KO COCA COLA CO

MIXED Impact: 2/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 2d 18h ago SEC analyst-KO-bernstei-20260612
Bernstein initiates coverage on KO at Market Perform

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Executive Summary

Bernstein initiated coverage on Coca-Cola (KO) at Market Perform with a $84 price target on June 12, 2026. The target sits below the consensus mean of $85.97 and median of $88, reflecting a neutral stance against a heavily bullish Street — 28 of 34 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy, with only 6 at Hold and none bearish. Bernstein's 51% accuracy on 497 calls trails top firms like Wells Fargo (86%) and JP Morgan (83%). The current price of $82.53 offers just 1.8% upside to Bernstein's target versus 4.2% to the mean. Earnings estimates for the current quarter saw 13 downward revisions in 30 days, but full-year FY0 estimates were revised up 20 times with zero downs. Large insider selling surfaced last week: CEO James Quincey sold $35.6M and EVP Jennifer Mann sold $12M. Meanwhile, Capital Research Global Investors added an 84.8% position worth $2.24B and Soros Fund opened a new $11.5M stake. Short interest stands at 57.9% of float. The neutral initiation from a below-average-accuracy firm does little to alter the prevailing bullish consensus, though the sheer volume of insider sales warrants caution.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
28 (82%)
Hold
6
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
24
Mean PT
$85.97
Median PT
$88.00
High PT
$92.00
Low PT
$71.38
Current Price
$82.53
Implied Upside
+4.2%

Of 34 analysts covering KO, 8 have Strong Buy, 20 have Buy, and 6 have Hold — a 82% Buy-side ratio. Zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The consensus is firmly bullish, with Bernstein's Market Perform aligning with the minority hold camp.

Consensus targets: mean $85.97, median $88, high $92, low $71.38. Current price $82.53 implies 4.2% upside to the mean. Bernstein's $84 target is 2.8% above current price but sits below the mean and median, making it one of the more conservative targets.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-06-12 Bernstein initiate Market Perform $84.00
2026-05-21 Barclays maintain Overweight $89.00
2026-05-18 Citigroup maintain Buy $91.00
2026-05-18 Wells Fargo maintain Overweight $90.00
2026-04-30 Barclays maintain Overweight $85.00
2026-04-29 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $85.00
2026-04-29 TD Cowen maintain Buy $90.00
2026-04-29 Citigroup maintain Buy $90.00
2026-04-29 Evercore ISI Group maintain Outperform $88.00
2026-04-07 UBS maintain Buy $90.00

Over the past 30 days, KO has seen 1 upgrade and 0 downgrades. EPS revisions are mixed: the current quarter (0q) saw 13 downgrades vs 2 upgrades, but the current fiscal year (0y) saw 20 upgrades vs 0 downgrades and next year (+1y) had 17 upgrades vs 3 downgrades. The net revision trend is positive for the longer term, but near-term headwinds persist.

Firm Track Record — Bernstein

Bernstein accuracy: 51% on 497 calls | avg return: 3.3%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 12 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
B of A Securities 100% 2/2 11.9% top tier
Deutsche Bank 100% 2/2 6.3% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 100% 2/2 6.3% top tier
Piper Sandler 100% 4/4 9% top tier
TD Cowen 100% 3/3 5.3% top tier
Wells Fargo 86% 6/7 3.8% top tier
JP Morgan 83% 5/6 7.6% top tier
UBS 71% 5/7 3.9% top tier
RBC Capital 67% 2/3 4.1% top tier
Barclays 63% 5/8 3.6% top tier

Bernstein has a 51% accuracy rate on 497 scored calls with an average return of 3.3%. This places them below top-tier peers such as BofA, Deutsche Bank, Evercore, Piper Sandler, and TD Cowen (all 100% but on 2–4 calls each), as well as Wells Fargo (86% on 7 calls) and JP Morgan (83% on 6 calls). Bernstein's accuracy is below the average of firms covering KO.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 20, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $0.93 $0.90 — $0.97 $13.2B ↑0 ↓0
+1q $0.88 $0.87 — $0.89 $12.4B ↑0 ↓0
0y $3.27 $3.24 — $3.31 $49.1B ↑1 ↓0
+1y $3.48 $3.39 — $3.56 $50.0B ↑2 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Lloyd Doggett (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $15,001 - $50,000
Institutional
Capital Research Global Investors — add (84.8%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — exit (-100%)
Institutional
Lindsell Train Ltd — trim (-29.4%)
Short Interest
Short: 2,319,160 | Exempt: 18,112 | TRF Vol: 4,006,484 | Short Ratio: 57.9% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trading shows significant bearish divergence: CEO James Quincey sold $35.6M on June 5 and $640K on June 4; EVP Jennifer Mann sold $15.2M in three trades between June 5–9. These are large, clustered sales. Congressional activity is mildly bullish (two Democrat buys totaling up to $65K). Institutional moves are mixed: Capital Research Global Investors added 84.8% ($2.24B), Soros Fund opened a $11.5M position, but Norges Bank exited entirely and Lindsell Train trimmed 29.4%. Short interest is elevated at 57.9% of float, indicating bearish sentiment among short sellers.

Actionable Insight

Bernstein's neutral initiation adds little conviction, but the combination of massive insider selling and elevated short interest creates a cautious backdrop for new longs. Traders should watch for further insider accumulation or a reversal in near-term EPS revisions before positioning aggressively.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

13 reports for KO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for KO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$82.37 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$82.62 (+0.31%)
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$82.31 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$82.62 (+0.38%)
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 2/10
$81.98 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$82.62 (+0.78%)
Jun 10, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$83.74 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$82.62 (−1.34%)
Jun 9, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$80.94 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$82.62 (+2.08%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$64.01 $71.19▲ +11.22%▲ +13.06%$82.62 (+29.08%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$64.01 $71.19▲ +11.22%▲ +13.06%$82.62 (+29.08%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$78.38 $81.62▲ +4.14%▼ −1.32%$82.62 (+5.41%)
Mar 16, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$77.84 $75.89▼ −2.51%▼ −6.29%$82.62 (+6.15%)
Mar 16, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$77.84 $75.89▼ −2.51%▼ −6.29%$82.62 (+6.15%)
Showing 10 of 13

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