NVDA NVIDIA CORP
Price Chart
Executive Summary
HSBC upgraded NVDA to Buy from Hold with a $320 price target, up from $200, representing 51.6% upside from the current $211.14. The upgrade is part of an 11-firm cluster action on NVDA, signaling broad analyst attention. HSBC has a 55% accuracy rate on 263 calls with a 5.5% average return, placing it near the middle of the pack. Consensus is overwhelmingly bullish: 66 of 71 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy, with only 4 Holds and 1 Sell. The mean price target is $296.81, median $285, high $500, low $180 — HSBC's $320 sits above the median but below the mean. Momentum is strong: 40 EPS revisions up in the last 7 days for the next fiscal year, with zero downgrades. Insider selling is present but modest in size, and institutional activity shows a massive new position from Norges Bank ($62.2B) alongside a near-exit from Renaissance Technologies. The bottom line: HSBC's upgrade aligns with a bullish consensus and rising estimates, making it a confirming rather than contrarian signal — traders should view this as incremental support for the bull case, not a catalyst for immediate re-rating.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
66 of 71 analysts rate NVDA Buy or Strong Buy (93%), 4 Hold (5.6%), 1 Sell (1.4%). Consensus is heavily bullish, with 24 Strong Buy and 42 Buy ratings. The lone Sell is an outlier.
Current price: $211.14. Mean target: $296.81 (implied upside +40.6%). Median: $285 (+35%). High: $500 (+136.8%). Low: $180 (-14.8%). HSBC's $320 is above the median but below the mean, in the upper quartile of targets.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Tigress Financial | maintain | Strong Buy | $425.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | UBS | maintain | Buy | $280.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | Evercore ISI Group | maintain | Outperform | $413.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | DA Davidson | maintain | Buy | $300.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | Truist Securities | reiterate | Buy | $307.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $270.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cantor Fitzgerald | reiterate | Overweight | $350.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | Wedbush | maintain | Outperform | $330.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | Stifel | maintain | Buy | $282.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | $280.00 |
30-day analyst activity: 0 upgrades, 0 downgrades. EPS revisions are strongly positive: 40 revisions up in the last 7 days for the next fiscal year, 40 up for the current year, with only 1-2 down. Estimates are being revised higher across all periods.
Firm Track Record — HSBC
HSBC accuracy: 55% on 263 calls | avg return: 5.5%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | 100% | 4/4 | 8.9% | top tier |
| New Street Research | 100% | 2/2 | 19.5% | top tier |
| Piper Sandler | 86% | 6/7 | 20.3% | top tier |
| Raymond James | 83% | 5/6 | 27.8% | top tier |
| Evercore ISI Group | 80% | 8/10 | 14.7% | top tier |
| Needham | 78% | 7/9 | 11.7% | top tier |
| UBS | 78% | 7/9 | 17.8% | top tier |
| DA Davidson | 75% | 9/12 | 15.7% | top tier |
| Deutsche Bank | 75% | 3/4 | 15.2% | top tier |
| Benchmark | 73% | 8/11 | 8.6% | top tier |
HSBC has a 55% accuracy rate on 263 calls with a 5.5% average return, placing it in the middle tier. Top performers on NVDA include New Street Research (100% on 2 calls, avg return 19.5%) and Piper Sandler (86% on 7 calls, avg return 20.3%). Worst: JP Morgan (67% on 6 calls, avg return 7.3%).
Earnings Estimates
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1y | $12.66 | $9.65 — $16.00 | $547.7B | ↑40 ↓0 |
| 0y | $8.94 | $8.20 — $9.79 | $391.5B | ↑40 ↓0 |
| 0q | $2.08 | $2.03 — $2.20 | $91.7B | ↑34 ↓0 |
| +1q | $2.35 | $2.13 — $2.63 | $102.9B | ↑33 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider trades show 5 sells in the last 2 months, including EVP Mark Stevens ($17.3M) and CFO Colette Kress ($123K) — modest selling, not a cluster. Congressional activity is mixed: 1 buy (Rep. McGuire) and 4 sells (Reps. Meuser, Fletcher, Moore). Institutional changes show a massive new $62.2B position from Norges Bank, a new $634M from Dodge & Cox, and a near-exit from Renaissance Technologies (-84.5%). Short interest ratio is 44.4%, elevated. The analyst upgrade aligns with institutional buying and rising estimates, but insider selling and high short interest create mild divergence.
Actionable Insight
HSBC's upgrade confirms the bullish consensus but adds limited new information — traders should treat this as incremental support for the bull case, not a standalone catalyst. The strong EPS revision trend and large institutional buys outweigh modest insider selling.
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jun 7, 2026
2d ago
|
Press Release
| $204.05 awaiting T+5 | awaiting T+5 | — | $208.64 (+2.25%) |
|
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $214.53 awaiting T+5 | awaiting T+5 | — | $208.64 (−2.75%) |
|
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $208.58 awaiting T+5 | awaiting T+5 | — | $208.64 (+0.03%) |
|
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $214.53 awaiting T+5 | awaiting T+5 | — | $208.64 (−2.75%) |
|
Jun 1, 2026
9d ago
|
Press Release
| $224.33 $205.10 | ▼ −8.57% | ▼ −5.82% | $208.64 (−6.99%) |
|
May 31, 2026
9d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $179.90 $180.28 | ▲ +0.21% | ▼ −0.20% | $208.64 (+15.98%) |
|
May 20, 2026
20d ago
|
Press Release
| $219.52 $211.52 | ▼ −3.64% | ▼ −5.49% | $208.64 (−4.95%) |
|
May 12, 2026
28d ago
|
DEFA14A
| $225.84 $220.61 | ▼ −2.31% | ▼ −1.16% | $208.64 (−7.61%) |
|
May 8, 2026
4w ago
|
8-K
| $219.32 $222.20 | ▲ +1.31% | ▲ +1.40% | $208.64 (−4.87%) |
|
May 1, 2026
5w ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $179.90 $180.28 | ▲ +0.21% | ▼ −0.20% | $208.64 (+15.98%) |
US Market Status
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