JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Freedom Broker issued a double downgrade on [TICKER] from Buy to Hold on October 22, 2025, a contrarian call against a consensus that is 62.5% Buy. The firm raised its price target to $190 from $180, but that still represents a 15.4% decline from the current price of $224.62. Freedom Broker has a 66% accuracy rate on 68 rated calls with an average return of 11.8%, placing it in the moderate tier vs. peers like Raymond James and Barclays (100% on limited coverage). The consensus mean price target is $252.42, implying 12.4% upside, making this downgrade a clear outlier. EPS revision momentum is mixed: next year estimates saw 20 upward revisions in the past 30 days, yet the current quarter had 10 downward revisions. High short interest (58.9% of float) and insider selling (one SELL in February) align with the bearish view, although institutional activity shows some large buyers (FMR added 39.7%, Norges Bank new position). The bottom line: this double downgrade from a moderately accurate firm is a bearish signal that diverges sharply from consensus, warranting caution.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
Consensus distribution: 6 Strong Buy, 14 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — total 32 ratings from 24 analysts. That translates to 62.5% Buy, 37.5% Hold, 0% Sell. The consensus is clearly bullish, making Freedom Broker's downgrade an outlier.
Consensus price targets: mean $252.42, median $259, high $285, low $155. Current price $224.62 implies an average upside of 12.4% to the mean. Freedom Broker's $190 target is 24.7% below the mean and actually below the lowest consensus target of $155, signaling a deeply bearish view.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Barclays | maintain | Equal-Weight | $255.00 |
| 2026-04-15 | Stifel | maintain | Hold | $250.00 |
| 2026-04-15 | Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | $263.00 |
| 2026-04-10 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | $267.00 |
| 2026-03-30 | RBC Capital | reiterate | Outperform | $255.00 |
| 2026-03-19 | Barclays | maintain | Equal-Weight | $234.00 |
| 2026-03-17 | HSBC | maintain | Buy | $280.00 |
| 2026-03-11 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | $274.00 |
| 2026-03-05 | JP Morgan | maintain | Neutral | $250.00 |
| 2026-02-03 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $255.00 |
Analyst activity in the past 30 days shows 0 upgrades and 0 downgrades. EPS revisions: next fiscal year (+1y) had 20 upward and 1 downward revision in 30 days, while the current quarter (0q) had 6 up and 10 down. Next quarter (+1q) had 10 up and 5 down. The mixed revision trend suggests near-term uncertainty but longer-term optimism.
Firm Track Record — Freedom Broker
Freedom Broker accuracy: 66% on 68 calls | avg return: 11.8%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 13 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 100% | 4/4 | 8.2% | top tier |
| Barclays | 100% | 4/4 | 12.4% | top tier |
| Goldman Sachs | 100% | 4/4 | 8.8% | top tier |
| UBS | 100% | 2/2 | 17.3% | top tier |
| Stifel | 100% | 2/2 | 11.2% | top tier |
| Morgan Stanley | 91% | 10/11 | 9.6% | top tier |
| B of A Securities | 89% | 8/9 | 9.3% | top tier |
| Citigroup | 83% | 5/6 | 10.3% | top tier |
| RBC Capital | 72% | 13/18 | 4.9% | top tier |
| Wells Fargo | 67% | 2/3 | 2.7% | top tier |
Freedom Broker has a 66% accuracy rate on 68 scored calls with an average return of 11.8%. This is below top-tier firms covering [TICKER] such as Raymond James, Barclays, and Goldman Sachs (all 100% on 4 calls each), and Morgan Stanley (91% on 11 calls). It is above firms like Cantor Fitzgerald (44% on 16 calls). Overall, Freedom Broker is a moderate-accuracy firm.
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Jul 14, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1y | $12.71 | $12.07 — $13.47 | $107.2B | ↑4 ↓0 |
| 0q | $2.84 | $2.65 — $3.00 | $25.0B | ↑5 ↓0 |
| +1q | $3.02 | $2.96 — $3.11 | $25.3B | ↑10 ↓0 |
| 0y | $11.58 | $11.47 — $11.82 | $100.9B | ↑3 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider trades: one SELL ($324k) on Feb 20, 2026. Congressional trades: four small sells (Rep. Kean Jr., Boozman, McCormick) and one small buy (Rep. Doggett). Institutional activity: Two Sigma near-exit (-90.5%), Renaissance exit (100% sell), but FMR added 39.7% and Norges Bank new position. Short interest stands at 58.9% of float, very elevated. The insider selling, high short interest, and institutional exits converge with the bearish downgrade, though large new buys provide some divergence.
Actionable Insight
The double downgrade from a moderate-accuracy firm, combined with high short interest and insider selling, suggests meaningful downside risk. Traders should consider reducing long exposure or initiating hedges ahead of any earnings catalyst (next report July 14, 2026).
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jun 6, 2026
3d ago
|
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
| $192.41 $186.39 | ▲ +3.13% | ▲ +6.03% | $232.16 (−20.66%) |
|
May 31, 2026
9d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $227.67 $234.31 | ▲ +2.92% | ▲ +4.25% | $232.16 (+1.97%) |
|
May 20, 2026
21d ago
|
Court Ruling
| $229.12 $231.29 | ▲ +0.95% | ▼ −0.29% | $232.16 (+1.33%) |
|
May 13, 2026
27d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $230.79 $231.58 | ▲ +0.34% | ▲ +1.06% | $232.16 (+0.59%) |
|
May 7, 2026
4w ago
|
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
| $192.41 $186.39 | ▲ +3.13% | ▲ +6.03% | $232.16 (−20.66%) |
|
May 5, 2026
5w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $225.50 $221.43 | ▼ −1.80% | ▼ −3.79% | $232.16 (+2.96%) |
|
Apr 14, 2026
8w ago
|
8-K
| $240.01 $225.97 | ▼ −5.85% | ▼ −7.24% | $232.16 (−3.27%) |
|
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $242.34 $238.33 | ▼ −1.65% | ▼ −5.96% | $232.16 (−4.20%) |
|
Mar 11, 2026
12w ago
|
DEFA14A
| $242.95 $237.20 | ▼ −2.37% | ▼ −0.18% | $232.16 (−4.44%) |
|
Feb 28, 2026
14w ago
|
Institutional Cluster
| $248.40 $242.34 | ▼ −2.44% | ▼ −1.23% | $232.16 (−6.54%) |
US Market Status
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