LYB LyondellBasell

MIXED Impact: 6/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed May 1, 2026 Processed 1mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
LYB ▼ -10.17% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -10.17% · α vs SPY -15.46% · entry $74.75 → $67.14
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Currently $65.48 · -12.40% from $74.75 entry
Entry anchored
May 1, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.59%
call +1.59% · α +1.93%
$75.94
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-4.40%
call -4.40% · α -6.75%
$71.46
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-10.17%
call -10.17% · α -15.46%
$67.14
settled 9d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

LyondellBasell reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $0.38 (vs consensus $0.28, beat) but GAAP net income of $125M was down 29% YoY from $177M. Revenue of $7.197B missed the $7.37B consensus and declined 6.3% YoY from $7.677B. The company highlighted war-driven margin expansion in North America and European asset sales, but the top-line miss and weak cash flow (-$269M operating) temper the narrative.

Actionable Insight

The Q2 guidance for 'significant sequential improvement' across most businesses is the key catalyst — if realized, it could reverse the revenue decline. However, the Q1 revenue miss and negative operating cash flow warrant caution. Watch for Q2 pre-announcements or industry data on polyethylene/polypropylene spreads to validate the bullish outlook.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP EPS $0.38 vs consensus $0.28 (beat), but GAAP net income $125M vs $177M YoY (-29%)
  • Revenue $7.197B missed $7.37B consensus and fell 6.3% YoY from $7.677B
  • EBITDA ex-identified items $615M vs $576M YoY (+6.8%)
  • Operating cash flow -$269M vs typical Q1 working capital build; $2.6B cash, $7.3B liquidity
  • Completed sale of four European sites; guiding for significant sequential improvement in Q2 across most businesses
  • War in Middle East steepening global petrochemical cost curve, benefiting LYB's cost-advantaged North American assets

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$173M vs consensus; EPS beat of $0.10 vs consensus but net income down $52M YoY

revenueepsnet incomeoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Geopolitical escalation in Middle East could disrupt supply chains or cause demand destruction
  • Revenue decline YoY signals underlying demand weakness despite war-driven margin tailwinds
  • Negative operating cash flow in Q1 may pressure capital returns if sustained
  • European asset sale reduces revenue base, making YoY comparisons difficult

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
36% bullish (25 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3285791
9 reports for LYB
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for LYB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 29, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$67.13 $64.50▼ −3.91%▼ −1.16%$65.48 (−2.45%)
May 22, 2026
19d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.65 $67.13▼ −3.62%▼ −5.28%$65.48 (−5.98%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$74.75 $71.46▼ −4.40%▼ −6.75%$65.48 (−12.40%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$74.75 $71.46▼ −4.40%▼ −6.75%$65.48 (−12.40%)
Apr 10, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$73.69 $66.26▼ −10.08%▼ −14.59%$65.48 (−11.14%)
Apr 10, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$73.69 $66.26▼ −10.08%▼ −14.59%$65.48 (−11.14%)
Apr 6, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.60 $75.46▼ −4.00%▼ −8.13%$65.48 (−16.69%)
Mar 16, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$71.08 $71.48▲ +0.56%▲ +2.60%$65.48 (−7.87%)
Feb 20, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$56.66 $57.50▼ −1.48%▼ −1.93%$65.48 (−15.58%)
Showing 9 of 9

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