PEP PEPSICO INC

BEARISH Impact: 4/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 18h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in Q2 2025 shows three buyers accumulating ~$202M in PEP (led by UBS AM adding $193M) while three sellers reduced holdings by ~$874M (dominated by Capital Group trimming $618M and Jensen/Jakobson exiting near fully). The net selling pressure is ~4x the buying, with two high-conviction active funds (Jensen, RenTech) making near-exit moves totaling ~$256M, while UBS AM's larger addition carries less active-alpha signal. At $144.86 and a $197B market cap, the cluster suggests continued institutional de-risking rather than a bullish catalyst thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$2.0B
Sell Value
$937.4M
Net Flow
-$672.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$672.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Ubs Am, A Distinct Business Un ADD +26.3% $1.9B $193.3M
Matrix ADD +59.6% $29.1M $8.4M
Olstein ADD +33.3% $4.0K $548.00

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Capital Group TRIM -32.9% $1.5B -$617.9M
Jensen NEAR_EXIT -90.3% $160.7M -$147.0M
RenTech EXIT-LIKE -74.5% $140.3M -$108.8M

Actionable Insight

The combined exit-by-active-funds signal (Jensen, RenTech, and Capital Group's trim) outweighs UBS AM's passive-oriented accumulation. Traders should watch for further institutional selling pressure; given the 45-day 13F lag, these moves may have already been executed. The historical underperformance on PEP reads suggests caution against over-interpreting this cluster alone.

Key Facts

  • Net institutional outflow of ~$672M (sellers $874M vs buyers $202M)
  • Capital Group trimmed 32.9% of its PEP stake, reducing value by $618M
  • Jensen executed a near-full exit, cutting 90.3% of shares worth $147M
  • RenTech (quant) cut 74.5% of its position, selling $109M
  • UBS AM added $193M (+26%), but as an asset manager the signal is weaker
  • Active-value funds Matrix and Olstein made small additions ($8.4M and <$1K respectively)
  • Historical performance on PEP reports is poor (0% win rate at T+20, avg alpha -6.6%)

Financial Impact

Sellers reduced $873.7M in PEP positions while buyers added $201.7M, resulting in a net $672M institutional outflow for the quarter

institutional_ownershipfloat_percentage

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have reversed since quarter-end
  • Hedge funds often misreport holdings; exits could be overstated
  • Passive/index rebalancing (UBS AM) may have already completed
  • Historical PEP recommendations have negative T+20 alpha (-6.6% avg)

Market Snapshot

Price
$144.86
Volume
100
Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Beverages
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (29 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-PEP-2025-Q2
8 reports for PEP
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for PEP — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$143.24 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$143.04 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$144.94 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 1/10
$149.68 $150.02▲ +0.23%▲ +2.58%
May 22, 2026
23d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$144.16 $141.96▼ −1.53%▼ −2.74%
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 2/10
$149.68 $150.02▲ +0.23%▲ +2.58%
Mar 27, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$156.80 $153.21▼ −2.29%▼ −6.59%
Mar 2, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$167.22 $161.46▼ −3.44%▼ −2.24%
Showing 8 of 8

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