DDOG Datadog, Inc.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Guggenheim issued a rare double upgrade on April 9, moving from Neutral to Buy, but set a price target of $175 — well below the current trading price of $200.16. The move is contrarian in direction (bullish rating, bearish target) and comes from a firm with a 52% accuracy rate on 1,149 calls. Consensus remains overwhelmingly bullish: 91% of 56 analysts rate the stock Buy/Strong Buy, yet the stock already trades above the mean target of $177.02. Recent maintains from May 8 show PTs ranging from $190 to $230, suggesting the stock may be fairly valued near current levels. Insider selling is heavy — four executives sold over $4M in early May. Short interest is elevated at 64.3% of float. EPS revisions are slightly positive for the near term. The double upgrade provides a short-term bullish signal, but the low PT and other bearish indicators warrant caution.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
Consensus is heavily bullish: 18 Strong Buy, 33 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell out of 56 analysts (91% Buy-rated). The stock is trading 13% above the consensus mean target of $177.02, indicating limited upside potential according to the street.
Mean target $177.02, median $173, high $260, low $120. Guggenheim's $175 sits near the median but below the mean. Current price $200.16 implies 14.5% downside to the mean and 30% upside to the highest target.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Macquarie | maintain | Outperform | $230.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | UBS | maintain | Buy | $220.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Outperform | $225.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | — |
| 2026-05-08 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $219.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Truist Securities | maintain | Hold | $190.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Barclays | maintain | Overweight | $215.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wedbush | maintain | Outperform | $220.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Evercore ISI Group | maintain | Outperform | $225.00 |
30-day analyst activity: 1 upgrade (this call), 0 downgrades. EPS revisions show a slight upward bias: current quarter 2 up, 1 down; next quarter 3 up, 0 down. The near-term estimate trend is modestly positive.
Firm Track Record — Guggenheim
Guggenheim accuracy: 52% on 1149 calls | avg return: 5.1%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | 100% | 2/2 | 1.3% | top tier |
| Scotiabank | 80% | 4/5 | 16.4% | top tier |
| UBS | 75% | 6/8 | 7.5% | top tier |
| Morgan Stanley | 75% | 3/4 | -1.8% | top tier |
| B of A Securities | 67% | 2/3 | 1.9% | top tier |
| DA Davidson | 63% | 5/8 | 6.7% | top tier |
| Jefferies | 60% | 3/5 | 7.6% | above average |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 57% | 4/7 | 1.4% | above average |
| Barclays | 56% | 5/9 | 4.2% | above average |
| Wedbush | 50% | 3/6 | 4.9% | below average |
Guggenheim has a 52% accuracy rate on 1,149 calls with an average return of 5.1%, placing it in the middle of the pack. Top-tier firms include Scotiabank (80% on 5 calls) and UBS (75% on 8 calls); Guggenheim trails them significantly.
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | $0.51 | $0.49 — $0.63 | $959.9M | ↑1 ↓0 |
| +1q | $0.50 | $0.46 — $0.58 | $994.5M | ↑2 ↓0 |
| 0y | $2.18 | $2.07 — $2.69 | $4.1B | ↑1 ↓0 |
| +1y | $2.64 | $2.35 — $3.51 | $4.9B | ↑1 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider trades are bearish: four executives sold shares totaling $4.15M on May 4-5. Short interest stands at 64.3% of float — a very high level indicating bearish positioning. Institutional moves are mixed: Two Sigma added 1401% (bullish), Norges Bank initiated a new $469M stake (bullish), while Renaissance trimmed 56% and BofA trimmed 29.6% (bearish). The analyst signal is not fully convergent with other smart money flows.
Actionable Insight
The double upgrade provides a short-term bullish catalyst, but the below-market price target and heavy insider selling argue against chasing the stock at current levels. Wait for a pullback toward $175-$180 before initiating long positions.
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
|
144
| $232.21 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.23%) |
|
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $232.21 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.23%) |
|
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $117.07 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (+97.90%) |
|
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $230.00 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.73%) |
|
Jun 5, 2026
5d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $237.40 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−2.41%) |
|
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $244.08 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−5.08%) |
|
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $243.60 $234.11 | ▼ −3.90% | ▼ −1.32% | $231.68 (−4.89%) |
|
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
|
144
| $250.33 $243.60 | ▼ −2.69% | ▼ −3.09% | $231.68 (−7.45%) |
|
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $250.33 $243.60 | ▼ −2.69% | ▼ −3.09% | $231.68 (−7.45%) |
|
May 31, 2026
9d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $131.25 $130.13 | ▲ +0.85% | ▲ +0.86% | $231.68 (−76.52%) |
US Market Status
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