DASH DoorDash, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 4/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-DASH-jefferie-20251119
15 firms acted on DASH: Jefferies, Wedbush, Guggenheim, JP Morgan, Mizuho, Jefferies, Raymond James, Stifel, Keybanc, BTIG, Cantor Fitzgerald, Redburn Atlantic, Argus Research, Wolfe Research, Keybanc
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
DASH ▼ -14.30% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.30% · α vs SPY -17.85% · entry $202.32 → $173.38
Last close $152.49 (close Jun 8) · -24.63% from $202.32 entry
Entry anchored
Nov 18, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-7.21%
call -7.21% · α -5.66%
$187.73
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-3.13%
call -3.13% · α -5.79%
$195.98
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+14.15%
call +14.15% · α +12.07%
$230.94
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-14.30%
call -14.30% · α -17.85%
$173.38
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A cluster of 15 firms acted on DoorDash (DASH) on November 19, 2025, including Jefferies upgrading from Hold to Buy and raising its price target from $220 to $260. The consensus is heavily bullish: 77% Buy (41 of 53 analysts), 23% Hold, 0% Sell, with a mean target of $250.93 and median $255. Current price $168.65 implies 49% upside to the mean. Jefferies has a 53% accuracy rate on 2,282 calls with 3.9% average return, near the middle of the pack. Top-tier firms like Keybanc (75% accuracy, +12.9% avg return) and Cantor Fitzgerald (64%, +13.6%) are among the bulls. Near-term EPS estimates have been revised down 5 times in the past 30 days, but longer-term estimates show modest upward revisions. Insider selling is heavy, with five open-market sales in the past month totaling over $1.4M, while institutional flows are mixed—FMR added 62.5% while Two Sigma and Renaissance trimmed heavily. Short interest is elevated at 59.4% ratio, signaling potential squeeze risk. Next earnings are due May 4, 2026 (within 8 days), adding a near-term catalyst. The broad bullish consensus and cluster of upgrades suggest strong institutional support, but the insider and short interest signals create a mixed backdrop.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+2
Final Score
4/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
41 (77%)
Hold
12
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
43
Mean PT
$250.93
Median PT
$255.00
High PT
$340.00
Low PT
$185.00
Current Price
$168.65
Implied Upside
+48.8%

Full consensus: 15 Strong Buy, 26 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. That's 77% Buy-side (41 of 53 analysts, counting Strong Buy as Buy), 23% Hold, and zero negative ratings. Consensus direction is overwhelmingly bullish, but given the already high concentration of buys, the Jefferies upgrade aligns with the majority view rather than being contrarian.

Mean target: $250.93, median: $255, high: $340, low: $185. Current price $168.65 implies 48.8% upside to the mean and 51.2% to the median. Jefferies' new PT of $260 sits slightly above the median, suggesting above-consensus conviction. The high target of $340 from an unnamed firm implies over 100% upside. The lowest target of $185 (Stifel) still implies 9.7% upside.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-27 TD Cowen initiate Buy $225.00
2026-04-13 Stifel maintain Hold $185.00
2026-04-10 BTIG maintain Buy $280.00
2026-03-30 Wells Fargo maintain Equal-Weight $198.00
2026-03-03 Mizuho maintain Outperform $255.00
2026-02-20 Citigroup maintain Buy $280.00
2026-02-20 Citizens maintain Market Outperform $250.00
2026-02-19 UBS maintain Neutral $240.00
2026-02-19 Benchmark maintain Buy $285.00
2026-02-19 Bernstein maintain Outperform $270.00

30-day analyst activity: 1 upgrade (Jefferies), 0 downgrades. EPS revision trend is mixed: for the upcoming quarter (+1q), 0 revisions up vs 5 down in the last 30 days; for the current fiscal year (0y), 0 up vs 6 down; for next fiscal year (+1y), 3 up vs 4 down. Near-term estimates are being revised lower, but longer-term expectations show a slight positive tilt.

Firm Track Record — Jefferies

Jefferies accuracy: 53% on 2282 calls | avg return: 3.9%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Keybanc 75% 6/8 12.9% top tier
JMP Securities 69% 9/13 10.3% top tier
Roth MKM 67% 2/3 9.9% top tier
Loop Capital 67% 2/3 0.8% top tier
Raymond James 67% 2/3 -0.1% top tier
Citigroup 67% 2/3 2.6% top tier
Morgan Stanley 67% 4/6 5.2% top tier
Cantor Fitzgerald 64% 7/11 13.6% top tier
BMO Capital 60% 3/5 5.4% above average
DA Davidson 60% 3/5 13.2% above average

Jefferies has a 53% accuracy rate on 2,282 rated calls with an average return of 3.9%, placing it roughly in the middle of the peer group. Top-performing firms covering DASH include Keybanc (75% on 8 calls, +12.9% avg return), Cantor Fitzgerald (64% on 11, +13.6%), and DA Davidson (60% on 5, +13.2%). The weakest performer by average return is Raymond James (67% on 3, -0.1% avg return). Jefferies' upgrade is credible but not from the top tier.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 4, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q $0.47 $0.27 — $0.77 $4.4B ↑0 ↓0
0y $2.54 $1.92 — $3.48 $17.8B ↑0 ↓0
+1y $4.41 $3.03 — $5.85 $21.3B ↑1 ↓0
0q $0.36 $0.24 — $0.52 $4.2B ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — near_exit (-99.7%)
Institutional
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ — trim (-29.3%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Short Interest
Short: 1,100,667 | Exempt: 439 | TRF Vol: 1,852,385 | Short Ratio: 59.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trades show consistent selling: five open-market sales in the past month totaling ~$1.44M, including large sales by Brown Shona ($218K) and Tang Stanley ($253K). Congressional activity is mixed—Gilbert Cisneros (D) has both buys and sells in small amounts. Institutional flows are divergent: FMR LLC increased its stake by 62.5% to $1.0B, while Two Sigma exited nearly completely (-99.7%) and Renaissance Technologies trimmed 32.4%. NORGES BANK established a new $1.09B position. Short interest stands at 1.1M shares with a 59.4% short ratio, indicating elevated bearish bets. The analyst bullish cluster diverges sharply from insider selling and high short interest, creating a contrarian tension.

Actionable Insight

The broad analyst upgrade wave reinforces a strong bullish consensus, but the combination of insider selling, short-term EPS downgrades, and high short interest demands caution. Traders should watch the May 4 earnings release as a key catalyst—a beat could trigger a short squeeze given the 59% short ratio, while a miss may expose downside to the $185 low target.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

16 reports for DASH
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +16.10%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DASH — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$152.47 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$152.49 (+0.01%)
May 31, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$202.32 $195.98▼ −3.13%▼ −5.79%$152.49 (−24.63%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$174.06 $172.57▼ −0.86%▼ −1.26%$152.49 (−12.39%)
May 22, 2026
18d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$154.00 $164.78▲ +7.00%▲ +5.92%$152.49 (−0.98%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
10-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$171.35 $149.07▼ −13.00%▼ −14.51%$152.49 (−11.01%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$202.32 $195.98▼ −3.13%▼ −5.79%$152.49 (−24.63%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$174.06 $172.57▼ −0.86%▼ −1.26%$152.49 (−12.39%)
Apr 20, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$182.45 $171.97▼ −5.74%▼ −6.83%$152.49 (−16.42%)
Apr 15, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$179.33 $177.00▼ −1.30%▼ −2.28%$152.49 (−14.97%)
Feb 28, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$176.41 $176.59▼ −0.10%▼ −1.31%$152.49 (+13.56%)
Showing 10 of 16

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