FLY Firefly Aerospace

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon months Filed Mar 19, 2026 Processed 2mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+20d
FLY ▲ +84.28% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +84.28% · α vs SPY +74.96% · entry $23.22 → $42.79
Next anchor: T+60d in 3h
Last close $31.87 (close Jun 12) · +37.25% from $23.22 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 19, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+3.40%
call +3.40% · α +2.30%
$24.01
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.09%
call +2.09% · α +4.24%
$23.71
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+84.28%
call +84.28% · α +74.96%
$42.79
settled 8w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3h

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Firefly Aerospace reported record 2025 financial results with revenue of $159.9 million, a 163% year-over-year increase, driven by lunar missions, national security contracts, and the acquisition of SciTec. The company achieved key milestones including a successful Moon landing and IPO, and issued 2026 revenue guidance between $420 million and $450 million, signaling strong growth expectations.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$159.9M
+163.0% YoY
EPS
$-4.83
Guidance
$420M-$450M
initiated
Deal Value
$277.4M

Actionable Insight

The combination of strong revenue growth, high-visibility government contracts, and aggressive 2026 guidance suggests Firefly is transitioning from development to execution phase. Traders should monitor upcoming Alpha Block II launches and Blue Ghost Mission 2 progress as near-term catalysts. The stock may re-rate if execution continues to meet milestones.

Key Facts

  • 2025 revenue was $159.9 million, up 163% YoY from $60.8 million in 2024
  • Achieved first commercial Moon landing with Blue Ghost Mission 1 and secured NASA's CLPS contract for Mission 4
  • Completed IPO and acquired SciTec, enhancing national security and AI capabilities
  • Won $109 million contract under Space Force's FORGE program, increasing total contract value to $372 million
  • 2026 full-year revenue guidance set at $420M–$450M, implying 163%–182% growth over 2025
  • Cash and cash equivalents increased to $793 million from $123 million, bolstered by IPO proceeds

Financial Impact

Revenue grew from $60.8M in 2024 to $159.9M in 2025 (+163%). 2026 guidance implies $420M–$450M in revenue, representing 163%–182% growth over 2025. Net loss narrowed to $298.3M from $231.1M despite acquisition and IPO costs.

revenuecashnet_lossguidance

Risk Factors

  • High reliance on government contracts and funding continuity
  • Execution risk in scaling operations to meet 2026 revenue target
  • Net loss widened despite revenue growth, indicating ongoing profitability challenges

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3259441
13 reports for FLY
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +32.57%May 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLY — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 2, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.37 $39.78▼ −8.28%▼ −7.58%$31.87 (−26.52%)
May 29, 2026
17d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$46.49 $44.24▼ −4.84%▼ −5.10%$31.87 (−31.45%)
May 29, 2026
17d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.49 $44.24▲ +4.84%▲ +5.10%$31.87 (+31.45%)
May 26, 2026
19d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$57.28 $49.37▼ −13.81%▼ −14.35%$31.87 (−44.36%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $31.52· 0.00%▼ −1.38%$31.87 (+1.11%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $31.52· 0.00%▼ −1.38%$31.87 (+1.11%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$33.37 $31.52▼ −5.54%▼ −6.34%$31.87 (−4.50%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.45 $38.54▼ −7.02%▼ −6.63%$31.87 (−23.11%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$41.45 $38.54▼ −7.02%▼ −6.63%$31.87 (−23.11%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.79 $42.09▼ −1.64%▼ −0.98%$31.87 (−25.52%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 4h 46m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access