GEVO Gevo, Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon immediate Filed Apr 2, 2026 Processed 18d 9h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $103K total
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
GEVO ▼ -4.61% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.61% · α vs SPY -13.59% · entry $2.17 → $2.07
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Last close $1.58 (close Jun 8) · -27.19% from $2.17 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 2, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-9.22%
call -9.22% · α -9.28%
$1.97
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-6.45%
call -6.45% · α -10.59%
$2.03
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-4.61%
call -4.61% · α -13.59%
$2.07
settled 6w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two GEVO insiders sold $103K total in a tight 8-day window: President & COO Michael sold $88K (29.8K shares at $2.96) and Chief Customer Officer Shafer sold $15K (5.5K shares at $2.71). The dollar value is only ~0.025% of $414M market cap, well below the 0.1% threshold for materiality. Per academic literature, insider sales — even clustered — are weak signals and here the scale is trivial relative to company size. The historical calibration on GEVO (40% win rate at T+20, negative net alpha) further cautions against over-scoring routine insider activity.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$103.0K
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

Insider selling trivial in size and involves non-CEO executives. No 10b5-1 plan details to suggest routine selling, but dollar amount is too small to drive stock action. Monitor next 10-Q for cash burn and operational updates; this cluster alone does not change the fundamental outlook.

Key Facts

  • Two insiders sold a combined $103K in open-market sales from March 25 to April 1, 2026
  • President & COO sold 29.8K shares at $2.96 for $88K (largest trade)
  • Chief Customer Officer sold 5.5K shares at $2.71 for $15K
  • Total sales represent ~0.025% of Gevo's $414M market cap — trivial by proportionality standards
  • No open-market insider purchases occurred in this cluster
  • Recent 30d insider activity had only one prior sale of $11K, showing no persistent selling pattern

Financial Impact

Combined sales of $103K represent 0.025% of market cap — immaterial

insider_sales_percentage

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales volume could increase if future filings show larger unclustered selling from C-suite
  • Gevo's historical calibration suggests poor T+20 predictive power for this filing type — one-directional cluster sales are fragile signals
  • Company remains pre-revenue with high cash burn; material insider selling >0.5% of market cap would be a meaningful bearish signal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-GEVO-1779483147546
10 reports for GEVO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +11.41%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GEVO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.84 $1.63▲ +11.41%▲ +8.66%$1.58 (+14.13%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.82 $1.83▲ +0.55%▼ −0.53%$1.58 (−13.19%)
Apr 15, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.72 $1.81▼ −5.23%▼ −4.25%$1.58 (+8.14%)
Apr 13, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.00 $1.82▼ −9.00%▼ −10.39%$1.58 (−21.00%)
Apr 9, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.91 $1.72▼ −9.95%▼ −13.13%$1.58 (−17.28%)
Apr 2, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.17 $2.03▼ −6.45%▼ −10.59%$1.58 (−27.19%)
Apr 2, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.77 $1.81▲ +2.26%▲ +1.05%$1.58 (−10.73%)
Mar 31, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.73 $1.95▼ −28.57%▼ −32.52%$1.58 (−42.12%)
Mar 5, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.14 $2.38▲ +11.21%▲ +12.74%$1.58 (−26.17%)
Mar 5, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.14 $2.38▲ +11.21%▲ +12.74%$1.58 (−26.17%)
Showing 10 of 10

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