CSTL Castle Biosciences, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed Mar 13, 2026 Processed 3mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: fda
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CSTL ▼ -21.28% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -21.28% · α vs SPY -32.90% · entry $25.56 → $20.12
Last close $20.70 (close Jun 12) · -19.01% from $25.56 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 13, 11:01 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.06%
call +1.06% · α +0.03%
$25.83
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.19%
call -2.19% · α -0.07%
$25.00
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-7.94%
call -7.94% · α -11.53%
$23.53
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-21.28%
call -21.28% · α -32.90%
$20.12
settled 6d ago

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Executive Summary

Castle Biosciences announced publication of data from a large prospective study showing its DecisionDx-Melanoma i31-SLNB test accurately identifies melanoma patients with less than 5% risk of sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity, enabling clinicians to safely forgo SLNB in low-risk cases. The study demonstrated a 2.6% observed SLN positivity rate in patients predicted to be low-risk and a 97.8% three-year recurrence-free survival rate, outperforming traditional staging and other gene expression tests.

Actionable Insight

Traders should monitor uptake of the DecisionDx-Melanoma test in clinical practice following this high-quality prospective validation. The data support expanded use, especially in early-stage melanoma, which could drive volume and reimbursement momentum. The upcoming webcast on March 23 may provide further commercial insights.

Key Facts

  • Prospective, multicenter study of 912 patients with T1–T4 cutaneous melanoma across 30 U.S. centers
  • Patients predicted by i31-SLNB to have <5% risk of SLN positivity had a 2.6% observed positivity rate
  • Patients with >10% predicted risk had a 21.4% observed positivity rate (8.2x higher)
  • In T1b–T2a tumors, SLN positivity was only 1.4% in those predicted <5% risk
  • Low-risk patients had 97.8% three-year recurrence-free survival (RFS)
  • i31-SLNB showed TN:FN ratio of 55:1 in T1–T2a and 73:1 in T1b–T2a, exceeding NCCN’s 19:1 benchmark
  • Outperformed other GEP tests like CP-GEP, which reported lower TN:FN ratios (15:1)

Financial Impact

Potential revenue growth from increased test adoption due to strong clinical validation; no direct financial figures disclosed

revenuemarket penetrationutilization

Risk Factors

  • Forward-looking statements about reduced procedures and cost savings are not guaranteed
  • Adoption depends on payer reimbursement and physician behavior, not just clinical data
  • Recent insider selling ($303K in 30 days) may indicate caution despite positive data

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3255641
11 reports for CSTL
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +24.87%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CSTL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$20.89 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$20.70 (+0.91%)
Jun 1, 2026
13d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$19.71 $20.39▲ +3.45%▲ +4.17%$20.70 (+5.02%)
May 7, 2026
5w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.83 $19.04▼ −3.98%▼ −4.22%$20.70 (+4.39%)
Apr 8, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.19 $23.43▼ −6.99%▼ −7.56%$20.70 (−17.82%)
Mar 13, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.56 $25.83▲ +1.06%▲ +0.03%$20.70 (−19.01%)
Mar 12, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.32 $25.56▼ −0.95%▼ −1.55%$20.70 (+18.25%)
Mar 12, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$25.32 $25.56▼ −0.95%▼ −1.55%$20.70 (+18.25%)
Mar 9, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$27.02 $26.60▼ −1.55%▼ −1.37%$20.70 (−23.39%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$27.91 $27.12▲ +2.83%▲ +1.52%$20.70 (+25.83%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.91 $27.12▲ +2.83%▲ +1.52%$20.70 (+25.83%)
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