EXOD Exodus

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed Mar 11, 2026 Processed 3mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EXOD ▼ -37.65% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +37.65% · α vs SPY +48.35% · entry $9.96 → $6.21
Currently $6.04 · +39.36% from $9.96 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Mar 11, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-9.94%
call +9.94% · α +9.34%
$8.97
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-22.39%
call +22.39% · α +21.41%
$7.73
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-35.74%
call +35.74% · α +37.72%
$6.40
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-37.65%
call +37.65% · α +48.35%
$6.21
settled 8d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Exodus reported full-year 2025 revenue of $121.6M, up 5% YoY, but Q4 2025 revenue plunged 34% to $29.5M amid declining crypto volumes and a 35% drop in monthly active users. Despite record annual revenue, the sharp quarterly deterioration, widening net loss ($53.2M in Q4 vs. $67M profit a year ago), and asset sales to fund the W3C acquisition paint a materially weakening operating picture. Preliminary Q1 2026 data shows early signs of stabilization with user count and volume modestly improving.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$121.6M
+4.6% YoY
Deal Value
$70.0M

Actionable Insight

The sharp decline in Q4 revenue and users despite a rising crypto market suggests Exodus is losing market share. Traders should monitor Q1 2026 final results for confirmation of stabilization. The W3C acquisition could be transformative, but near-term execution risk is high given deteriorating fundamentals and treasury drawdowns.

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue: $29.5M, down 34% YoY from $44.8M
  • Full-year 2025 revenue: $121.6M, up 5% from $116.3M in 2024
  • Q4 2025 net loss: $53.2M vs. $67.0M net income in Q4 2024
  • Full-year 2025 net loss: $11.4M vs. $113.0M net income in 2024
  • Monthly active users: 1.5M at end of Q4 2025, down 35% from 2.3M in Q4 2024
  • Exodus repaid $60M debt in 2025, reducing Bitcoin treasury
  • Preliminary Q1 2026: MAUs up to 1.6M, February volume at $435M
  • Company selling digital assets and setting aside $70M for W3C acquisition closing

Financial Impact

Revenue down 34% YoY in Q4, net loss of $53.2M vs. prior-year profit of $67M; full-year net loss of $11.4M vs. $113M profit; operating expenses up sharply (G&A +68% annually)

revenuenet_incomeoperating_expensesuser_metricsdigital_asset_holding

Risk Factors

  • Deteriorating user engagement and transaction volume
  • Heavy reliance on future M&A (W3C) for growth amid weakening core business
  • Continued asset sales could further erode treasury value
  • Forward-looking metrics are preliminary and subject to material revision

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3254132
15 reports for EXOD
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +16.38%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EXOD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 11, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.97 $7.22▼ −3.59%▼ −3.51%$6.04 (+13.34%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.18 $6.97▼ −14.79%▼ −15.92%$6.04 (−26.16%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$8.50 $7.71▼ −9.29%▼ −11.28%$6.04 (−28.94%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.50 $6.97▼ −18.00%▼ −19.98%$6.04 (−28.94%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.92 $7.71▼ −2.65%▼ −5.59%$6.04 (−23.74%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.92 $7.71▼ −2.65%▼ −5.59%$6.04 (−23.74%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.00 $7.58▲ +5.25%▲ +7.60%$6.04 (+24.50%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.36 $8.50▲ +15.49%▲ +13.80%$6.04 (−17.93%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.36 $8.50▲ +15.49%▲ +13.80%$6.04 (−17.93%)
Apr 16, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.28 $8.00▲ +9.89%▲ +8.91%$6.04 (−17.03%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 59m)

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