GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon days Filed May 7, 2026 Processed 13d 3h ago SEC 0001928446-26-000015
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
GRNT ▲ +6.40% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -6.40% · α vs SPY -4.94% · entry $5.00 → $5.32
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Currently $5.65 · -13.00% from $5.00 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+5.00%
call -5.00% · α -4.77%
$5.25
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+6.40%
call -6.40% · α -4.94%
$5.32
settled 6d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 16d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Granite Ridge reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.02, missing the $0.09 consensus by 77.8%, while revenue grew 4.4% YoY to $128.3M. Adjusted EBITDAX fell 22% to $71.0M, and 2026 guidance was revised upward for both acquisitions and per-unit lease operating expenses, signaling margin compression. The $0.11 quarterly dividend was maintained.

Actionable Insight

The persistent EPS miss (second consecutive quarter with >75% miss) and rising cost guidance suggest structural margin pressures. Watch for further downward revisions to production or cash flow guidance if commodity prices soften. The dividend is covered but at risk if cash flows deteriorate further.

Key Facts

  • GAAP net loss of $47.0M ($0.36/share) vs net income of $9.8M ($0.07/share) in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) of $0.02 vs consensus $0.09 — a 77.8% miss
  • Revenue from oil and gas sales $128.3M, up 4.4% from $122.9M
  • Production grew 18% to 34,467 Boe/day, driven by 11% oil and 24% natural gas increases
  • Adjusted EBITDAX fell to $71.0M from $91.4M, down 22% YoY
  • Lease operating expenses per Boe surged 55% to $9.57, driven by higher disposal costs and rentals
  • 2026 guidance: acquisition spending raised to $45-55M (from $20-30M); LOE per Boe guided $7.75-$8.75 (from $6.75-$7.75)
  • Quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share maintained
  • Net debt to trailing twelve-month Adjusted EBITDAX remained at 1.3x

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS missed by $0.07 per share; Adjusted EBITDAX decreased $20.4M YoY; LOE per Boe increased 55%

adjusted epsadjusted ebitdaxlease operating expensesmargins

Risk Factors

  • Continued cost inflation in LOE and capex may compress margins further
  • Lower commodity prices could exacerbate the earnings miss trend
  • Leverage remains manageable but net debt increased to $396M from $370M at year-end

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001928446-26-000015
Document: grnt-20260507.htm0001928446-26-000015
Document: 0001928446-26-000015-index-headers.html0001928446-26-000015
Document: 0001928446-26-000015-index.html0001928446-26-000015
Document: 0001928446-26-000015.txt0001928446-26-000015
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001928446-26-000015
9 reports for GRNT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +16.93%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GRNT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 20, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.68 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$5.65 (−0.44%)
May 13, 2026
7d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.16 $5.32▲ +3.10%▲ +2.32%$5.65 (+9.50%)
May 7, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.00 $5.25▼ −5.00%▼ −4.77%$5.65 (−13.00%)
Apr 8, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.62 $5.57▼ −0.89%▼ −0.83%$5.65 (+0.53%)
Mar 10, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.02 $5.07▲ +1.00%▲ +1.10%$5.65 (+12.55%)
Mar 10, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.02 $5.07▲ +1.00%▲ +1.10%$5.65 (+12.55%)
Mar 10, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.02 $5.07▲ +1.00%▲ +1.10%$5.65 (+12.55%)
Mar 10, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.02 $5.07▲ +1.00%▲ +1.10%$5.65 (+12.55%)
Mar 5, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.02 $5.32▲ +5.98%▲ +5.13%$5.65 (+12.55%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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