RCT PRESS-RELEASE SEC Filing Analysis

Latest settled — T+5d

RCT ▲ +2.03% at T+5d

LONG call ✓ call won +2.03% · α vs SPY +0.41% · entry $0.5920 → $0.6040

Next anchor: T+20d in 6d

Currently $0.5614 · -5.17% from $0.5920 entry

Entry anchored
May 18, 08:19 AM ET
via Databento tick

T+1d

+1.35%

call +1.35% · α +2.00%

$0.6000

settled 22d ago

T+5d

+2.03%

call +2.03% · α +0.41%

$0.6040

settled 15d ago

T+20d

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call — · α —

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in 6d

T+60d

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call — · α —

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in 2mo

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Executive Summary

RedCloud Holdings reported audited FY25 revenue of $48.5M, with Nigeria revenue up 68% YoY and total transaction value on RedAI reaching $3.2B (+31% YoY). The company reaffirmed its 2026 revenue guidance of $120M, highlighting capital-light JV expansions in Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, and a proposed South African JV. EPS was -$0.49, a 341% miss vs consensus, but the market focus is on the revenue growth trajectory and JV pipeline rather than near-term profitability.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance

$120M

maintained

Actionable Insight

The 2026 revenue guidance of $120M (147% YoY growth) is the primary catalyst. Monitor execution on JV deployments in Türkiye and Saudi Arabia, and the South Africa JV finalization. The EPS miss is secondary given the pre-revenue stage; the stock will move on revenue growth and JV milestones.

Key Facts

Audited FY25 revenue of $48.5M, up from prior year (Nigeria +68% YoY).
Total transaction value on RedAI platform reached $3.2B in 2025, up 31% YoY; cumulative trades $6.9B.
Reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance of $120M, implying ~147% YoY growth.
Capital-light JV model scaling: Türkiye JV up to $50M, Saudi Arabia licensing up to $30M, South Africa JV intent announced.
RAID engine outperformed industry benchmarks in R&D validation on 3.7M live FMCG transactions.
EPS of -$0.49 missed consensus by 341% (consensus N/A, but implied negative surprise).
Market cap of $33M; 86% analyst bullish rating (6 Buy, 1 Hold).

Financial Impact

FY25 revenue $48.5M; 2026 guidance $120M; JV pipeline contracted value up to $80M across Türkiye and Saudi Arabia.

revenuetransaction valueguidance

Risk Factors

2026 revenue guidance of $120M is highly ambitious (~147% YoY growth); execution risk on JV scaling.
EPS miss of 341% highlights ongoing losses; cash burn may require future dilution.
JV pipeline is contracted but not yet revenue-generating; delays or cancellations could impair guidance.
South Africa JV is only an intent; no binding agreement yet.

Market Snapshot

Exchange

Nasdaq

Sector

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC

Analyst Consensus

86% bullish (7 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

Document	Accession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)	press-3296728

5 reports for RCT

T+1T+5T+20T+60

100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.67%Mar 16, 2026

Filters

Reports for RCT — sortable, filterable
	Type				Now
Jun 2, 2026 7d ago	F-1 / F-1/A BEARISH ★ 7/10	$0.6160 $0.6110	▲ +0.81%	▲ +1.21%	$0.5614 (+8.86%)
May 18, 2026 22d ago	Press Release BULLISH ★ 7/10	$0.5920 $0.6000	▲ +1.35%	▲ +2.00%	$0.5614 (−5.17%)
Apr 20, 2026 7w ago	Press Release BULLISH ★ 7/10	$0.7200 $0.7280	▲ +1.11%	▲ +1.76%	$0.5614 (−22.03%)
Apr 10, 2026 8w ago	6-K NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$0.5700 $1.01	▲ +77.19%	▲ +76.22%	$0.5614 (−1.51%)
Mar 16, 2026 12w ago	F-1 BEARISH ★ 5/10	$0.8600 $0.8230	▲ +4.30%	▲ +2.90%	$0.5614 (+34.72%)

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h)

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