FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 EFFECT
Horizon days Filed May 29, 2026 Processed 17d 1h ago SEC 9999999995-26-001800
IPO/offering going effective
Latest settled — T+5d
FPS ▲ +8.18% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.18% · α vs SPY -10.70% · entry $54.66 → $59.13
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Last close $59.03 (close Jun 12) · -7.99% from $54.66 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.09%
call -3.09% · α -2.83%
$56.35
settled 14d ago
T+5d
+8.18%
call -8.18% · α -10.70%
$59.13
settled 10d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 14d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective a registration statement (File No. 333-296245) for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) on May 28, 2026. This EFFECT notice activates the S-1 filed May 26, 2026, for a follow-on offering of 35 million Class A shares (11.3 million primary, 23.7 million secondary), representing ~13.7% post-offering dilution. The offering can now be priced and executed, creating near-term supply overhang.

Actionable Insight

The effectiveness clears the path for immediate pricing and execution of the follow-on offering. Expect share price pressure from the supply overhang. Monitor for pricing announcement and underwriter exercise of overallotment option. The secondary component from Neos-controlled holders signals potential continued selling.

Key Facts

  • EFFECT notice for File No. 333-296245, effective May 28, 2026.
  • Activates S-1 filed May 26, 2026, for a follow-on offering of 35 million Class A shares.
  • Offering comprises 11.3 million primary shares and 23.7 million secondary shares from Neos-controlled selling stockholders.
  • Proceeds from primary shares used to redeem existing Opco LLC interests, not retained by the company.
  • Offering represents approximately 13.7% of post-offering shares outstanding.
  • Pricing and sale can proceed immediately, creating near-term supply overhang.

Financial Impact

Offering of 35 million shares, ~13.7% dilution. Primary proceeds (11.3M shares) used for Opco interest redemption, not retained. Secondary proceeds (23.7M shares) go to selling stockholders.

dilutionshares outstanding

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution of ~13.7% from the offering.
  • Secondary selling by Neos-controlled holders may indicate further insider distribution.
  • Primary proceeds not retained by company — no operational benefit from the capital raise.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electrical Industrial Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001800
Document: 9999999995-26-001800-index.html9999999995-26-001800
Document: 9999999995-26-001800.txt9999999995-26-001800
5 reports for FPS
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 1 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +6.62%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FPS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 30, 2026
16d ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$56.35 $59.13▼ −4.93%▼ −7.68%$59.03 (−4.76%)
May 29, 2026
17d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$54.66 $59.13▼ −8.18%▼ −10.70%$59.03 (−7.99%)
May 26, 2026
19d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.30 $56.88▼ −20.25%▼ −19.05%$59.03 (−24.80%)
May 14, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$50.19 $48.52▼ −3.33%▼ −2.61%$59.03 (+17.61%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
S-1
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.47 $29.13▼ −10.29%▼ −10.04%$59.03 (+81.80%)
Showing 5 of 5

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