INTC INTEL CORP

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 3d 22h ago SEC analyst-INTC-bofasecu-20260611
B of A Securities double upgrade: Underperform → Buy

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Executive Summary

B of A Securities double-upgraded INTC from Underperform to Buy on June 11, 2026, raising its price target to $135 from $96, implying 26.1% upside from the current $107.04. The firm has a 54% accuracy rate on 3,282 calls with a 5.1% average return, placing it near the middle of the 15 firms tracked. Consensus is heavily tilted to Hold — 32 of 53 analysts rate it Hold, with 17 Buy-equivalent and 4 Sell. The mean target of $92.17 sits 13.9% below the current price, making this a strongly contrarian call. Price targets range from $45 to $150, with B of A's $135 well above the median $90. Momentum is positive: 1 upgrade in 30 days, 0 downgrades, and EPS revisions are overwhelmingly upward — 31 upward revisions for the current quarter and 35 for the current year, with zero downward revisions. Insider selling by two executives ($2.5M and $4.0M) partially offsets the bullish signal, but institutional buying from FMR LLC (doubled position, +110.7%) provides strong convergence. Short interest at 58.4% of off-exchange volume suggests elevated bearish positioning that could fuel a squeeze. The bottom line: this is a high-conviction contrarian upgrade from a credible firm, supported by strong institutional accumulation and upward EPS revisions, but the heavy Hold consensus and insider sales warrant caution.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+2
Final Score
5/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
17 (32%)
Hold
32
Sell / Strong Sell
4
Total Analysts
41
Mean PT
$92.17
Median PT
$90.00
High PT
$150.00
Low PT
$45.00
Current Price
$107.04
Implied Upside
-13.9%

Of 53 analysts covering INTC, 4 rate it Strong Buy, 13 Buy (total 32.1% Buy-equivalent), 32 Hold (60.4%), 4 Sell (7.5%), and 0 Strong Sell. The consensus is heavily tilted to Hold, making B of A's upgrade a clear outlier.

Current price: $107.04. Mean target: $92.17 (13.9% downside). Median: $90. High: $150. Low: $45. B of A's $135 PT sits 46.5% above the mean and 50% above the median, placing it in the top quartile of targets.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-06-11 B of A Securities upgrade Buy $135.00
2026-06-01 Barclays maintain Equal-Weight $100.00
2026-06-01 Wells Fargo maintain Equal-Weight $110.00
2026-06-01 Mizuho maintain Neutral $128.00
2026-05-18 Citigroup maintain Buy $130.00
2026-05-18 Benchmark maintain Buy $140.00
2026-05-12 Mizuho maintain Neutral $124.00
2026-05-04 RBC Capital reiterate Sector Perform $80.00
2026-04-30 Tigress Financial maintain Buy $118.00
2026-04-28 Freedom Broker upgrade Buy $100.00

30-day analyst activity: 1 upgrade (B of A), 0 downgrades. EPS revisions are overwhelmingly positive: current quarter saw 31 upward revisions and 0 downward; current year saw 35 upward and 0 downward. Estimates are being revised higher across all periods.

Firm Track Record — B of A Securities

B of A Securities accuracy: 54% on 3282 calls | avg return: 5.1%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Seaport Global 100% 2/2 3.8% top tier
Morgan Stanley 80% 4/5 11.2% top tier
Goldman Sachs 75% 3/4 -7.7% top tier
UBS 75% 6/8 8.7% top tier
Needham 71% 5/7 15.1% top tier
Deutsche Bank 67% 2/3 2.5% top tier
Barclays 67% 4/6 8.4% top tier
Roth MKM 67% 2/3 3.4% top tier
Wells Fargo 60% 3/5 7.5% above average
Truist Securities 57% 4/7 0.7% above average

B of A Securities has a 54% accuracy rate on 3,282 calls with a 5.1% average return, ranking near the middle of 15 tracked firms. Top performers include Seaport Global (100% on 2 calls, 3.8% avg return), Morgan Stanley (80% on 5 calls, 11.2% avg return), and Needham (71% on 7 calls, 15.1% avg return). Worst: Baird (50% on 2 calls, -6.7% avg return) and Northland Capital Markets (50% on 2 calls, -3.8% avg return).

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 22, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $0.21 $0.20 — $0.33 $14.4B ↑1 ↓0
+1q $0.27 $0.22 — $0.37 $15.0B ↑1 ↓0
0y $1.09 $0.95 — $1.39 $58.7B ↑1 ↓0
+1y $1.54 $0.94 — $2.21 $65.2B ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 2 sells
Congressional
Dwight Evans (democrat) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
FMR LLC — doubled (110.7%)
Institutional
FMR LLC — add (90.8%)
Institutional
FMR LLC — add (48.5%)
Short Interest
Short: 28,507,155 | Exempt: 78,128 | TRF Vol: 48,837,834 | Short Ratio: 58.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trades: two sales totaling ~$6.5M (Chandrasekaran Nagasubramaniyan $2.5M on May 29; Miller Boise April $4.0M on May 1) — these are C-suite level sales, which carry weight but are not cluster sales. Congressional activity: one small sell by Rep. Dwight Evans ($1K-$15K on May 7) — negligible. Institutional: FMR LLC doubled its position (+110.7%, $2.5B) and added two more positions (+90.8%, $1.0B; +48.5%, $479M) — strong bullish accumulation. Capital Research Global Investors trimmed 55.2% ($705M) — a partial offset. Short interest: 58.4% of off-exchange volume, indicating elevated bearish positioning that could amplify upside on positive catalysts. Convergence: institutional buying aligns with the upgrade; insider sales diverge but are not strong enough to negate the signal.

Actionable Insight

This double upgrade from a credible firm against a heavy Hold consensus, combined with massive institutional accumulation and upward EPS revisions, creates a powerful bullish setup. Traders should watch for a potential short squeeze given 58.4% short interest, but monitor insider sales as a risk factor.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

21 reports for INTC
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 8 of 10 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +67.16%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for INTC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$111.68 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$124.57 (+11.54%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$48.57 $45.44▼ −6.44%▼ −7.75%$124.57 (+156.50%)
May 28, 2026
17d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$84.54 $121.79▲ +44.06%▲ +38.61%$124.57 (+47.36%)
May 24, 2026
21d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$82.56 $119.87▲ +45.19%▲ +40.70%$124.57 (+50.89%)
May 21, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$66.28 $110.79▲ +67.16%▲ +62.95%$124.57 (+87.96%)
May 21, 2026
25d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$65.71 $108.08▲ +64.49%▲ +60.28%$124.57 (+89.59%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 4/10
$48.57 $45.44▼ −6.44%▼ −7.75%$124.57 (+156.50%)
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$99.62 $109.35▲ +9.77%▲ +4.50%$124.57 (+25.05%)
Apr 29, 2026
6w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.53 $114.62▲ +21.25%▲ +16.03%$124.57 (+31.78%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$84.54 $121.79▲ +44.06%▲ +38.61%$124.57 (+47.36%)
Showing 10 of 21

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