q3
7 reports for RDW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for RDW — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.45 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 9, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.27 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 9, 2026
5d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$19.17 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
May 19, 2026
27d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.91 $24.00▼ −72.54%▼ −70.24%
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.20 $11.46▲ +24.57%▲ +23.06%
Apr 10, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.99 $10.21▲ +2.20%▼ −1.09%
Feb 26, 2026
15w ago
8-K/A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$9.55 $9.07▼ −5.03%▼ −3.90%
Showing 7 of 7

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