GBDC GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 4, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001476765-26-000032
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
GBDC ▼ -0.97% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.97% · α vs SPY +5.92% · entry $13.40 → $13.27
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Currently $13.10 · +2.24% from $13.40 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +1.38%
$13.40
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-3.28%
call +3.28% · α +5.27%
$12.96
settled 4w ago
T+20d
-0.97%
call +0.97% · α +5.92%
$13.27
settled 8d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Golub Capital BDC's fiscal Q2 2026 results missed Street estimates on adjusted net investment income, which fell to $0.34 per share vs. $0.36 consensus. GAAP net loss was ($0.18) per share, driven by $0.51 of unrealized losses from credit spread widening, and NAV declined 3.3% to $14.35. Total investment income declined 9% sequentially and 12% YoY.

Actionable Insight

The miss on adjusted NII and declining NAV due to spread widening point to continued headwinds for BDC book values. Monitor upcoming Q3 results for stabilization in credit spreads and non-accrual trends. The maintained $0.33 dividend is covered but leaves little margin for further NII erosion.

Key Facts

  • Adjusted net investment income per share of $0.34 missed consensus of $0.36 (-5.6%)
  • GAAP EPS of ($0.18) vs. $0.25 in prior quarter
  • NAV per share decreased $0.49 to $14.35 from $14.84
  • Total investment income fell to $188.1M from $207.0M prior quarter
  • Non-accrual investments increased to 1.4% of fair value (from 0.8%)
  • Repurchased 2.2M shares for $27.8M at 84% of NAV

Financial Impact

Adjusted NII missing consensus by ~$0.02/sh, NAV decline of $0.49/sh, investment income down 12% YoY

net investment incomeNAVtotal investment income

Risk Factors

  • Further credit spread widening pressuring NAV
  • Rising non-accruals (now 19 investments)
  • Interest rate sensitivity on floating-rate portfolio
  • Potential dividend cut if NII continues to decline

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001476765-26-000032
Document: gbdc-20260504.htm0001476765-26-000032
Document: 0001476765-26-000032-index-headers.html0001476765-26-000032
Document: 0001476765-26-000032-index.html0001476765-26-000032
Document: 0001476765-26-000032.txt0001476765-26-000032
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001476765-26-000032
4 reports for GBDC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for GBDC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 27, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.09 $13.19▲ +0.76%▲ +0.45%$13.10 (+0.08%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.40 $12.96▲ +3.28%▲ +5.27%$13.10 (+2.24%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.40 $12.96▲ +3.28%▲ +5.27%$13.10 (+2.24%)
Apr 6, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.83 $13.11▼ −2.18%▲ +3.15%$13.10 (−2.10%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 3m)

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