PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp.

MIXED Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Mar 5, 2026 Processed 2mo ago SEC 0001628280-26-014998
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d
PACK ▼ -15.57% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.57% · α vs SPY -11.78% · entry $4.24 → $3.58
Next anchor: T+60d in 12d
Currently $6.04 · +42.45% from $4.24 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 4, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-8.96%
call -8.96% · α -7.65%
$3.86
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-23.58%
call -23.58% · α -21.35%
$3.24
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-15.57%
call -15.57% · α -11.78%
$3.58
settled 7w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 12d

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Executive Summary

Ranpak reported Q4 2025 revenue of $111.9 million, up 6.6% YoY, but adjusted EBITDA declined 5.1% to $24.0 million. Full-year revenue grew 7.1% to $395.0 million while adjusted EBITDA fell 5.5% to $79.2 million. The company issued strong 2026 guidance forecasting revenue of $415-$445 million (5.1%-12.7% growth) and adjusted EBITDA of $83.5-$95 million (5.4%-19.9% growth), driven by momentum in its Automation business and strategic partnerships with Amazon and Walmart.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$395.0M
+7.1% YoY
EPS
$-0.45
Guidance
$415-$445 million
raised
Gross Margin
33.1%

Actionable Insight

The stock may react positively to the strong 2026 guidance and Automation growth, but investors should monitor whether the company can improve profitability despite margin pressure from e-commerce mix and warrant expenses. The Amazon and Walmart partnerships appear to be driving growth but also creating accounting headwinds.

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue: $111.9 million (+6.6% YoY)
  • Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $24.0 million (-5.1% YoY)
  • Full-year 2025 revenue: $395.0 million (+7.1% YoY)
  • Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $79.2 million (-5.5% YoY)
  • 2026 guidance: $415-$445 million revenue, $83.5-$95 million adjusted EBITDA
  • Automation revenue grew nearly 40% in Q4 2025 (constant currency, ex-warrants)
  • Warrant expense reduced Q4 revenue by $2.3 million related to Amazon/Walmart agreements

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 6.6% in Q4 and 7.1% for full-year 2025, but adjusted EBITDA declined 5.1% in Q4 and 5.5% for full-year due to increased mix from large e-commerce players and warrant expenses. 2026 guidance projects revenue growth of 5.1%-12.7% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 5.4%-19.9%.

revenueebitdamargins

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Automation$13.8M+35.3%

Risk Factors

  • Continued margin pressure from shift to lower-margin e-commerce customers
  • Ongoing impact of warrant expenses related to strategic partnerships
  • Global uncertainty, particularly in Middle East, could impact lower end of guidance

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-014998
Document: pack-20260305.htm0001628280-26-014998
Document: 0001628280-26-014998-index-headers.html0001628280-26-014998
Document: 0001628280-26-014998-index.html0001628280-26-014998
Document: 0001628280-26-014998.txt0001628280-26-014998
3 reports for PACK
Performance horizon
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Reports for PACK — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Apr 30, 2026
20d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
awaiting T+5
Apr 24, 2026
26d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.12 $5.91▲ +43.45%▲ +43.05%$6.04 (+46.60%)
Mar 5, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.24 $3.24▼ −23.58%▼ −21.35%$6.04 (+42.45%)
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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