ORCL ORACLE CORP

BULLISH Impact: 2/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 21d 17h ago SEC analyst-ORCL-wedbush-20260424
Wedbush initiates coverage on ORCL at Outperform
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ORCL ▲ +10.88% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +10.88% · α vs SPY +6.39% · entry $173.27 → $192.12
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Last close $184.13 (close Jun 12) · +6.27% from $173.27 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 24, 11:12 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.17%
call -0.17% · α -0.33%
$172.98
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-0.85%
call -0.85% · α -1.76%
$171.80
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+10.88%
call +10.88% · α +6.39%
$192.12
settled 24d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Wedbush initiates coverage on Oracle Corp (ORCL) with an Outperform rating and a $225 price target, representing 17% upside from the current $192.08. The firm has a 57% accuracy rate on 1,604 calls with average 7.2% returns, placing it slightly above average among covering analysts. Consensus is heavily bullish: 78.8% of 52 analysts rate Buy, 19.2% Hold, and 1.9% Sell. Wedbush's $225 target is below the mean $244 and median $228, making it a relatively conservative bullish call. No rating changes occurred in the prior 30 days, and EPS revisions are balanced but edging slightly higher. A single $2.64M insider sell by an executive before the initiation provides a weak bearish signal, while institutional inflows (Norges Bank new $4.3B position, Two Sigma doubling) are strongly bullish. High short interest at 60.4% adds squeeze potential. Expected earnings on June 9 could catalyze a move.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
41 (79%)
Hold
10
Sell / Strong Sell
1
Total Analysts
39
Mean PT
$244.03
Median PT
$228.00
High PT
$400.00
Low PT
$155.00
Current Price
$192.08
Implied Upside
+27%

Of 52 analysts covering ORCL, 41 (78.8%) rate Buy (17 Strong Buy, 24 Buy), 10 (19.2%) Hold, and 1 (1.9%) Sell. Consensus is heavily bullish. Wedbush's Outperform aligns with the majority, though its $225 target is below the mean $244 and median $228.

Mean price target is $244.03, median $228, high $400 (Guggenheim), low $155. Current price $192.08 implies 27% upside to the mean. Wedbush's $225 sits 8% below the mean target, positioning it as conservative among bulls.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-13 Wedbush maintain Outperform $275.00
2026-05-12 Oppenheimer maintain Outperform $235.00
2026-04-29 Wedbush reiterate Outperform $225.00
2026-04-24 Wedbush initiate Outperform $225.00
2026-04-23 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $207.00
2026-04-07 Stephens & Co. reiterate Equal-Weight $254.00
2026-03-16 Mizuho maintain Outperform $320.00
2026-03-13 Guggenheim reiterate Buy $400.00
2026-03-12 Citigroup maintain Buy $320.00
2026-03-11 Stifel maintain Buy $220.00

No analyst rating changes (upgrades/downgrades) in the prior 30 days. EPS revisions are balanced: over 30 days, +1y estimates saw 2 up, 2 down; current fiscal year saw 2 up, 0 down; current quarter saw 0 up, 2 down. Estimates are modestly edging higher for the annual periods.

Firm Track Record — Wedbush

Wedbush accuracy: 57% on 1604 calls | avg return: 7.2%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Oppenheimer 100% 2/2 16.8% top tier
WestPark Capital 100% 2/2 50.7% top tier
Keybanc 71% 5/7 11.9% top tier
Deutsche Bank 67% 2/3 13% top tier
Morgan Stanley 67% 6/9 14.9% top tier
UBS 64% 7/11 5.6% top tier
Guggenheim 64% 7/11 12.2% top tier
Jefferies 63% 5/8 9.5% top tier
B of A Securities 63% 5/8 6.8% top tier
Stifel 63% 5/8 7.7% top tier

Wedbush has a 57% accuracy rate on 1,604 total calls with an average return of 7.2%. Among firms covering ORCL, top performers include Oppenheimer (100% on 2 calls, +16.8% avg return) and Keybanc (71% on 7 calls, +11.9% avg). Bottom firms include Evercore ISI (60% on 10, +2.2% avg) and B of A Securities (63% on 8, +6.8% avg). Wedbush is above average but not elite.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jun 9, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1y $8.03 $7.47 — $9.26 $88.7B ↑0 ↓0
+1q $1.68 $1.51 — $1.84 $19.0B ↑0 ↓0
0y $7.45 $6.59 — $7.69 $67.2B ↑0 ↓0
0q $1.96 $1.76 — $2.03 $19.1B ↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 1 sells
Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Jared Moskowitz (democrat) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Jared Moskowitz (democrat) — sell $15,001 - $50,000
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (1369.6%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC — exit (-100%)
Short Interest
Short: 13,423,752 | Exempt: 41,991 | TRF Vol: 22,238,544 | Short Ratio: 60.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider activity: one $2.64M sell by executive Levey Stuart on April 16 (pre-initiation) — a weak bearish signal per literature. Congressional trades: two small buys (Khanna, McCaul) and three small sells (Moskowitz). Institutional flows are strongly bullish: Norges Bank took a new $4.3B position, Two Sigma doubled (+1,370%), Renaissance Technologies initiated $323K. Short interest is 60.4% of float, a high level that may amplify upside on positive news.

Actionable Insight

Wedbush's initiation adds to a crowded bullish consensus but its below-mean target suggests limited near-term upside. Focus on June 9 earnings as the next catalyst; high short interest could fuel a squeeze if results beat expectations.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

9 reports for ORCL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +41.53%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ORCL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 10, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$53.06 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$184.13 (+247.02%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 2/10
$162.75 $152.82▼ −6.10%▼ −3.91%$184.13 (+13.14%)
May 24, 2026
21d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$173.27 $171.80▼ −0.85%▼ −1.76%$184.13 (+6.27%)
May 12, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$56.38 $54.07▼ −4.10%▼ −2.94%$184.13 (+226.59%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$162.75 $152.82▼ −6.10%▼ −3.91%$184.13 (+13.14%)
Apr 24, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$173.27 $161.39▼ −6.85%▼ −7.76%$184.13 (+6.27%)
Apr 6, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$45.02 $47.84▲ +6.26%▲ +2.13%$184.13 (+309.00%)
Mar 30, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$138.79 $142.81▲ +2.90%▼ −1.40%$184.13 (+32.67%)
Feb 28, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$149.18 $151.54▲ +1.58%▲ +2.79%$184.13 (+23.43%)
Showing 9 of 9

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