ONCY ONCOLYTICS BIOTECH INC

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon months Filed Apr 27, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001129928-26-000026
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Latest settled — T+20d
ONCY ▼ -16.46% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -16.46% · α vs SPY -21.42% · entry $0.9700 → $0.8103
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Last close $0.8000 (close Jun 12) · -17.53% from $0.9700 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 27, 08:11 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-7.22%
call -7.22% · α -6.73%
$0.9000
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-4.12%
call -4.12% · α -4.52%
$0.9300
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-16.46%
call -16.46% · α -21.42%
$0.8103
settled 20d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5w

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Executive Summary

Oncolytics Biotech announced alignment with the FDA on a randomized controlled pivotal trial design for pelareorep in metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCAC), a rare cancer with no approved therapies post-first-line treatment. The study leverages strong prior data showing improved duration of response and survival versus standard of care.

Actionable Insight

Monitor for protocol finalization and trial initiation, which could catalyze partnership interest and revaluation. Positive trial results could lead to accelerated approval with substantial commercial upside in a niche but high-need indication.

Key Facts

  • FDA alignment achieved on pivotal randomized controlled trial for pelareorep in metastatic SCAC
  • Study targets post-standard-of-care population with no FDA-approved options
  • Prior data showed 15.5 vs 9.5 month median duration of response and 82% vs 45.7% 12-month survival vs standard of care
  • Trial design may support both accelerated and full approval
  • Pelareorep already has Fast Track designation for colorectal and pancreatic cancers

Financial Impact

Significant potential value creation if trial succeeds, given unmet need in rare cancer and potential for dual approval pathway

R&D spendregulatory approval timelinepartnership potentialmarket valuation

Risk Factors

  • Clinical trial execution risk in a rare cancer population
  • Regulatory requirements may evolve despite current alignment
  • Dependence on successful enrollment and funding for trial completion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001129928-26-000026
Document: scacfdaalignment.htm0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026-index-headers.html0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026-index.html0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026.txt0001129928-26-000026
11 reports for ONCY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +10.53%Apr 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ONCY — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 2, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9300 $0.8800▼ −5.38%▼ −4.68%$0.8000 (−13.98%)
Jun 1, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.06 $0.9300▼ −12.26%▼ −12.41%$0.8000 (−24.53%)
May 22, 2026
23d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8100 $0.8100· 0.00%▼ −0.59%$0.8000 (−1.23%)
May 22, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.8100 $0.8100· 0.00%▼ −0.59%$0.8000 (−1.23%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9700 $0.9000▼ −7.22%▼ −6.73%$0.8000 (−17.53%)
Apr 6, 2026
9w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9000 $0.9100▼ −1.11%▲ +1.43%$0.8000 (+11.11%)
Apr 6, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.9500 $0.9000▼ −5.26%▼ −5.33%$0.8000 (−15.79%)
Apr 6, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9500 $0.9000▲ +5.26%▲ +5.33%$0.8000 (+15.79%)
Apr 1, 2026
10w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9300 $0.9600▼ −3.23%▼ −3.15%$0.8000 (+13.98%)
Mar 11, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.01 $0.9600▼ −4.95%▼ −3.47%$0.8000 (−20.79%)
Showing 10 of 11

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