FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 2, 2026 Processed 10d 22h ago SEC 0001193125-26-252407
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Latest settled — T+1d
FLY ▼ -8.28% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -8.28% · α vs SPY -7.58% · entry $43.37 → $39.78
Next anchor: T+5d due 4d ago
Currently $31.87 · -26.52% from $43.37 entry
Entry anchored
Jun 1, 04:24 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-8.28%
call -8.28% · α -7.58%
$39.78
settled 10d ago
T+5d
call — · α —
due 4d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 18d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Firefly Aerospace priced a follow-on public offering of 12,000,000 shares of common stock at $48.00 per share, with the company selling 4,000,000 new shares and selling stockholders (Glow entities) selling 8,000,000 shares. The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,800,000 shares from the selling stockholders. The offering closed on June 1, 2026, raising approximately $183 million in gross proceeds for the company before underwriting discounts and expenses.

Actionable Insight

The offering increases the company's public float by 4,000,000 new shares (approximately 4.5% dilution based on pre-offering shares outstanding implied by market cap and offering price). The selling stockholders' 8,000,000 shares represent a significant secondary sale by Glow entities, which may signal insider monetization. Monitor for any exercise of the underwriters' greenshoe option and watch for insider selling patterns post-lockup expiration.

Key Facts

  • Public offering of 12,000,000 shares at $48.00 per share (4,000,000 new shares from company, 8,000,000 from selling stockholders)
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,800,000 shares from selling stockholders
  • Underwriters purchase price is $45.72 per share (a $2.28 discount from the $48.00 public offering price)
  • Offering closed and shares delivered on June 1, 2026
  • Lead underwriters: Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Jefferies, and Wells Fargo Securities
  • Selling stockholders are Glow Holdings Aggregator, LLC and Glow NS Holdings, LLC
  • Standard 90-day lock-up agreements for company and 75-day lock-up for insiders
  • Company is an emerging growth company

Financial Impact

Company raised approximately $183 million in gross proceeds from sale of 4,000,000 new shares at $48.00 (before underwriting discounts and offering expenses). Selling stockholders received proceeds from their 8,000,000 shares.

dilutioncash_balance

Risk Factors

  • Secondary sale by Glow entities (8M shares) may indicate insider desire to reduce position
  • Dilution from 4M new shares could pressure EPS in near term
  • Potential for additional overhang if greenshoe option is fully exercised (1.8M additional shares)
  • Lock-up expiration in ~75-90 days could lead to further selling pressure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-252407
Document: d156539d8k.htm0001193125-26-252407
Document: 0001193125-26-252407-index-headers.html0001193125-26-252407
Document: 0001193125-26-252407-index.html0001193125-26-252407
Document: 0001193125-26-252407.txt0001193125-26-252407
13 reports for FLY
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +84.28%Mar 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLY — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 2, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.37 $39.78▼ −8.28%▼ −7.58%$31.87 (−26.52%)
May 29, 2026
15d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$46.49 $44.24▼ −4.84%▼ −5.10%$31.87 (−31.45%)
May 29, 2026
15d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.49 $44.24▲ +4.84%▲ +5.10%$31.87 (+31.45%)
May 26, 2026
17d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$57.28 $49.37▼ −13.81%▼ −14.35%$31.87 (−44.36%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $31.52· 0.00%▼ −1.38%$31.87 (+1.11%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $31.52· 0.00%▼ −1.38%$31.87 (+1.11%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$33.37 $31.52▼ −5.54%▼ −6.34%$31.87 (−4.50%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.45 $38.54▼ −7.02%▼ −6.63%$31.87 (−23.11%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$41.45 $38.54▼ −7.02%▼ −6.63%$31.87 (−23.11%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.79 $42.09▼ −1.64%▼ −0.98%$31.87 (−25.52%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (52h 24m)

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