KLAC KLA CORP

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 9d 12h ago SEC analyst-KLAC-wellsfar-20260115
15 firms acted on KLAC: Wells Fargo, RBC Capital, Bernstein, TD Cowen, Cantor Fitzgerald, Jefferies, Barclays, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer, Barclays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KLAC ▲ +16.39% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +16.39% · α vs SPY +16.07% · entry $1,540.99 → $1,793.62
Last close $2,108.06 (close Jun 8) · +36.80% from $1,540.99 entry
Entry anchored
Jan 15, 04:24 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.48%
call +1.48% · α +1.49%
$1,563.79
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.08%
call -2.08% · α -1.64%
$1,508.89
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-5.23%
call -5.23% · α -3.70%
$1,460.37
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+16.39%
call +16.39% · α +16.07%
$1,793.62
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Wells Fargo upgraded KLA Corp to Overweight from Equal-Weight on January 15, 2026, raising its price target to $1,600 from $1,250, implying roughly 28% upside from the prior target but still below the current price of $1,921.71. The upgrade is part of a 15-firm cluster action on KLAC, though most other firms maintained existing ratings. Consensus remains heavily bullish with 24 of 36 analysts at Buy or Strong Buy, a mean target of $1,855, and a median of $1,900. Wells Fargo's 55% accuracy on 6,036 calls is slightly below the average of top-tier firms covering KLAC, which include Morgan Stanley (78% on 9 calls) and Oppenheimer (80% on 5 calls). EPS revisions are positive across all periods — 30-day revisions up 17-26 times vs. 1-5 down — and the next earnings report is due July 29, 2026, about six months away. Insider selling is notable: CEO Richard P. Wallace sold $8.1M on May 12, and two other executives sold smaller amounts on May 11. Institutional flows are mixed: Norges Bank initiated a $2.99B position, FMR doubled to $2.71B, while Renaissance Technologies nearly exited and UBS trimmed. Short interest is elevated at 65.8% of float. The upgrade is a positive directional call from a mid-accuracy firm, but the stock already trades well above the new target, limiting near-term conviction.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
3/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
24 (67%)
Hold
12
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
29
Mean PT
$1,855.14
Median PT
$1,900.00
High PT
$2,100.00
Low PT
$1,500.00
Current Price
$1,921.71
Implied Upside
-3.5%

Consensus is heavily bullish: 10 Strong Buy, 14 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell across 36 analysts. 67% of analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, with no bearish ratings.

Current price is $1,921.71. Mean target is $1,855.14 (3.5% downside), median $1,900 (1.1% downside), high $2,100 (9.3% upside), low $1,500 (21.9% downside). Wells Fargo's $1,600 target is well below the mean and median, ranking near the low end of the range.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-01 Citigroup maintain Buy $2,064.00
2026-04-30 Jefferies maintain Buy $2,000.00
2026-04-30 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $2,000.00
2026-04-30 TD Cowen maintain Buy $2,000.00
2026-04-30 Bernstein maintain Outperform $1,875.00
2026-04-30 Susquehanna maintain Neutral $1,700.00
2026-04-30 RBC Capital maintain Sector Perform $1,700.00
2026-04-30 Wells Fargo maintain Overweight $2,100.00
2026-04-30 Needham maintain Buy $2,000.00
2026-04-21 UBS maintain Neutral $1,835.00

No upgrades or downgrades in the last 30 days. EPS revisions are strongly positive: +1q EPS revised up 17 times vs. 0 down in 7 days, and 17 up vs. 4 down in 30 days. Full-year 0y EPS revised up 26 times vs. 1 down in 30 days. Estimates are being revised higher across all periods.

Firm Track Record — Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo accuracy: 55% on 6036 calls | avg return: 3.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Oppenheimer 80% 4/5 15.3% top tier
Needham 80% 4/5 12.8% top tier
Morgan Stanley 78% 7/9 21.3% top tier
JP Morgan 75% 3/4 18.6% top tier
TD Cowen 75% 3/4 7.3% top tier
Stifel 71% 5/7 20.5% top tier
Citigroup 67% 6/9 12.7% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 67% 2/3 10.5% top tier
UBS 67% 4/6 11.7% top tier
Raymond James 67% 2/3 13.3% top tier

Wells Fargo has a 55% accuracy rate on 6,036 calls with an average return of 3.6%, placing it below the top-tier firms covering KLAC. Top performers include Morgan Stanley (78% on 9 calls, avg return 21.3%), Oppenheimer (80% on 5 calls, avg return 15.3%), and Needham (80% on 5 calls, avg return 12.8%). Bottom performers include Barclays (50% on 10 calls, avg return 9.8%) and Cantor Fitzgerald (50% on 10 calls, avg return 4.2%).

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q $11.21 $10.42 — $11.83 $3.9B ↑17 ↓0
0q $9.96 $9.84 — $10.36 $3.6B ↑18 ↓0
+1y $49.85 $44.09 — $54.59 $17.0B ↑2 ↓0
0y $37.10 $36.35 — $40.42 $13.5B ↑2 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 3 sells
Congressional
Lizzie Fletcher (democrat) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — near_exit (-81.1%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — add (36.4%)
Short Interest
Short: 407,366 | Exempt: 721 | TRF Vol: 618,720 | Short Ratio: 65.8% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider selling is notable: CEO Richard P. Wallace sold $8.1M on May 12, and two other executives sold $1.03M and $558K on May 11. These sales align with the bearish side of the analyst signal (stock above target). Institutional flows are mixed: Norges Bank initiated a $2.99B position, FMR doubled to $2.71B, while Renaissance Technologies nearly exited (-81.1%) and UBS trimmed (-27.5%). Short interest is elevated at 65.8% of float, indicating heavy bearish positioning. Congressional activity: Rep. Lizzie Fletcher sold $1K-$15K on April 8, a negligible signal.

Actionable Insight

The upgrade is a positive directional call, but the stock already trades 20% above the new target, and insider selling is heavy. Traders should treat this as a neutral signal — the bullish consensus and strong EPS revisions are offset by valuation and insider exits. Wait for a pullback toward the $1,600-$1,700 range before considering a long position.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

5 reports for KLAC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
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Reports for KLAC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 31, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,540.99 $1,508.89▼ −2.08%▼ −1.64%$2,108.06 (+36.80%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,845.19 $1,756.45▼ −4.81%▼ −4.72%$2,108.06 (+14.25%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,845.19 $1,756.45▼ −4.81%▼ −4.72%$2,108.06 (+14.25%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$1,542.96 $1,510.82▼ −2.08%▼ −1.64%$2,108.06 (+36.62%)
Mar 12, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1,409.57 $1,511.52▲ +7.23%▲ +8.21%$2,108.06 (+49.55%)
Showing 5 of 5

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