KTOS KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC.

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001069258-26-000051
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
KTOS ▲ +2.51% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.51% · α vs SPY -0.63% · entry $57.00 → $58.43
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $57.73 (close Jun 8) · +1.28% from $57.00 entry
Entry anchored
May 6, 04:08 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.83%
$57.00
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-7.91%
call -7.91% · α -9.42%
$52.49
settled 28d ago
T+20d
+2.51%
call +2.51% · α -0.63%
$58.43
settled 6d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Kratos reported Q1 2026 revenue of $371.0M (+22.6% YoY), beating consensus by a wide margin, and raised its full-year 2026 guidance to $1.700B-$1.760B (from $1.595B-$1.675B). Adjusted EPS of $0.16 more than doubled the Street estimate of $0.08. Record backlog of $2.01B and strong bookings reinforce the bullish thesis around defense modernization and Valkyrie drone production.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$1.700B-$1.760B
raised
Free Cash Flow
-$43.1M
Gross Margin
24.15%

Actionable Insight

The strong beat and raised guidance confirm accelerating defense demand, especially for Valkyrie drones and hypersonics. However, the stock has historically faded after earnings (0% win rate at T+20 on prior reports). Consider taking partial profits on a gap-up, but the fundamental momentum supports a longer-term bullish view. Monitor cash flow and capex trajectory for signs of inflection.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $371.0M, up 22.6% total (15.8% organic) from $302.6M in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EPS $0.16 vs consensus $0.08 (100% beat); GAAP EPS $0.07 vs $0.03 YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA $38.7M (10.4% margin) vs $26.7M (8.8% margin) in Q1 2025
  • Bookings $605.2M with book-to-bill 1.6x; backlog hit record $2.01B
  • FY2026 guidance raised: revenue $1.700B-$1.760B (prev $1.595B-$1.675B); Adj. EBITDA $170M-$176M (prev $157M-$167M)
  • Cash flow from operations negative $27.4M; Free cash flow negative $43.1M due to working capital and capex
  • Unmanned Systems revenue grew 30.9% organic; KGS segment grew 11.8% organic

Financial Impact

Revenue beat by ~$26M vs prior guidance midpoint; EPS beat consensus by $0.08

revenueepsadjusted ebitdabacklogguidance

Risk Factors

  • Negative free cash flow due to heavy investment in production capacity
  • GAAP operating income declined YoY ($4.7M vs $6.6M) on higher SG&A and stock comp
  • Valuation already reflects growth; stock has historically pulled back after earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (28 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001069258-26-000051
Document: ktos-20260506.htm0001069258-26-000051
Document: 0001069258-26-000051-index-headers.html0001069258-26-000051
Document: 0001069258-26-000051-index.html0001069258-26-000051
Document: 0001069258-26-000051.txt0001069258-26-000051
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001069258-26-000051
25 reports for KTOS
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +7.83%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KTOS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 10, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+1
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$63.40 $58.52▼ −7.70%▼ −5.12%$57.73 (−8.94%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$63.49 $63.27▲ +0.35%▲ +0.50%$57.73 (+9.07%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.13 $63.49▼ −1.00%▼ −1.27%$57.73 (−9.98%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.13 $63.49▼ −1.00%▼ −1.27%$57.73 (−9.98%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$55.82 $54.67▼ −2.06%▼ −2.25%$57.73 (+3.42%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$57.00 $57.00· 0.00%▼ −0.83%$57.73 (+1.28%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$57.00 $57.00· 0.00%▼ −0.83%$57.73 (+1.28%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$62.05 $61.93▼ −0.19%▲ +0.15%$57.73 (−6.96%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$63.16 $61.66▼ −2.37%▼ −1.89%$57.73 (−8.60%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 8h 32m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access