MDLN Medline Inc.

MIXED Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon days Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0002046386-26-000022
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MDLN ▼ -17.95% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -17.95% · α vs SPY -20.73% · entry $42.01 → $34.47
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Currently $36.61 · -12.85% from $42.01 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.36%
call -0.36% · α -0.03%
$41.86
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-8.24%
call -8.24% · α -9.37%
$38.55
settled 4w ago
T+20d
-17.95%
call -17.95% · α -20.73%
$34.47
settled 9d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Medline reported Q1 2026 revenue of $7.35B (+10.7% YoY), beating the $7.16B consensus, but GAAP diluted EPS of $0.16 was a 44.8% miss vs the $0.29 Street estimate. Net income fell 25.8% to $239M and Adjusted EBITDA dropped 10.6% to $776M, both pressured by tariffs and IPO-related costs. The company raised its full-year Organic Sales guidance to 8.5%-9.5% (from 8%-9%) but maintained its $3.5-$3.6B Adjusted EBITDA outlook, signaling margin compression will persist.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
$316.0M
Gross Margin
25%

Actionable Insight

The revenue beat and raised organic sales guidance are positive, but the EPS miss and margin compression from tariffs are significant headwinds. The maintained EBITDA guidance suggests management expects cost pressures to persist. Watch for tariff developments and Q2 margin trajectory; the stock may trade on the EPS miss initially but find support from the guidance raise.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net sales $7.352B, up 10.7% YoY from $6.644B, beating consensus of $7.16B
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.16, missing consensus of $0.29 by 44.8%
  • Net income $239M, down 25.8% YoY from $322M
  • Adjusted EBITDA $776M, down 10.6% YoY from $868M
  • Gross margin compressed to 25.0% from 27.5% YoY, driven by tariffs and higher costs
  • Operating cash flow $412M, down 39.6% YoY from $682M
  • Free cash flow $316M, down 45.9% YoY from $584M
  • Raised full-year 2026 Organic Sales guidance to 8.5%-9.5% from 8%-9%
  • Maintained full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $3.5-$3.6B
  • Supply Chain Solutions segment net sales grew 15.0% YoY to $3.887B; Medline Brand segment grew 6.2% to $3.465B

Financial Impact

Revenue beat of ~$192M vs consensus but EPS miss of $0.13 per share; net income decline of $83M YoY; Adjusted EBITDA decline of $92M YoY

revenueepsnet incomeadjusted ebitdagross marginoperating cash flowfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Tariff-driven cost inflation continuing to compress gross margins below 25%
  • IPO-related expenses and employee bonuses weighing on near-term profitability
  • Operating cash flow decline of 39.6% YoY signals working capital strain from growth
  • Maintained EBITDA guidance implies no margin recovery expected in 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (34 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0002046386-26-000022
Document: mdln-20260506.htm0002046386-26-000022
Document: 0002046386-26-000022-index-headers.html0002046386-26-000022
Document: 0002046386-26-000022-index.html0002046386-26-000022
Document: 0002046386-26-000022.txt0002046386-26-000022
8-K Data (Synthetic)0002046386-26-000022
15 reports for MDLN
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +17.95%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MDLN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.54 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$36.61 (+0.19%)
Jun 2, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.19 $34.47▲ +3.86%▲ +4.55%$36.61 (+10.30%)
Jun 1, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$33.19 $34.47▼ −3.86%▼ −4.55%$36.61 (−10.30%)
Jun 1, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$33.19 $34.47▼ −3.86%▼ −4.55%$36.61 (−10.30%)
May 22, 2026
22d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$37.01 $36.16▼ −2.30%▼ −2.88%$36.61 (−1.08%)
May 22, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$37.01 $36.16▲ +2.30%▲ +2.88%$36.61 (+1.08%)
May 20, 2026
24d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.25 $37.10▼ −2.34%▼ −2.15%$36.61 (−0.99%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$42.01 $41.86▼ −0.36%▼ −0.03%$36.61 (−12.85%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$42.01 $41.86▲ +0.36%▲ +0.03%$36.61 (+12.85%)
Apr 23, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$46.23 $44.76▼ −3.18%▼ −3.96%$36.61 (−20.81%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 51m)

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