FLO FLOWERS FOODS INC

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 21, 2026 Processed 24d 16h ago SEC 0001193125-26-234421
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
FLO ▼ -3.53% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.53% · α vs SPY +5.20% · entry $7.94 → $7.66
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Last close $7.79 (close Jun 12) · +1.89% from $7.94 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 21, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-1.89%
call +1.89% · α +2.48%
$7.79
settled 24d ago
T+5d
-3.53%
call +3.53% · α +5.20%
$7.66
settled 17d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 7d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Flowers Foods reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.572B (+1.1% YoY) slightly below $1.58B consensus, GAAP EPS fell to $0.20 from $0.25, while adjusted EPS of $0.29 beat the $0.27 estimate. Net income dropped 20.6% on weak volumes and higher interest. The company cut its quarterly dividend by ~49% to $0.125/share to prioritize debt reduction, and reaffirmed full-year guidance. The combination of a top-line miss, earnings decline, and dividend cut outweigh the small adjusted EPS beat.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$5.163B-$5.267B
maintained
Gross Margin
47.6%

Actionable Insight

The dividend cut signals management's priority on deleveraging over shareholder returns, likely to pressure the stock near-term. Monitor volume trends and debt reduction progress in upcoming quarters. The reaffirmed guidance provides a floor but ongoing category headwinds suggest limited upside.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net sales $1.572B (+1.1% YoY) vs consensus $1.58B (miss)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.20 vs $0.25 YoY (-20%)
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.29 vs consensus $0.27 (+7.4% beat)
  • Net income $42.1M, down 20.6% YoY
  • Dividend reset to $0.125 quarterly ($0.50 annual), down from prior $0.245 quarterly (~49% cut)
  • FY2026 guidance reaffirmed: net sales $5.163-5.267B, adj. EBITDA $465-495M, adj. EPS $0.80-0.90
  • Volume declined 3.3% overall, with branded retail down 4.2% and other down 1.9%
  • Operating cash flow $107.9M in Q1 vs $135.6M prior year

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$8M (0.5%), EPS miss on GAAP basis, adjusted beat. Dividend cut reduces annual payout by ~$105M at current share count.

revenueepsnet incomedividend

Risk Factors

  • Continued volume declines due to macro pressure and private-label competition
  • Higher interest expense from Simple Mills acquisition debt
  • Further dividend cuts if cash flow weakens

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Food and Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-234421
Document: flo-20260521.htm0001193125-26-234421
Document: 0001193125-26-234421-index-headers.html0001193125-26-234421
Document: 0001193125-26-234421-index.html0001193125-26-234421
Document: 0001193125-26-234421.txt0001193125-26-234421
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-234421
5 reports for FLO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FLO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
9d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.47 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$7.79 (+4.28%)
May 28, 2026
18d ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.70 $7.27▲ +5.58%▲ +5.54%$7.79 (−1.17%)
May 21, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.94 $7.66▲ +3.53%▲ +5.20%$7.79 (+1.89%)
Apr 14, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.26 $8.69▲ +5.21%▲ +3.81%$7.79 (−5.69%)
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.08 $8.52▲ +5.45%▲ +1.93%$7.79 (−3.59%)
Showing 5 of 5

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