HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 6/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 1d 23h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)

Executive Summary

8 major institutional investors reported Q3 2025 13F positions in HP, with 5 net buyers (adding $67.7M) and 2 net sellers (reducing by $12.4M). The buying was concentrated in a very large ADD from Morgan Stanley (value up $29.1M) and aggressive positions from four funds that doubled or more — Point72 (+564%), Ameriprise (+317%), RenTech and Tweedy Browne (+105%). Selling was limited: Norges Bank fully exited a $10.6M position and Fidelity trimmed $1.8M. The overall net conviction is strongly bullish with $55.3M net inflows from active/quants, and the active/quant ratio dominates this signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$110.5M
Sell Value
$10.6M
Net Flow
$55.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $55.3M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan Stanley ADD +28.3% $62.7M $29.1M
Tweedy Browne DOUBLED +105.7% $583.0K $388.0K
RenTech DOUBLED +104.2% $10.8M $7.2M
Point72 DOUBLED +564.1% $9.6M $8.6M
Ameriprise Financial DOUBLED +316.9% $26.9M $22.5M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity TRIM -47.1% $8.0M -$1.8M
Norges Bank EXIT -100% $10.6M -$10.6M

Actionable Insight

This is a high-conviction cluster with active/quant-dominated buying, especially notable for tiny-fund conviction behavior (Tweedy Browne, RenTech, Point72 all doubling or more). The $55M net inflow is material for a $3.9B market cap stock, representing ~1.4% of float. The strong buying is partially offset by Norges Bank's full exit and Fidelity's trim. Given the history of strong T+20 returns on HP reports (80% win rate), monitor for follow-through buying and next-quarter 13F holdings to see if this cluster is sustained or reversed.

Key Facts

  • Net directional buying: 5 buyers add $67.7M; 2 sellers dispose of $12.4M; net +$55.3M
  • Morgan Stanley (mega-passive) made the largest dollar ADD, raising its stake from $33.5M to $62.7M (+28.3% shares)
  • Point72 (quant) nearly 6x'd its position (65.2K → 432.7K shares, +564%)
  • Ameriprise Financial (asset manager) +317%, RenTech +104%, Tweedy Browne +106%
  • Norges Bank (sovereign) fully exited its $10.6M position; Fidelity (passive) trimmed -47% of its stake
  • 56% of sell-side analysts rate HP as Strong Buy or Buy; the stock is in the Drilling Oil & Gas Wells sector
  • HP's historical performance on prior filings has been very positive (80% win rate at T+20, avg +4.8%)

Financial Impact

8 tracked institutions changed positions by a net +$55.3M (gross buying $67.7M, gross selling $12.4M) in the September 2025 quarter

institutional ownershipfloat ownership

Risk Factors

  • 13F data has a 45-day lag; these positions may already be partially or fully unwound
  • Norges Bank's full exit of a $10.6M position is a notable contrary signal at the sovereign level
  • HP is in a cyclical sector (Drilling Oil & Gas) where oil price volatility could rapidly change institutional sentiment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Drilling Oil & Gas Wells
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (25 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-HP-2025-Q3
3 reports for HP
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for HP — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$39.53 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.90 $38.44▼ −4.17%▼ −1.04%
Mar 4, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.13 $34.81▲ +1.99%▲ +5.78%
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (46h 26m)

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