MNTK PRESS-RELEASE SEC Filing Analysis

Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered

MNTK ▲ +17.73% at T+60d

SHORT call ✗ call lost -17.73% · α vs SPY -7.03% · entry $1.41 → $1.66

Currently $1.69 · -19.86% from $1.41 entry (call sign-flipped)

Entry anchored
Mar 11, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick

T+1d

-4.26%

call +4.26% · α +3.66%

$1.35

settled 3mo ago

T+5d

-12.77%

call +12.77% · α +11.79%

$1.23

settled 3mo ago

T+20d

-14.89%

call +14.89% · α +16.87%

$1.20

settled 2mo ago

T+60d

+17.73%

call -17.73% · α -7.03%

$1.66

settled 5d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Montauk Renewables reported flat revenue of $176.4 million for 2025 but a sharp 82% decline in net income to $1.7 million, driven by a 29% drop in RIN prices and rising operating costs. Despite modest increases in RNG production and RINs sold, profitability deteriorated significantly. The company projects modest revenue growth in 2026, supported by new project commissioning.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue

$176.4M

+0.4% YoY

EPS

$0.01

Guidance

$175M-$190M

maintained

Actionable Insight

Despite 2026 production and revenue guidance improvement, the sharp decline in earnings and RIN pricing pressure suggest near-term headwinds. Traders should monitor RIN price trends and the ramp-up of the Montauk Ag project for potential inflection points.

Key Facts

2025 revenue was $176.4 million, flat year-over-year
Net income fell 82% to $1.7 million in 2025 from $9.7 million in 2024
Adjusted EBITDA declined 16.5% to $35.6 million
Average RIN price dropped 29% to $2.33 in 2025 from $3.28 in 2024
Operating income collapsed 94.7% to $0.9 million
2026 guidance projects RNG revenues between $175M–$190M and production of 5.8–6.1 million MMBtu
Montauk Ag Renewables project expected to begin operations in April 2026

Financial Impact

Net income down $8 million; operating income down $15.2 million; RIN price down 29%

net incomeoperating incomerevenuemarginscash flow

Risk Factors

Continued weakness in RIN prices could further pressure margins
Delays in Montauk Ag project commissioning could push back revenue ramp
Regulatory uncertainty in North Carolina around swine RECs may impact future compliance demand

Market Snapshot

Exchange

Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

Document	Accession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)	press-3254163

2 reports for MNTK

T+1T+5T+20T+60

Filters

Reports for MNTK — sortable, filterable
	Type				Now
Apr 10, 2026 8w ago	DEFA14A NEUTRAL ★ 2/10	$1.20 $1.42	▲ +18.33%	▲ +9.81%	$1.69 (+40.83%)
Mar 11, 2026 12w ago	Press Release BEARISH ★ 7/10	$1.41 $1.20	▲ +14.89%	▲ +16.87%	$1.69 (−19.86%)

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 5m)

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