LGN Legence Corp.

BULLISH Impact: 4/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 7d 22h ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
LGN ▼ -0.01% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.01% · α vs SPY -0.45% · entry $85.12 → $85.11
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.03%
call +1.03% · α +0.49%
$86.00
settled 7d ago
T+5d
-0.01%
call -0.01% · α -0.45%
$85.11
settled 21h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Legence Corp. (LGN) saw significant net institutional buying in Q4 2025, with four mega-passive funds (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley) adding a combined $225.5M in new holdings, while Fidelity trimmed $29.2M. The cluster is dominated by index rebalancing rather than active conviction, but the sheer size (~$196M net inflow, ~2.25% of market cap) suggests a passive catalyst such as index inclusion.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$282.3M
Sell Value
$201.7M
Net Flow
$196.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $196.3M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vanguard ADD +78.1% $138.9M $83.1M
BlackRock DOUBLED +4681360.4% $106.8M $106.8M
State Street NEW +0% $30.3M $30.3M
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +397.8% $6.3M $5.4M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity TRIM -38.8% $201.7M -$29.2M

Actionable Insight

The cluster strongly suggests an index-related event (e.g., addition to S&P 600 or Russell 2000). Traders should monitor for index reconstitution announcements and sector catalysts in construction trades (infrastructure spending). Given the 45-day 13F lag, these positions may already be stale—watch for Q1 2026 13F filings to see if the buying persisted.

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers accumulated $282.3M in current holdings vs 1 seller at $172.5M
  • Vanguard increased stake by 78.1% to $138.9M
  • BlackRock went from ~$2K to $106.8M (essentially a new position)
  • State Street initiated a $30.3M position
  • Morgan Stanley nearly quadrupled its holding to $6.3M
  • Fidelity reduced by 38.8% to $172.5M, selling ~$29.2M

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of approximately $196.3M, representing about 2.25% of LGN's $8.7B market cap.

ownership concentrationfloatpassive flow

Risk Factors

  • All buyers are passive/index funds, so the accumulation may reverse upon index changes or rebalancing
  • 13F data is 45+ days old; the cluster may have already been unwound
  • No active fund involvement reduces the signal's conviction
  • Historical calibration for this filing type shows only ~35% probability of positive T+20 returns

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (22 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-LGN-2025-Q4
12 reports for LGN
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate 2 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +48.73%Mar 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LGN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$86.00 $86.73▲ +0.85%▼ −0.91%
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$85.12 $86.00▲ +1.03%▲ +0.49%
May 14, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.00 $84.30▼ −5.28%▼ −4.05%
May 14, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$89.00 $84.30▼ −5.28%▼ −4.05%
May 4, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$91.41 $99.38▲ +8.72%▲ +7.92%
Apr 29, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$80.74 $86.96▲ +7.70%▲ +6.68%
Apr 8, 2026
10w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$59.75 $63.20▼ −5.77%▼ −5.84%
Apr 8, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$57.74 $59.75▲ +3.48%▲ +2.91%
Apr 8, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$57.74 $59.75▲ +3.48%▲ +2.91%
Apr 6, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$55.09 $54.98▲ +0.20%▲ +0.26%
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (76h 15m)

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