DDOG Datadog, Inc.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Guggenheim double-upgraded Datadog (DDOG) from Neutral to Buy on April 9, 2026, setting a price target of $175, which implies a 25.2% downside from the current price of $234.11. The firm has a 52% accuracy rate on 1,149 calls and an average return of 5.1%, placing it near the middle of the pack among firms covering DDOG. Consensus is heavily bullish: 52 of 56 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy, with only 3 Holds and 1 Sell. The mean price target is $225.34, median $225, with a high of $320 and low of $128.85. Guggenheim’s $175 target sits 22% below the mean and is the second-lowest among active targets. No other upgrades or downgrades were recorded in the past 30 days. EPS estimates have been revised up 42 times in the last 30 days with zero downward revisions, signaling strong fundamental momentum. Insider selling is heavy — CEO Olivier Pomel sold $6.95M on June 2 — while institutional flows show a mix of large adds (Vanguard +30.3%, Norges Bank new $469M position) and trims (Renaissance -56.1%, BofA -29.6%). Short interest is elevated at 64.3% of float. The Guggenheim upgrade is contrarian to consensus and to the upward EPS revision trend, but the low PT and heavy insider selling temper the bullish signal.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
Of 56 analysts covering DDOG, 18 rate Strong Buy, 34 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell — 92.9% are bullish. The consensus is overwhelmingly positive, with only one sell-side dissenter (Goldman Sachs, Sell, PT $139).
Mean PT is $225.34, median $225, high $320, low $128.85. Current price $234.11 implies 3.9% downside to the mean. Guggenheim’s $175 target is 22% below the mean and 26% below the median, ranking as the second-lowest active target after Goldman Sachs’ $139.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | B of A Securities | maintain | Buy | $280.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $250.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | BTIG | maintain | Buy | $255.00 |
| 2026-05-12 | Goldman Sachs | maintain | Sell | $139.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Macquarie | maintain | Outperform | $230.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | UBS | maintain | Buy | $220.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Outperform | $225.00 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | — |
| 2026-05-08 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $219.00 |
No upgrades or downgrades in the past 30 days. EPS revisions are strongly positive: 42 upward revisions in the last 30 days for the current fiscal year with zero downward revisions. The 30-day EPS estimate has risen from $0.50046 to $0.58274 for the current quarter. Estimates are being revised higher across all periods.
Firm Track Record — Guggenheim
Guggenheim accuracy: 52% on 1149 calls | avg return: 5.1%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | 100% | 2/2 | 1.3% | top tier |
| Scotiabank | 80% | 4/5 | 16.4% | top tier |
| UBS | 75% | 6/8 | 7.5% | top tier |
| Morgan Stanley | 75% | 3/4 | -1.8% | top tier |
| B of A Securities | 67% | 2/3 | 1.9% | top tier |
| DA Davidson | 63% | 5/8 | 6.7% | top tier |
| Jefferies | 60% | 3/5 | 7.6% | above average |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 57% | 4/7 | 1.4% | above average |
| Barclays | 56% | 5/9 | 4.2% | above average |
| Wedbush | 50% | 3/6 | 4.9% | below average |
Guggenheim has a 52% accuracy rate on 1,149 calls with an average return of 5.1%, placing it near the median among firms covering DDOG. Top-tier firms include Monness, Crespi, Hardt (100% on 2 calls), Scotiabank (80% on 5 calls), and UBS (75% on 8 calls). Bottom-tier: Stifel (50% on 4 calls, avg return -14%) and Bernstein (50% on 2 calls, avg return -5.2%).
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | $0.58 | $0.57 — $0.62 | $1.1B | ↑1 ↓0 |
| +1q | $0.61 | $0.57 — $0.71 | $1.1B | ↑1 ↓0 |
| 0y | $2.42 | $2.36 — $2.66 | $4.3B | ↑0 ↓0 |
| +1y | $2.85 | $2.59 — $3.57 | $5.2B | ↑1 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider selling is heavy and concentrated: CEO Pomel sold $6.95M, CTO Walters sold $3.58M, and other executives sold $2.6M combined on June 2-3. These are large, clustered sales from C-suite — a bearish signal that diverges from the upgrade. Congressional activity is mixed (Rep. Cisneros sold $1K-$15K in April, bought similar amount in March). Institutional flows are mixed: Vanguard added 30.3% ($5.97B position), Norges Bank initiated a $469M position, while Renaissance trimmed 56.1% and BofA trimmed 29.6%. Short interest is very high at 64.3% of float, indicating heavy bearish positioning.
Actionable Insight
The Guggenheim upgrade is a contrarian call against a bullish consensus and rising EPS estimates, but the $175 PT is deeply below the mean and the heavy C-suite selling is a strong bearish signal. Traders should treat this as a cautious bullish signal — the upgrade may be a tactical call on a near-term catalyst, but the insider sales and high short interest suggest significant downside risk.
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
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Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
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144
| $232.21 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.23%) |
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Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $232.21 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.23%) |
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Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
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ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $117.07 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (+97.90%) |
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Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $230.00 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−0.73%) |
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Jun 5, 2026
5d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $237.40 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−2.41%) |
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Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $244.08 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | $231.68 (−5.08%) |
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Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $243.60 $234.11 | ▼ −3.90% | ▼ −1.32% | $231.68 (−4.89%) |
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Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
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144
| $250.33 $243.60 | ▼ −2.69% | ▼ −3.09% | $231.68 (−7.45%) |
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Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
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Insider Cluster
| $250.33 $243.60 | ▼ −2.69% | ▼ −3.09% | $231.68 (−7.45%) |
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May 31, 2026
9d ago
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ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $131.25 $130.13 | ▲ +0.85% | ▲ +0.86% | $231.68 (−76.52%) |
US Market Status
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