INTC INTEL CORP

Price Chart

Executive Summary

Seaport Global upgraded Intel (INTC) from Neutral to Buy on January 20, 2026, setting a $65 price target — 31% below the current price of $94.48. The call stands out among 21 firms that recently adjusted ratings, as Seaport is a top-tier firm with 100% accuracy on its prior 2 calls (avg return +3.8%). Consensus remains heavily tilted to Hold (67% of 52 analysts), with mean target at $76.97. EPS revisions have surged: current-year estimates saw 25 upward revisions vs 0 down in the past 7 days, and next-quarter estimates rose from $0.18 to $0.26. Despite the bullish upgrade, the $65 target implies significant downside, creating a stark divergence between sentiment and valuation. Short interest is extremely elevated at 61.9% of float, while institutional flows show massive additions from FMR (+90.8%) and Renaissance (+191.5%). The rating change is a contrarian high-accuracy call, but the price target cautions against chasing the stock at current levels.

Impact Score

Consensus & Targets

Of 52 analysts covering INTC, 4 are Strong Buy, 9 Buy (25% bullish), 35 Hold (67%), 3 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell (8% bearish). The consensus is heavily skewed toward Hold, making Seaport's upgrade a contrarian call.

Current price: $94.48. Consensus mean target: $76.97 (implied downside -18.5%), median: $80, high: $112, low: $20.4. Seaport's $65 target sits well below the mean and median, in the bottom decile of all targets. The stock trades 23% above the mean consensus target.

Recent Analyst Activity

30-day analyst activity: 3 upgrades, 1 downgrade. EPS revisions are aggressively positive: current-year EPS saw 25 upward revisions and 0 down in the past 7 days; next-quarter EPS had 16 up and 0 down. Estimates have been lifted sharply: current-year EPS rose from $0.48 to $1.09 in 30 days.

Firm Track Record — Seaport Global

Seaport Global accuracy: 51% on 239 calls | avg return: 1.5%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

Seaport Global is top-tier with 100% accuracy on 2 rated calls and an average return of +3.8%. Among top firms covering INTC, Morgan Stanley (80% on 5 calls, +11.2%), Goldman Sachs (75% on 4, -7.7%), UBS (75% on 8, +8.7%), and Needham (71% on 7, +15.1%) all have strong track records. Weakest firms: Baird (50% on 2, -6.7%) and Northland (50% on 2, -3.8%).

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider trading shows one sell ($981k by Miller Boise April 2026). Institutional activity is heavily bullish: FMR added 90.8% ($1B), Norges Bank opened a $2.2B position, Renaissance Technologies doubled (+191.5%). Bank of America trimmed 27.8%. Short interest is extreme at 61.9% of float. The heavy short interest and institutional buying create potential for a squeeze, but the bearish price target from the rating firm creates divergence.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

US Market Status