ODFL OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.

MIXED Impact: 5/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 3, 2026 Processed 11d 20h ago SEC 0000878927-26-000015
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Latest settled — T+1d
ODFL ▲ +4.03% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +4.03% · α vs SPY +3.64% · entry $235.24 → $244.73
Next anchor: T+5d due 5d ago
Last close $245.75 (close Jun 12) · +4.47% from $235.24 entry
Entry anchored
Jun 3, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+4.03%
call +4.03% · α +3.64%
$244.73
settled 11d ago
T+5d
call — · α —
due 5d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 17d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

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Executive Summary

Old Dominion Freight Line reported May 2026 LTL operating metrics showing revenue per day up 12.3% YoY, driven by a 15.6% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight (5.4% ex-fuel surcharges). However, LTL tons per day declined 3.8% YoY, with shipments per day down 5.3%, indicating ongoing volume weakness despite strong pricing. The mixed signal of strong yield improvement against declining volumes makes this a neutral-to-modestly-bearish read for a trucking company where volume is a key demand indicator.

Actionable Insight

The strong pricing (15.6% rev/hundredweight) is positive for margins, but the 5.3% decline in shipments/day signals demand weakness that may cap upside. Watch for Q2 full results to see if volume trends improve as management suggests. The stock's prior 8-K update (Feb 2026) saw a -8.6% T+20 return, suggesting the market may already be pricing in volume headwinds.

Key Facts

  • Revenue per day increased 12.3% in May 2026 vs May 2025
  • LTL tons per day decreased 3.8% YoY in May 2026
  • LTL shipments per day decreased 5.3% YoY in May 2026
  • LTL weight per shipment increased 1.6% YoY in May 2026
  • Q2-to-date LTL revenue per hundredweight increased 15.6% YoY
  • Q2-to-date LTL revenue per hundredweight ex-fuel surcharges increased 5.4% YoY
  • Management notes demand has 'continued to improve as the quarter has progressed'

Financial Impact

Revenue per day growth of 12.3% driven by pricing, but volumes declining 3.8% in tons/day and 5.3% in shipments/day

revenuevolumepricing

Risk Factors

  • Volume decline may persist if macro freight demand weakens further
  • Fuel surcharge component (10.2% of the 15.6% rev/hundredweight increase) is volatile and not sustainable if fuel prices retreat
  • Competitive pricing pressure could erode yield gains

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Trucking (No Local)
Analyst Consensus
44% bullish (32 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000878927-26-000015
Document: odfl-ex99_1.htm0000878927-26-000015
Document: 0000878927-26-000015-index-headers.html0000878927-26-000015
Document: 0000878927-26-000015-index.html0000878927-26-000015
Document: 0000878927-26-000015.txt0000878927-26-000015
4 reports for ODFL
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for ODFL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 3, 2026
11d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$235.24 $244.73▲ +4.03%▲ +3.64%$245.75 (+4.47%)
May 21, 2026
24d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$207.46 $210.30▲ +1.37%▲ +0.92%$245.75 (+18.46%)
Apr 29, 2026
6w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$208.82 $211.83▲ +1.44%▲ +0.42%$245.75 (+17.69%)
Feb 28, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$207.59 $207.24▼ −0.17%▲ +0.75%$245.75 (+18.38%)
Showing 4 of 4

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