JAKK JAKKS PACIFIC INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon days Processed 7d 19h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Latest settled — T+5d
JAKK ▼ -3.40% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.40% · α vs SPY -3.83% · entry $22.35 → $21.59
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.67%
call +0.67% · α +0.13%
$22.50
settled 7d ago
T+5d
-3.40%
call -3.40% · α -3.83%
$21.59
settled 20h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

A small institutional cluster in JAKK during Q3 2025 shows mixed signals: three passive mega-managers (Schwab, UBS, Bank of America) added a combined $514K, while two others (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley) reduced positions by $541K. All participants are passive/index-oriented funds, which limits the directional signal — this looks like routine quarterly rebalancing rather than a coordinated active bet.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$2.1M
Sell Value
$1.2M
Net Flow
-$28.0K

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$28.0K

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Schwab ADD +33.1% $1.3M $212.0K
UBS ADD +35% $317.0K $57.0K
BofA DOUBLED +105.6% $532.0K $245.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity NEAR_EXIT -75% $101.0K -$78.5K
Morgan Stanley TRIM -31.8% $1.2M -$463.0K

Actionable Insight

The cluster is dominated by passive/index-fund rebalancing with no active manager involvement, providing no independent directional signal. Ignore this 13F snapshot for trade decisions. Monitor for any 13D/G activist filing or insider buying pattern as a more meaningful signal given the small-cap nature of JAKK.

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers (all mega-passive) added $513K in aggregate Schwab +$212K, UBS +$57K, BofA +$245K
  • 2 sellers (both mega-passive) reduced by $541K combined Fidelity -$79K, Morgan Stanley -$463K
  • Net institution-level activity is nearly flat (-$28K), with total buying $2.1M vs selling $1.2M prior value position size is small
  • No active hedge funds, activists, or family offices appear in this cluster full participant list is mega-passive only
  • Historical calibration for this filing segment shows negative net alpha at T+20 (-2.84% avg) and only 34% win rates at score=6-8, suggesting directional bets on JAKK have underperformed

Financial Impact

Total institutional additions of $514K offset by $541K in reductions net dollar change to the cluster is immaterial relative to JAKK's $252M market cap (approx 0.2%)

institutional ownership ratiodilution concern

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 4+ months stale quarter ended Sep 2025; positions may have been unwound or further built by now
  • 13F filings omit short positions; reported selling may overstate bearish conviction
  • Historical reports on JAKK have underperformed with a 38% win rate at T+20 across all directional calls

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles)
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-JAKK-2025-Q3
11 reports for JAKK
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for JAKK — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 16, 2026
3d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$19.02 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.35 $21.59▼ −3.40%▼ −3.83%
May 16, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$18.39 $18.47▲ +0.41%▲ +2.37%
May 12, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$21.89 $21.66▼ −1.05%▼ −1.13%
May 7, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.28 $21.51▼ −7.60%▼ −9.11%
May 6, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.03 $21.89▼ −4.95%▼ −6.08%
Apr 30, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$24.06 $23.28▲ +3.24%▲ +5.59%
Apr 30, 2026
7w ago
S-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.52 $23.03▲ +6.99%▲ +5.26%
Apr 16, 2026
9w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$21.56 $22.60▲ +4.82%▲ +3.84%
Apr 16, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.56 $22.60▲ +4.82%▲ +3.84%
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (77h 36m)

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