PVLA PALVELLA THERAPEUTICS, INC.

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 7d 22h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d
PVLA ▲ +5.88% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +5.88% · α vs SPY +5.44% · entry $106.38 → $112.63
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+2.28%
call +2.28% · α +1.74%
$108.81
settled 7d ago
T+5d
+5.88%
call +5.88% · α +5.44%
$112.63
settled 20h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (Vanguard, State Street, Fidelity) significantly increased their PVLA holdings in Q3 2025, with combined current positions of $46.5M and net buying of $41.0M. The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, reflecting index rebalancing or inclusion rather than an active investment thesis, which weakens the signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$46.5M
Net Flow
$41.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $41.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vanguard DOUBLED +202% $31.0M $27.3M
State Street ADD +67.4% $8.6M $6.8M
Fidelity DOUBLED +108180.4% $6.9M $6.9M

Actionable Insight

The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, likely reflecting PVLA's inclusion in or rebalancing of major indices. This provides no fundamental thesis signal. Monitor for active manager 13F filings in the same period to assess genuine conviction. The 96% analyst bullish consensus suggests the passive accumulation may simply track broader market optimism.

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2025
  • Aggregate current holdings: $46.5M, net change: +$41.0M
  • Vanguard doubled its position (+202%) to $31.0M
  • State Street added 67.4% to $8.6M
  • Fidelity went from a nominal 102 shares to 110.4K shares ($6.9M)
  • All three buyers are mega-passive index fund managers (Vanguard, State Street, Fidelity)

Financial Impact

3 passive institutions accumulated $41.0M in new PVLA holdings during Q3 2025, bringing total disclosed passive positions to $46.5M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive buying provides no fundamental validation of the company's prospects
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Historical PVLA reports show poor directional accuracy (43% win rate T+20)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
96% bullish (23 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-PVLA-2025-Q3
17 reports for PVLA
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 1 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +1.99%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PVLA — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 16, 2026
2d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$110.12 $112.63▲ +2.28%▲ +3.53%
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.38 $108.81▲ +2.28%▲ +1.74%
May 15, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$114.24 $105.05▼ −8.04%▼ −7.98%
May 15, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$114.24 $105.05▼ −8.04%▼ −7.98%
May 13, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.57 $118.97▼ −1.33%▼ −2.10%
May 7, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$113.26 $121.29▼ −7.09%▼ −6.26%
Apr 30, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$128.32 $126.84▼ −1.15%▼ −1.37%
Apr 13, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$129.00 $129.53▲ +0.41%▼ −0.80%
Mar 31, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$124.65 $120.38▼ −3.43%▼ −4.17%
Mar 31, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$124.65 $120.38▼ −3.43%▼ −4.17%
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (77h 16m)

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